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Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

TRN NYSE Railroad Equipment DE CIK: 0000099780
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
N/A
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 TRN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $492.0M
Net Margin: 4.9%
Free Cash Flow: $91.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 5.07x
EPS: $0.30
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $492.0M, net profit margin of 4.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.2%, Trinity Industries Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete TRN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Trinity Industries operates a fundamentally sound railroad equipment business with strong operating margins (20.5%) and positive free cash flow, but carries an unsustainable debt burden (5.07x Debt/Equity, $5.5B against $1.1B equity) with dangerously weak interest coverage (2.0x). The collapsing returns on equity (2.2%) and declining net income reflect that profits are increasingly consumed by debt service rather than generating shareholder value.

Why Buy Trinity Industries Inc. Stock? TRN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating margin of 20.5% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in railroad equipment manufacturing
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $91.5M with 18.6% FCF margin shows the core business produces cash despite leverage
  • + Operating cash flow of $97.8M relative to net income indicates quality earnings and reasonable working capital management

TRN Stock Risks: Trinity Industries Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically high leverage ratio of 5.07x Debt/Equity with $5.5B debt against only $1.1B equity creates significant financial distress risk
  • ! Weak interest coverage ratio of 2.0x provides minimal cushion for economic downturns, rising rates, or operational deterioration
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure: railroad equipment demand is highly sensitive to economic conditions and capital spending cycles
  • ! Collapsing returns on equity (2.2%) and assets (0.3%) show capital is being inefficiently deployed to service debt rather than create value
  • ! Net income declined 8.7% YoY while 86% EPS growth came from share buybacks, masking underlying operational weakness

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Debt-to-Equity ratio trend and absolute debt reduction progress
  • * Interest Coverage ratio movement above 2.5x threshold for stability
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and free cash flow quality
  • * Net income organic growth (adjusting for share buyback impact on EPS)

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$492.0M
Net Income
$24.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.30
Free Cash Flow
$91.5M
Total Assets
$8.3B
Cash Position
$132.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

TRN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 20.5%
Net Margin 4.9%
ROE 2.2%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 18.6%

TRN vs Industrial Sector: How Trinity Industries Inc. Compares

How Trinity Industries Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
TRN 4.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
TRN Sector
ROE
TRN 2.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
TRN Sector
Current Ratio
TRN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
TRN Sector
Debt/Equity
TRN 5.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
TRN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Trinity Industries Inc. Stock Overvalued? TRN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Trinity Industries Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.2%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
5.07x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Trinity Industries Inc. Balance Sheet: TRN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
5.07x
Debt/Assets
86.2%
Interest Coverage
1.97x
Long-term Debt
$5.5B

TRN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TRN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $137.6M, EPS $1.07. Year 2022: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income -$147.3M, EPS $-1.27. Year 2023: Revenue $3.0B, Net Income $182.0M, EPS $1.75. Year 2024: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $60.1M, EPS $0.71. Year 2025: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $106.0M, EPS $1.27.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Trinity Industries Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 12% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.27 reflects profitable operations.

TRN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
18.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TRN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Trinity Industries Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $492.0M $22.1M $0.26
Q3 2025 $454.1M $30.3M $0.37
Q2 2025 $506.2M $14.1M $0.17
Q1 2025 $585.4M $22.1M $0.26
Q3 2024 $798.8M $21.8M $0.26
Q2 2024 $722.4M $17.0M $0.20
Q1 2024 $641.7M $4.4M $0.05
Q3 2023 $496.6M $21.8M $0.26

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Trinity Industries Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$97.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$7.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$6.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$24.8M
Returned to shareholders

TRN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Trinity Industries Inc. (CIK: 0000099780)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 30, 2026 10-Q trn-20260331.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K trn-20260430.htm View →
Apr 21, 2026 8-K trn-20260417.htm View →
Apr 15, 2026 8-K trn-20260409.htm View →
Apr 9, 2026 DEF 14A trn-20260408.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TRN

What is the AI rating for TRN?

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TRN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating margin of 20.5% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in railroad equipment manufacturing. Positive free cash flow generation of $91.5M with 18.6% FCF margin shows the core business produces cash despite leverage.

What are the risks of investing in TRN?

Claude: Critically high leverage ratio of 5.07x Debt/Equity with $5.5B debt against only $1.1B equity creates significant financial distress risk. Weak interest coverage ratio of 2.0x provides minimal cushion for economic downturns, rising rates, or operational deterioration.

What is TRN's revenue and growth?

Trinity Industries Inc. reported revenue of $492.0M.

Does TRN pay dividends?

Trinity Industries Inc. pays dividends, with $24.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find TRN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Trinity Industries Inc. (CIK: 0000099780) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TRN's EPS?

Trinity Industries Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.30.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is TRN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Trinity Industries Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is TRN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TRN: ROE of 2.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.9% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy TRN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Trinity Industries Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TRN's free cash flow?

Trinity Industries Inc.'s operating cash flow is $97.8M, with capital expenditures of $6.3M. FCF margin is 18.6%.

How does TRN compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 4.9% (avg: 10%), ROE 2.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Is Trinity Industries Inc. carrying too much debt?

TRN has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.07x, which is above the Industrial sector average of 0.7x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI