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GAP Stock Analysis 2026 - GAP INC AI Rating

GAP NYSE Retail-Family Clothing Stores DE CIK: 0000039911
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-31
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 GAP Key Takeaways

Revenue: $15.4B
Net Margin: 5.3%
Free Cash Flow: $823.0M
Current Ratio: 1.75x
Debt/Equity: 0.39x
EPS: $2.13
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence

Is GAP a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Gap Inc demonstrates solid fundamental health with strong liquidity, healthy profitability margins, and robust cash generation, but faces headwinds from decelerating revenue growth and declining net income despite modest top-line expansion. The company's operational efficiency and balance sheet strength provide stability, though the negative earnings momentum warrants a cautious stance.

Why Buy GAP? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with 1.75x current ratio and $2.6B cash providing operational flexibility
  • + Healthy profitability with 5.3% net margin and consistent double-digit ROE of 21.5% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $823M with 5.4% FCF margin supporting dividends and debt reduction
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.39x debt-to-equity ratio and 12.0x interest coverage indicating low financial distress risk

GAP Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Declining net income (-3.3% YoY) and diluted EPS (-3.2% YoY) despite positive revenue growth signals margin compression and operational challenges
  • ! Slowing revenue growth at 1.9% YoY in mature retail sector indicates limited organic expansion opportunities
  • ! Retail sector cyclicality and competitive pressures on gross margins (40.8%) in fast-fashion and discount retail segments

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - monitor if 7.3% can stabilize or if further compression occurs
  • * Revenue growth acceleration - critical to sustain above 2% to offset leverage concerns
  • * Free cash flow consistency - ensure $823M FCF baseline is maintained for shareholder returns and debt service

GAP Financial Metrics

Revenue
$15.4B
Net Income
$816.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.13
Free Cash Flow
$823.0M
Total Assets
$12.6B
Cash Position
$2.6B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

GAP INC presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

GAP Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 40.8%
Operating Margin 7.3%
Net Margin 5.3%
ROE 21.5%
ROA 6.5%
FCF Margin 5.4%

GAP vs Consumer Sector

How GAP INC compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
GAP 5.3%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
GAP Sector
ROE
GAP 21.5%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
GAP Sector
Current Ratio
GAP 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
GAP Sector
Debt/Equity
GAP 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
GAP Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GAP Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, GAP INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
21.5%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
5.3%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.39x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GAP Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.75x
Quick Ratio
1.25x
Debt/Equity
0.39x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
11.99x
Long-term Debt
$1.5B

GAP 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GAP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $16.7B, Net Income $351.0M, EPS $0.93. Year 2022: Revenue $16.7B, Net Income -$665.0M, EPS $-1.78. Year 2023: Revenue $16.7B, Net Income $256.0M, EPS $0.67. Year 2024: Revenue $15.6B, Net Income -$202.0M, EPS $-0.55. Year 2025: Revenue $15.4B, Net Income $502.0M, EPS $1.34.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GAP INC's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 8% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.34 reflects profitable operations.

GAP Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GAP Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GAP INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.8B $236.0M $0.62
Q2 2025 $3.7B $206.0M $0.54
Q1 2025 $3.4B $158.0M $0.41
Q3 2024 $3.8B $218.0M $0.58
Q2 2024 $3.5B $99.0M $0.27
Q1 2024 $3.3B -$18.0M $-0.05
Q3 2023 $3.8B $71.0M $0.19
Q2 2023 $3.5B -$49.0M $-0.13

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GAP Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$155.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$470.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$247.0M
Returned to shareholders

GAP SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GAP INC (CIK: 0000039911)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 24, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/edgardoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GAP

What is the AI rating for GAP?

GAP INC (GAP) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GAP's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with 1.75x current ratio and $2.6B cash providing operational flexibility. Healthy profitability with 5.3% net margin and consistent double-digit ROE of 21.5% demonstrating efficient capital deployment.

What are the risks of investing in GAP?

Claude: Declining net income (-3.3% YoY) and diluted EPS (-3.2% YoY) despite positive revenue growth signals margin compression and operational challenges. Slowing revenue growth at 1.9% YoY in mature retail sector indicates limited organic expansion opportunities.

What is GAP's revenue and growth?

GAP INC reported revenue of $15.4B.

Does GAP pay dividends?

GAP INC pays dividends, with $247.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GAP SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GAP INC (CIK: 0000039911) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GAP's EPS?

GAP INC has a diluted EPS of $2.13.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GAP a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, GAP INC has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GAP stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GAP: ROE of 21.5% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 5.3% (sector avg: 8%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy GAP stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GAP INC a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GAP's free cash flow?

GAP INC's operating cash flow is $1.3B, with capital expenditures of $470.0M. FCF margin is 5.4%.

How does GAP compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 5.3% (avg: 8%), ROE 21.5% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.75 (avg: 1.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31 | Powered by Claude AI