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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

TOL NYSE Operative Builders DE CIK: 0000794170
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 30, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-04-30
Combined AI Grade
B
68% Confidence
N/A
B
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 TOL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.7B
Net Margin: 10.1%
Free Cash Flow: $98.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $4.91
AI Grade: B with 68% confidence
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) receives a B fundamental grade with 68% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $4.7B, net profit margin of 10.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.6%, Toll Brothers, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete TOL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Toll Brothers maintains financial stability with a fortress balance sheet (0.00x debt/equity, $1.1B cash) and positive cash generation, but faces deteriorating profitability with net income down 14.3% YoY despite flat revenue, indicating pricing pressure or cost inflation in the cyclical homebuilding sector. Weak capital returns (ROE 5.6%, ROA 3.2%) and severely constrained free cash flow margin (2.1%) raise concerns about working capital management and capital efficiency.

Toll Brothers, Inc. Key Strengths (TOL)

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet with minimal debt (0.00x D/E) and $1.1B cash buffer provides financial flexibility
  • + Consistent operating cash flow generation ($141.7M) demonstrates core business cash production
  • + Operating margin of 12.1% shows reasonable operational control despite market headwinds

TOL Stock Risks: Toll Brothers, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Profitability erosion: net income down 14.3% YoY while revenue growth stalled at 1.1%, signaling margin compression
  • ! Free cash flow margin of only 2.1% vs. net margin of 10.1% indicates significant working capital drains or capital intensity issues
  • ! Weak capital returns (ROE 5.6%, ROA 3.2%) suggest poor capital deployment efficiency in current market environment

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin recovery and net income stabilization trajectory
  • * Free cash flow margin expansion and working capital efficiency trends
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and market demand indicators

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$4.7B
Net Income
$471.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.91
Free Cash Flow
$98.4M
Total Assets
$14.5B
Cash Position
$1.1B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.1% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

TOL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 11.2%
Operating Margin 12.1%
Net Margin 10.1%
ROE 5.6%
ROA 3.2%
FCF Margin 2.1%

TOL vs Market Sector: How Toll Brothers, Inc. Compares

How Toll Brothers, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
TOL 10.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
TOL Sector
ROE
TOL 5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
TOL Sector
Current Ratio
TOL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
TOL Sector
Debt/Equity
TOL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
TOL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Toll Brothers, Inc. Stock Overvalued? TOL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Toll Brothers, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
10.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Toll Brothers, Inc. Balance Sheet: TOL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
41.6%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

TOL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TOL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.8B, Net Income $590.0M, EPS $4.03. Year 2022: Revenue $10.3B, Net Income $446.6M, EPS $3.40. Year 2023: Revenue $10.3B, Net Income $833.6M, EPS $6.63. Year 2024: Revenue $10.8B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $10.90. Year 2025: Revenue $11.0B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $12.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Toll Brothers, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $12.36 reflects profitable operations.

TOL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TOL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Toll Brothers, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $2.5B $260.6M $2.72
Q1 2026 $1.9B $177.7M $1.75
Q3 2025 $2.7B $369.6M $3.60
Q2 2025 $2.7B $352.4M $3.50
Q1 2025 $1.9B $177.7M $1.75
Q3 2024 $2.7B $374.6M $3.60
Q2 2024 $2.5B $320.2M $2.85
Q1 2024 $1.8B $191.5M $1.70

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Toll Brothers, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$141.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$230.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$43.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$49.4M
Returned to shareholders

TOL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Toll Brothers, Inc. (CIK: 0000794170)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 29, 2026 10-Q tol-20260430.htm View →
May 19, 2026 8-K tol-20260519.htm View →
May 13, 2026 8-K tol-20260512.htm View →
Apr 16, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 31, 2026 8-K tol-20260330.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TOL

What is the AI rating for TOL?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) has an AI grade of B with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TOL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet with minimal debt (0.00x D/E) and $1.1B cash buffer provides financial flexibility. Consistent operating cash flow generation ($141.7M) demonstrates core business cash production.

What are the risks of investing in TOL?

Claude: Profitability erosion: net income down 14.3% YoY while revenue growth stalled at 1.1%, signaling margin compression. Free cash flow margin of only 2.1% vs. net margin of 10.1% indicates significant working capital drains or capital intensity issues.

What is TOL's revenue and growth?

Toll Brothers, Inc. reported revenue of $4.7B.

Does TOL pay dividends?

Toll Brothers, Inc. pays dividends, with $49.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find TOL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Toll Brothers, Inc. (CIK: 0000794170) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TOL's EPS?

Toll Brothers, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $4.91.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is TOL's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Toll Brothers, Inc. has a B grade with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is TOL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TOL: ROE of 5.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 10.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is TOL's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Toll Brothers, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TOL's free cash flow?

Toll Brothers, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $141.7M, with capital expenditures of $43.3M. FCF margin is 2.1%.

How does TOL compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 10.1% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 30, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-04-30 | Powered by Claude AI