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LGIH Stock Analysis 2026 - LGI Homes, Inc. AI Rating

LGIH Nasdaq Operative Builders DE CIK: 0001580670
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
87% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LGIH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.7B
Net Margin: 4.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-140.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.79x
EPS: $3.12
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 87% confidence

Is LGIH a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

LGI Homes is experiencing severe operational distress with 22.6% YoY revenue decline and 63% YoY net income collapse, coupled with critically negative operating cash flow of -140M. The company cannot self-fund operations, faces liquidity constraints with only 61.2M cash against 1.7B debt, and operates in a cyclically weak homebuilding sector with thin 4.3% net margins.

Why Buy LGIH? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79x provides some financial flexibility relative to peer highly leveraged homebuilders
  • + Established asset base of 3.9B and stockholders equity of 2.1B provides some balance sheet cushion
  • + Continued insider activity with 5 Form 4 filings in last 90 days

LGIH Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -140M indicates business cannot fund operations internally and faces sustainability crisis
  • ! Catastrophic 63% YoY net income decline coupled with 22.6% revenue contraction signals severe market deterioration in homebuilding sector
  • ! Critical liquidity risk with only 61.2M cash position against 1.7B long-term debt and negative free cash flow of -140.9M
  • ! Profitability collapse with net margin at 4.3% and ROE/ROA at 3.5%/1.8% indicating poor capital allocation and returns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trajectory - must return to positive to signal operational stability
  • * Revenue stabilization and housing market demand indicators
  • * Cash position adequacy and need for external financing or asset sales
  • * Debt refinancing ability and covenant compliance given negative cash generation

LGIH Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.7B
Net Income
$72.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.12
Free Cash Flow
$-140.9M
Total Assets
$3.9B
Cash Position
$61.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

LGIH Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 12.4%
Operating Margin 4.7%
Net Margin 4.3%
ROE 3.5%
ROA 1.8%
FCF Margin -8.3%

LGIH vs Default Sector

How LGI Homes, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
LGIH 4.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
LGIH Sector
ROE
LGIH 3.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
LGIH Sector
Current Ratio
LGIH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
LGIH Sector
Debt/Equity
LGIH 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
LGIH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LGIH Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, LGI Homes, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.79x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LGIH Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.79x
Debt/Assets
46.6%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.7B

LGIH 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LGIH 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $178.6M, EPS $7.02. Year 2022: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $323.9M, EPS $12.76. Year 2023: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $429.6M, EPS $17.25. Year 2024: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $326.6M, EPS $13.76. Year 2025: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $199.2M, EPS $8.42.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: LGI Homes, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 23% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $8.42 reflects profitable operations.

LGIH Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-8.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LGIH Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for LGI Homes, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $396.6M $4.0M $0.85
Q2 2025 $483.5M $4.0M $1.36
Q1 2025 $351.4M $4.0M $0.17
Q3 2024 $617.5M $17.1M $2.84
Q2 2024 $602.5M $17.1M $2.25
Q1 2024 $390.9M $17.1M $0.72
Q3 2023 $547.1M $27.0M $2.84
Q2 2023 $645.3M $27.0M $2.25

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LGIH Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$140.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$23.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$924.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

LGIH SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for LGI Homes, Inc. (CIK: 0001580670)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 13, 2026 DEF 14A lgih-20260313.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773180082.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773179913.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773179820.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773179623.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LGIH

What is the AI rating for LGIH?

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 87% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LGIH's key strengths?

Claude: Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79x provides some financial flexibility relative to peer highly leveraged homebuilders. Established asset base of 3.9B and stockholders equity of 2.1B provides some balance sheet cushion.

What are the risks of investing in LGIH?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -140M indicates business cannot fund operations internally and faces sustainability crisis. Catastrophic 63% YoY net income decline coupled with 22.6% revenue contraction signals severe market deterioration in homebuilding sector.

What is LGIH's revenue and growth?

LGI Homes, Inc. reported revenue of $1.7B.

Does LGIH pay dividends?

LGI Homes, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find LGIH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for LGI Homes, Inc. (CIK: 0001580670) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LGIH's EPS?

LGI Homes, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $3.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LGIH a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. has a STRONG SELL rating with 87% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LGIH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LGIH: ROE of 3.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LGIH stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives LGI Homes, Inc. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LGIH's free cash flow?

LGI Homes, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-140.0M, with capital expenditures of $924.0K. FCF margin is -8.3%.

How does LGIH compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 4.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 3.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI