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DFH Stock Analysis - Dream Finders Homes, Inc. AI Rating

DFH NYSE Operative Builders DE CIK: 0001825088
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 DFH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.3B
Net Margin: 5.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-126.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.13x
EPS: $2.14
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence

Investment Thesis

Claude

Dream Finders Homes demonstrates operational profitability with a 5.0% net margin and solid 15.2% ROE, but is experiencing significant financial deterioration evidenced by negative free cash flow of -$126.4M and declining revenue (-2.9% YoY). The company's heavy leverage (1.13x debt-to-equity) combined with negative operating cash flow and capital constraints present material concerns about financial sustainability.

DFH Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net income growth of 6.6% YoY despite revenue decline, indicating operational efficiency improvements
  • + Healthy interest coverage ratio of 8878.2x demonstrates minimal near-term debt service risk
  • + Adequate cash reserves of $234.8M provide liquidity buffer for operations

DFH Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$100.6M indicates core business is not generating cash despite reported profitability
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$126.4M with -2.9% FCF margin raises sustainability concerns for dividend, debt repayment, and growth investments
  • ! Revenue contraction of 2.9% YoY in cyclical homebuilding sector amid potential market headwinds
  • ! High leverage ratio of 1.13x debt-to-equity combined with negative cash generation creates refinancing risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical indicator of business quality and sustainability
  • * Free cash flow generation and cash conversion cycle
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and order backlog in homebuilding cycle
  • * Debt levels and refinancing requirements given negative cash flow
  • * Days sales outstanding and working capital management efficiency

DFH Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.3B
Net Income
$217.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.14
Free Cash Flow
$-126.4M
Total Assets
$3.7B
Cash Position
$234.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

DFH Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 6.6%
Net Margin 5.0%
ROE 15.2%
ROA 5.8%
FCF Margin -2.9%

DFH vs Default Sector

How Dream Finders Homes, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
DFH 5.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
DFH Sector
ROE
DFH 15.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
DFH Sector
Current Ratio
DFH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
DFH Sector
Debt/Equity
DFH 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
DFH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

DFH Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Debt/Assets
57.0%
Interest Coverage
8,878.19x
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

DFH 5-Year Financial Trend

DFH 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $39.2M, EPS $0.00. Year 2022: Revenue $3.3B, Net Income $79.1M, EPS $0.00. Year 2023: Revenue $3.7B, Net Income $121.1M, EPS $1.27. Year 2024: Revenue $4.5B, Net Income $262.3M, EPS $2.45. Year 2025: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income $295.9M, EPS $2.79.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Dream Finders Homes, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 131% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.79 reflects profitable operations.

DFH Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-2.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

DFH Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Dream Finders Homes, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $969.8M $47.0M $0.47
Q2 2025 $1.1B $56.6M $0.56
Q1 2025 $827.8M $54.5M $0.54
Q3 2024 $895.8M $70.7M $0.70
Q2 2024 $945.3M $68.8M $0.65
Q1 2024 $769.4M $49.1M $0.45
Q3 2023 $785.7M $69.6M $0.64
Q2 2023 $793.1M $62.6M $0.60

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

DFH Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$100.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$41.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$25.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

DFH SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (CIK: 0001825088)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about DFH

What is the AI rating for DFH?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are DFH's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net income growth of 6.6% YoY despite revenue decline, indicating operational efficiency improvements. Healthy interest coverage ratio of 8878.2x demonstrates minimal near-term debt service risk.

What are the risks of investing in DFH?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow of -$100.6M indicates core business is not generating cash despite reported profitability. Negative free cash flow of -$126.4M with -2.9% FCF margin raises sustainability concerns for dividend, debt repayment, and growth investments.

What is DFH's revenue and growth?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. reported revenue of $4.3B.

Does DFH pay dividends?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find DFH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (CIK: 0001825088) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is DFH's EPS?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $2.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI