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Timken Co (TKR) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

TKR NYSE Ball & Roller Bearings OH CIK: 0000098362
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 17, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
70% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 TKR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.6B
Net Margin: 6.3%
Free Cash Flow: $406.1M
Current Ratio: 2.82x
Debt/Equity: 0.60x
EPS: $4.11
AI Rating: HOLD with 70% confidence
Timken Co (TKR) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $4.6B, net profit margin of 6.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 9.1%, Timken Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete TKR stock analysis for 2026.

Is Timken Co (TKR) a Good Investment?

Claude

Timken operates a financially stable business with strong balance sheet metrics and robust free cash flow generation ($406M), but faces significant operational headwinds with essentially flat revenue (+0.2% YoY) and declining profitability (-9.1% net income decline despite stable sales). Weak returns on capital (9.1% ROE, 4.3% ROA) indicate limited value creation despite solid cash generation, suggesting a mature cyclical business experiencing margin compression and competitive pressure.

Why Buy Timken Co Stock? TKR Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $406M (8.9% FCF margin) substantially covering capital needs
  • + Solid balance sheet with moderate leverage (0.60x debt/equity) and adequate interest coverage (5.6x)
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.82x current ratio and 1.47x quick ratio, providing financial flexibility

TKR Stock Risks: Timken Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue growth stalled at +0.2% YoY indicating market saturation and competitive pressures in bearing industry
  • ! Profitability declining (-9.1% net income, -17.6% EPS) despite flat revenue signals margin compression and rising cost structure
  • ! Weak returns on capital (9.1% ROE, 4.3% ROA) suggest inefficient capital deployment and structural disadvantages in competitive positioning

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and market share trends in industrial bearing segment
  • * Operating margin expansion/contraction relative to gross margin stability
  • * Return on equity and return on assets trends as indicators of capital efficiency

Timken Co (TKR) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$4.6B
Net Income
$288.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.11
Free Cash Flow
$406.1M
Total Assets
$6.7B
Cash Position
$364.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.82x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

TKR Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 28.1%
Operating Margin 11.8%
Net Margin 6.3%
ROE 9.1%
ROA 4.3%
FCF Margin 8.9%

TKR vs Market Sector: How Timken Co Compares

How Timken Co compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
TKR 6.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
TKR Sector
ROE
TKR 9.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
TKR Sector
Current Ratio
TKR 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
TKR Sector
Debt/Equity
TKR 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
TKR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Timken Co Stock Overvalued? TKR Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Timken Co shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.1%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
6.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.60x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Timken Co Balance Sheet: TKR Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.82x
Quick Ratio
1.47x
Debt/Equity
0.60x
Debt/Assets
43.5%
Interest Coverage
5.57x
Long-term Debt
$1.9B

TKR Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TKR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.1B, Net Income $362.1M, EPS $4.71. Year 2022: Revenue $4.5B, Net Income $284.5M, EPS $3.72. Year 2023: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $369.1M, EPS $4.79. Year 2024: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $407.4M, EPS $5.48. Year 2025: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $394.1M, EPS $5.47.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Timken Co's revenue has grown significantly by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.47 reflects profitable operations.

TKR Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
8.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TKR Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Timken Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.1B $69.3M $0.99
Q2 2025 $1.2B $78.5M $1.12
Q1 2025 $1.1B $78.3M $1.11
Q3 2024 $1.1B $81.8M $1.16
Q2 2024 $1.2B $96.2M $1.36
Q1 2024 $1.2B $103.5M $1.46
Q3 2023 $1.1B $87.0M $1.18
Q2 2023 $1.2B $105.0M $1.42

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Timken Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$554.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$57.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$148.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$98.3M
Returned to shareholders

TKR SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Timken Co (CIK: 0000098362)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 DEF 14A tkr4534481-def14a.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773696073.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772140801.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771968935.xml View →
Feb 23, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771890481.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TKR

What is the AI rating for TKR?

Timken Co (TKR) has an AI rating of HOLD with 70% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TKR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation of $406M (8.9% FCF margin) substantially covering capital needs. Solid balance sheet with moderate leverage (0.60x debt/equity) and adequate interest coverage (5.6x).

What are the risks of investing in TKR?

Claude: Revenue growth stalled at +0.2% YoY indicating market saturation and competitive pressures in bearing industry. Profitability declining (-9.1% net income, -17.6% EPS) despite flat revenue signals margin compression and rising cost structure.

What is TKR's revenue and growth?

Timken Co reported revenue of $4.6B.

Does TKR pay dividends?

Timken Co pays dividends, with $98.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find TKR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Timken Co (CIK: 0000098362) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TKR's EPS?

Timken Co has a diluted EPS of $4.11.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is TKR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Timken Co has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is TKR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TKR: ROE of 9.1% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 6.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy TKR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Timken Co a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TKR's free cash flow?

Timken Co's operating cash flow is $554.3M, with capital expenditures of $148.2M. FCF margin is 8.9%.

How does TKR compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 6.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 9.1% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.82 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 17, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI