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Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (OWL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

OWL NYSE Investment Advice NJ CIK: 0001823945
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 OWL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $567.8M
Net Margin: 13.9%
Free Cash Flow: $1.2B
Current Ratio: 11.78x
Debt/Equity: 1.51x
EPS: $0.10
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (OWL) receives a SELL rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $567.8M, net profit margin of 13.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.6%, Blue Owl Capital Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete OWL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (OWL) a Good Investment?

Claude

Blue Owl Capital faces severe operational headwinds with an 80% revenue collapse YoY that vastly exceeds flat net income growth, signaling underlying business deterioration. Despite strong operating margins (61.3%) and robust free cash flow generation (1.2B), the company's critically low returns on equity (3.6%) and assets (0.6%) reveal severe capital inefficiency on its 12.5B asset base. Elevated leverage at 1.51x Debt/Equity combined with accelerating revenue decline poses material debt sustainability risk.

Why Buy Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Stock? OWL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional liquidity position with 11.78x current ratio providing substantial financial flexibility and short-term solvency cushion
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of 1.2B supporting debt service obligations despite revenue contraction
  • + Operational efficiency with 61.3% operating margins demonstrating pricing power and cost discipline in core underwriting

OWL Stock Risks: Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic 80.2% YoY revenue decline indicating potential AUM outflows, client base erosion, or fundamental business model stress
  • ! Critically low returns on equity (3.6%) and assets (0.6%) revealing severe capital inefficiency despite operational margins
  • ! Elevated leverage at 1.51x Debt/Equity ratio becomes untenable if revenue decline persists or market conditions deteriorate

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue stabilization and AUM recovery trajectory - critical inflection point for business viability
  • * Return on Equity trend reversal - need sustained improvement in capital efficiency and equity returns above cost of capital
  • * Leverage ratio and debt service coverage ratio - monitor sustainability of 1.51x Debt/Equity given revenue base contraction

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (OWL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$567.8M
Net Income
$78.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.10
Free Cash Flow
$1.2B
Total Assets
$12.5B
Cash Position
$194.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 211.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 11.78x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

OWL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 61.3%
Net Margin 13.9%
ROE 3.6%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin 211.1%

OWL vs Market Sector: How Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Compares

How Blue Owl Capital Inc.. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
OWL 13.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
OWL Sector
ROE
OWL 3.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
OWL Sector
Current Ratio
OWL 11.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
OWL Sector
Debt/Equity
OWL 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
OWL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Stock Overvalued? OWL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Blue Owl Capital Inc.. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
13.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.51x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Balance Sheet: OWL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
11.78x
Quick Ratio
11.78x
Debt/Equity
1.51x
Debt/Assets
51.4%
Interest Coverage
15.47x
Long-term Debt
$3.3B

OWL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

OWL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $823.9M, Net Income $23.0M, EPS $-1.34. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income -$77.8M, EPS $-1.34. Year 2023: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income -$376.2M, EPS $-1.34. Year 2024: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income -$9.3M, EPS $-0.02. Year 2025: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $54.3M, EPS $0.10.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Blue Owl Capital Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 248% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.10 reflects profitable operations.

OWL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
211.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

OWL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Blue Owl Capital Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $600.9M $6.3M $0.01
Q2 2025 $549.8M $17.4M $0.02
Q1 2025 $513.3M $7.4M $0.00
Q3 2024 $429.7M $15.1M $0.03
Q2 2024 $416.9M $12.9M $0.02
Q1 2024 $391.0M $8.3M $0.02
Q3 2023 $371.0M $2.1M $0.00
Q2 2023 $327.2M -$1.1M $0.00

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$53.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$57.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$546.7M
Returned to shareholders

OWL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (CIK: 0001823945)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 10-K owl-20251231.htm View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about OWL

What is the AI rating for OWL?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (OWL) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are OWL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional liquidity position with 11.78x current ratio providing substantial financial flexibility and short-term solvency cushion. Strong free cash flow generation of 1.2B supporting debt service obligations despite revenue contraction.

What are the risks of investing in OWL?

Claude: Catastrophic 80.2% YoY revenue decline indicating potential AUM outflows, client base erosion, or fundamental business model stress. Critically low returns on equity (3.6%) and assets (0.6%) revealing severe capital inefficiency despite operational margins.

What is OWL's revenue and growth?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. reported revenue of $567.8M.

Does OWL pay dividends?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. pays dividends, with $546.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find OWL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Blue Owl Capital Inc.. (CIK: 0001823945) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is OWL's EPS?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $0.10.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is OWL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Blue Owl Capital Inc.. has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is OWL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for OWL: ROE of 3.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 13.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy OWL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Blue Owl Capital Inc.. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is OWL's free cash flow?

Blue Owl Capital Inc..'s operating cash flow is $1.3B, with capital expenditures of $57.7M. FCF margin is 211.1%.

How does OWL compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 13.9% (avg: 12%), ROE 3.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio 11.78 (avg: 1.8).

Is Blue Owl Capital Inc.. carrying too much debt?

OWL has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51x, which is above the Market sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 11.78 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI