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Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (ODFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ODFL Nasdaq Trucking (No Local) VA CIK: 0000878927
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
BUY
84% Conf

📊 ODFL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.3B
Net Margin: 17.9%
Free Cash Flow: $311.1M
Current Ratio: 1.57x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $1.14
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (ODFL) receives a BUY rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.3B, net profit margin of 17.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.4%, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete ODFL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (ODFL) a Good Investment?

Claude

ODFL maintains exceptional financial health with a fortress balance sheet, minimal debt, and exceptional free cash flow generation of $311M (23.3% FCF margin). However, the company faces deteriorating operational trends with revenue declining 5.5% YoY and net income declining 13.7% YoY, suggesting margin compression in an increasingly challenging trucking market environment.

ChatGPT

ODFL exhibits category-leading profitability and returns with a nearly debt-free balance sheet, generating strong free cash flow despite a modest revenue decline. Pricing discipline and operational efficiency support resilient margins and high ROE/ROA, positioning the company well for a freight volume recovery. Near-term earnings softness appears cyclical rather than structural.

Why Buy Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Stock? ODFL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Fortress balance sheet with virtually no debt ($20M) and strong equity base of $4.4B, providing significant financial flexibility
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $311M with 23.3% FCF margin demonstrates efficient capital management despite revenue headwinds
  • + High operating margins (23.8%) and net margins (17.9%) show strong operational efficiency and pricing power relative to industry peers
ChatGPT
  • + Elite operating and net margins for the sector
  • + Minimal leverage with solid liquidity and strong ROE/ROA
  • + Robust free cash flow and reinvestment capacity

ODFL Stock Risks: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 5.5% YoY indicates market weakness in trucking sector or potential loss of competitive position
  • ! Net income declining 13.7% YoY while revenue only down 5.5% suggests significant margin compression and cost structure pressures
  • ! Low returns on equity (5.4%) and assets (4.2%) indicate the company struggles to generate adequate returns on its large $5.7B asset base
ChatGPT
  • ! Freight cycle downturn driving continued volume and revenue declines
  • ! Pricing/yield pressure and mix shifts compressing margins
  • ! Cost inflation and ongoing capex needs potentially pressuring FCF

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - critical to identify if compression is structural or cyclical
  • * Revenue trajectory and market share - determine if decline reverses with industry recovery
  • * Return on equity improvement - assess whether strong FCF translates to better shareholder returns
ChatGPT
  • * YoY revenue/tonnage growth
  • * Operating margin (operating ratio)

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (ODFL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.3B
Net Income
$238.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.14
Free Cash Flow
$311.1M
Total Assets
$5.7B
Cash Position
$288.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 23.3% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

ODFL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 23.8%
Net Margin 17.9%
ROE 5.4%
ROA 4.2%
FCF Margin 23.3%

ODFL vs Automotive Sector: How Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Compares

How Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
ODFL 17.9%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
ODFL Sector
ROE
ODFL 5.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ODFL Sector
Current Ratio
ODFL 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
ODFL Sector
Debt/Equity
ODFL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
ODFL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? ODFL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
17.9%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Balance Sheet: ODFL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.57x
Quick Ratio
1.57x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
22.2%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$20.0M

ODFL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ODFL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $615.5M, EPS $5.10. Year 2022: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income $672.7M, EPS $5.68. Year 2023: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $8.89. Year 2024: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $6.09. Year 2025: Revenue $5.9B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $5.63.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 12% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.63 reflects profitable operations.

ODFL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
23.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ODFL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.3B $238.3M $1.14
Q3 2025 $1.4B $270.9M $1.28
Q2 2025 $1.4B $268.6M $1.27
Q1 2025 $1.4B $254.7M $1.19
Q3 2024 $1.5B $308.6M $1.43
Q2 2024 $1.4B $292.4M $1.33
Q1 2024 $1.4B $285.0M $1.29
Q3 2023 $1.5B $339.3M $3.09

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$373.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$88.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$62.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$60.5M
Returned to shareholders

ODFL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (CIK: 0000878927)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 10-Q odfl-20260331.htm View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 8-K odfl-20260429.htm View →
Apr 20, 2026 DEF 14A odfl-20260417.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ODFL

What is the AI rating for ODFL?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (ODFL) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ODFL's key strengths?

Claude: Fortress balance sheet with virtually no debt ($20M) and strong equity base of $4.4B, providing significant financial flexibility. Exceptional free cash flow generation of $311M with 23.3% FCF margin demonstrates efficient capital management despite revenue headwinds. ChatGPT: Elite operating and net margins for the sector. Minimal leverage with solid liquidity and strong ROE/ROA.

What are the risks of investing in ODFL?

Claude: Revenue declining 5.5% YoY indicates market weakness in trucking sector or potential loss of competitive position. Net income declining 13.7% YoY while revenue only down 5.5% suggests significant margin compression and cost structure pressures. ChatGPT: Freight cycle downturn driving continued volume and revenue declines. Pricing/yield pressure and mix shifts compressing margins.

What is ODFL's revenue and growth?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. reported revenue of $1.3B.

Does ODFL pay dividends?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. pays dividends, with $60.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ODFL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. (CIK: 0000878927) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ODFL's EPS?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $1.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ODFL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ODFL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ODFL: ROE of 5.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 17.9% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ODFL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ODFL's free cash flow?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $373.6M, with capital expenditures of $62.6M. FCF margin is 23.3%.

How does ODFL compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 17.9% (avg: 6%), ROE 5.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.57 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI