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CVLG Stock Analysis - COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. AI Rating

CVLG NYSE Trucking (No Local) NV CIK: 0000928658
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
82% Confidence

📊 CVLG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 0.6%
Free Cash Flow: $-33.9M
Current Ratio: 1.11x
Debt/Equity: 0.58x
EPS: $0.27
AI Rating: SELL with 82% confidence

Investment Thesis

Covenant Logistics faces severe operational challenges with a 79.8% year-over-year decline in net income despite modest 2.9% revenue growth, indicating deteriorating unit economics and margin compression in a capital-intensive trucking business. The company is consuming cash with negative free cash flow of -$33.9M while maintaining only $4.9M in liquidity and facing $234M in long-term debt, creating refinancing risk. Critical interest coverage of just 0.2x suggests the company struggles to service debt from operating earnings, presenting significant financial distress risk.

CVLG Strengths

  • + Revenue base of $1.2B provides scale in the trucking sector
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $113.6M demonstrates underlying business can generate cash
  • + Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58x is moderate relative to industry leverage levels

CVLG Risks

  • ! Catastrophic 79.8% decline in net income signals margin compression and operational deterioration
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$33.9M is unsustainable; capital expenditures exceed operating cash flow
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.2x indicates severe debt servicing stress and high default risk
  • ! Minimal cash position of $4.9M provides minimal liquidity buffer against operational disruptions
  • ! Operating margin compression to just 0.3% and net margin of 0.6% leave no room for adverse conditions
  • ! Sustained profitability decline suggests structural headwinds in trucking operations rather than cyclical weakness

Key Metrics to Watch

CVLG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$7.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.27
Free Cash Flow
$-33.9M
Total Assets
$1.0B
Cash Position
$4.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CVLG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.3%
Net Margin 0.6%
ROE 1.8%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin -2.9%

CVLG vs Default Sector

How COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
CVLG 0.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CVLG Sector
ROE
CVLG 1.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CVLG Sector
Current Ratio
CVLG 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CVLG Sector
Debt/Equity
CVLG 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CVLG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CVLG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.11x
Quick Ratio
1.11x
Debt/Equity
0.58x
Debt/Assets
61.4%
Interest Coverage
0.24x
Long-term Debt
$234.0M

CVLG 5-Year Financial Trend

CVLG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income -$42.7M, EPS $-2.46. Year 2022: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $60.7M, EPS $3.57. Year 2023: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $60.7M, EPS $3.57. Year 2024: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $108.7M, EPS $3.50. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $55.2M, EPS $2.00.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC.'s revenue has grown significantly by 11% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.00 reflects profitable operations.

CVLG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-2.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CVLG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $287.9M $4.0M $0.35
Q2 2025 $287.5M $4.0M $0.36
Q1 2025 $269.4M $4.0M $0.14
Q3 2024 $287.9M $4.0M $0.94
Q2 2024 $274.0M $4.0M $0.88
Q1 2024 $266.9M $4.0M $0.29
Q3 2023 $288.7M $12.3M $0.99
Q2 2023 $274.0M $12.3M $0.91

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CVLG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$113.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$36.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$147.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$7.2M
Returned to shareholders

CVLG SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. (CIK: 0000928658)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 10-K cvti20251231_10k.htm View →
Feb 20, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CVLG

What is the AI rating for CVLG?

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. (CVLG) has an AI rating of SELL with 82% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CVLG's key strengths?

Revenue base of $1.2B provides scale in the trucking sector. Positive operating cash flow of $113.6M demonstrates underlying business can generate cash.

What are the risks of investing in CVLG?

Catastrophic 79.8% decline in net income signals margin compression and operational deterioration. Negative free cash flow of -$33.9M is unsustainable; capital expenditures exceed operating cash flow.

What is CVLG's revenue and growth?

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does CVLG pay dividends?

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. pays dividends, with $7.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CVLG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. (CIK: 0000928658) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CVLG's EPS?

COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP, INC. has a diluted EPS of $0.27.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI