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Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

HTLD Nasdaq Trucking (No Local) NV CIK: 0000799233
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
71% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
SELL
72% Conf
SELL
70% Conf

📊 HTLD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $176.3M
Net Margin: -2.7%
Free Cash Flow: $5.1M
Current Ratio: 1.27x
Debt/Equity: 0.20x
EPS: $-0.06
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) receives a SELL rating with 71% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $176.3M, net profit margin of -2.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of -0.6%, Heartland Express Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete HTLD stock analysis for 2026.

Is Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite extraordinary revenue growth of 1,286.8%, Heartland Express is unprofitable with -2.7% net margin and declining earnings (-76.5% YoY), indicating severe margin compression likely from an integration issue or acquisition of unprofitable business. While positive operating cash flow and low leverage (0.20x debt/equity) provide some financial cushion, negative ROE/ROA and inability to cover interest payments signal fundamental operational dysfunction that must be resolved.

ChatGPT

Explosive revenue growth appears acquisition- or scale-driven but is not converting to earnings, with negative operating and net margins and declining returns. Free cash flow is negative on heavy capex, liquidity is thin near 1x, and interest coverage is negative, elevating financial and execution risk. Moderate leverage and positive operating cash flow provide some cushion, but fundamentals remain weak until margins and cash generation improve.

Why Buy Heartland Express Inc. Stock? HTLD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of 23.2M and free cash flow of 5.1M despite losses
  • + Conservative capital structure with low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20x and 44.5M in cash reserves
  • + Adequate liquidity with current ratio of 1.27x providing near-term financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • + Moderate leverage with debt/equity ~0.20x
  • + Positive operating cash flow despite losses
  • + Expanded scale that could benefit margins if executed well

HTLD Stock Risks: Heartland Express Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Profitability crisis: negative net income of 4.8M with -2.7% net margin and negative ROE/ROA indicating fundamental business dysfunction
  • ! Massive revenue growth (1,286.8%) coinciding with earnings decline suggests unprofitable business integration or acquisition destroying shareholder value
  • ! Negative interest coverage (-1.5x) means operating income cannot service debt obligations, creating refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Sustained operating losses and negative margins
  • ! Thin liquidity and negative interest coverage increase financial risk
  • ! Capex intensity driving negative free cash flow

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Path to operating profitability and operating margin expansion from current -1.9%
  • * Quality and sustainability of 1,286% revenue surge and whether acquired/new business achieves positive unit economics
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability relative to negative net income and ability to service 149.9M long-term debt
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin
  • * Free cash flow

Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$176.3M
Net Income
$-4.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.06
Free Cash Flow
$5.1M
Total Assets
$1.2B
Cash Position
$44.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.9% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

HTLD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -1.9%
Net Margin -2.7%
ROE -0.6%
ROA -0.4%
FCF Margin 2.9%

HTLD vs Automotive Sector: How Heartland Express Inc. Compares

How Heartland Express Inc. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
HTLD -2.7%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
HTLD Sector
ROE
HTLD -0.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HTLD Sector
Current Ratio
HTLD 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
HTLD Sector
Debt/Equity
HTLD 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
HTLD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Heartland Express Inc. Stock Overvalued? HTLD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Heartland Express Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-0.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
-2.7%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Heartland Express Inc. Balance Sheet: HTLD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.27x
Quick Ratio
1.27x
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
-1.49x
Long-term Debt
$149.9M

HTLD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

HTLD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $14.3M, Net Income $73.0M, EPS $0.89. Year 2022: Revenue $50.7M, Net Income $70.8M, EPS $0.87. Year 2023: Revenue $94.8M, Net Income $79.3M, EPS $1.00. Year 2024: Revenue $94.8M, Net Income $133.6M, EPS $1.69. Year 2025: Revenue $94.8M, Net Income $14.8M, EPS $0.19.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Heartland Express Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 563% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.19 reflects profitable operations.

HTLD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HTLD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Heartland Express Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $15.7M -$4.8M $-0.06
Q3 2025 $13.5M -$3.5M $-0.11
Q2 2025 $14.7M -$3.5M $-0.04
Q1 2025 $15.8M -$13.9M $-0.18
Q3 2024 $18.4M -$3.5M $0.12
Q2 2024 $20.0M -$3.5M $-0.04
Q1 2024 $20.1M $12.6M $0.16
Q3 2023 $15.7M $7.8M $0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Heartland Express Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$23.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$18.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.6M
Returned to shareholders

HTLD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Heartland Express Inc. (CIK: 0000799233)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 21, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779399851.xml View →
May 21, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779399742.xml View →
May 19, 2026 8-K htld-20260514.htm View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779141576.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779141499.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HTLD

What is the AI rating for HTLD?

Heartland Express Inc. (HTLD) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 71% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HTLD's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of 23.2M and free cash flow of 5.1M despite losses. Conservative capital structure with low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20x and 44.5M in cash reserves. ChatGPT: Moderate leverage with debt/equity ~0.20x. Positive operating cash flow despite losses.

What are the risks of investing in HTLD?

Claude: Profitability crisis: negative net income of 4.8M with -2.7% net margin and negative ROE/ROA indicating fundamental business dysfunction. Massive revenue growth (1,286.8%) coinciding with earnings decline suggests unprofitable business integration or acquisition destroying shareholder value. ChatGPT: Sustained operating losses and negative margins. Thin liquidity and negative interest coverage increase financial risk.

What is HTLD's revenue and growth?

Heartland Express Inc. reported revenue of $176.3M.

Does HTLD pay dividends?

Heartland Express Inc. pays dividends, with $1.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HTLD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Heartland Express Inc. (CIK: 0000799233) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HTLD's EPS?

Heartland Express Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.06.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HTLD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Heartland Express Inc. has a SELL rating with 71% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HTLD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HTLD: ROE of -0.6% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of -2.7% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HTLD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Heartland Express Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HTLD's free cash flow?

Heartland Express Inc.'s operating cash flow is $23.2M, with capital expenditures of $18.0M. FCF margin is 2.9%.

How does HTLD compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin -2.7% (avg: 6%), ROE -0.6% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.27 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI