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NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NXRT NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001620393
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
D
85% Conf
C
70% Conf

📊 NXRT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $63.5M
Net Margin: -10.6%
Free Cash Flow: $23.3M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 5.88x
EPS: $-0.27
AI Grade: D with 85% confidence
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) receives a C fundamental grade with 78% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $63.5M, net profit margin of -10.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of -2.5%, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Real Estate sector. Below is our complete NXRT stock analysis for 2026.

Is NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) a Good Investment?

Claude

NexPoint Residential Trust faces severe financial distress with an interest coverage ratio of 0.6x, indicating operating income cannot service debt obligations. Negative net income of -$6.8M combined with declining revenue (-3.2% YoY) and extreme leverage (5.88x debt-to-equity) create material risk of financial deterioration. While positive operating cash flow provides temporary relief, the $18.5M cash position is inadequate to service $1.6B in long-term debt absent significant operational improvement or asset sales.

ChatGPT

NexPoint Residential Trust exhibits persistent GAAP losses with a -12.7% net margin and extremely weak interest coverage (0.5x) amid elevated leverage (5.39x D/E), signaling strained financial flexibility. While operating income is positive and operating cash flow appears strong, revenue declined 3.2% YoY and returns (ROE/ROA) remain negative, pointing to pressured earnings quality. Until leverage and coverage improve, fundamentals skew to downside risk.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Key Strengths (NXRT)

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $23.3M with strong 36.7% FCF margin demonstrates cash generation despite profitability issues
  • + Positive operating income of $8.5M with 13.4% operating margin shows core business operations are fundamentally profitable
  • + Elevated Form 4 insider activity (32 filings in 90 days) may indicate management confidence in turnaround prospects
ChatGPT
  • + Positive operating income with 11.1% margin
  • + Strong operating cash flow and 33.3% FCF margin
  • + Large asset base supporting recurring cash flows

NXRT Stock Risks: NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.6x is critical—operating income insufficient to cover interest expense, creating imminent debt service distress
  • ! Extreme leverage with 5.88x debt-to-equity ratio and only $18.5M cash against $1.6B long-term debt limits financial flexibility
  • ! Company is unprofitable with -$6.8M net income (-10.6% margin) and declining revenue (-3.2% YoY), indicating deteriorating operational fundamentals and shrinking top line
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage (5.39x D/E) and weak 0.5x interest coverage
  • ! Persistent net losses with negative ROE/ROA
  • ! Revenue decline (-3.2% YoY) pressuring growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio—must improve above 1.5x to indicate debt sustainability
  • * Operating cash flow trend—critical to monitor if sustainability can support debt obligations
  • * Revenue trajectory—reversal of -3.2% decline required to demonstrate business stabilization
  • * Debt refinancing activity and covenant compliance—indicative of lender confidence and default risk
ChatGPT
  • * Interest coverage
  • * Operating cash flow

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$63.5M
Net Income
$-6.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.27
Free Cash Flow
$23.3M
Total Assets
$1.9B
Cash Position
$18.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 36.7% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NXRT Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 13.4%
Net Margin -10.6%
ROE -2.5%
ROA -0.4%
FCF Margin 36.7%

NXRT vs Real Estate Sector: How NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Compares

How NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. compares to Real Estate sector averages

Net Margin
NXRT -10.6%
vs
Sector Avg 20.0%
NXRT Sector
ROE
NXRT -2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
NXRT Sector
Current Ratio
NXRT 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
NXRT Sector
Debt/Equity
NXRT 5.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
NXRT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Stock Overvalued? NXRT Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Real Estate sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-2.5%
Sector avg: 8%
Net Profit Margin
-10.6%
Sector avg: 20%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
5.88x
Sector avg: 1.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Balance Sheet: NXRT Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
5.88x
Debt/Assets
85.2%
Interest Coverage
0.55x
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

NXRT Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NXRT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $219.2M, Net Income $99.1M, EPS $4.03. Year 2022: Revenue $264.0M, Net Income $44.0M, EPS $1.74. Year 2023: Revenue $277.5M, Net Income $23.0M, EPS $0.89. Year 2024: Revenue $277.5M, Net Income -$9.3M, EPS $-0.36. Year 2025: Revenue $277.5M, Net Income $44.3M, EPS $1.69.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 27% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.69 reflects profitable operations.

NXRT Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
36.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NXRT Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $63.2M -$6.8M $-0.27
Q3 2025 $62.8M -$7.8M $-0.31
Q2 2025 $63.1M -$7.0M $-0.28
Q1 2025 $63.2M -$6.9M $-0.27
Q3 2024 $64.1M -$8.9M $-0.35
Q2 2024 $64.2M -$4.0M $-0.15
Q1 2024 $67.6M -$3.9M $-0.15
Q3 2023 $68.1M -$597.0K $-0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$23.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$7.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$14.5M
Returned to shareholders

NXRT SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (CIK: 0001620393)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NXRT

What is the AI rating for NXRT?

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (C) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NXRT's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $23.3M with strong 36.7% FCF margin demonstrates cash generation despite profitability issues. Positive operating income of $8.5M with 13.4% operating margin shows core business operations are fundamentally profitable. ChatGPT: Positive operating income with 11.1% margin. Strong operating cash flow and 33.3% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in NXRT?

Claude: Interest coverage ratio of 0.6x is critical—operating income insufficient to cover interest expense, creating imminent debt service distress. Extreme leverage with 5.88x debt-to-equity ratio and only $18.5M cash against $1.6B long-term debt limits financial flexibility. ChatGPT: High leverage (5.39x D/E) and weak 0.5x interest coverage. Persistent net losses with negative ROE/ROA.

What is NXRT's revenue and growth?

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. reported revenue of $63.5M.

Does NXRT pay dividends?

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. pays dividends, with $14.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NXRT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (CIK: 0001620393) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NXRT's EPS?

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.27.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NXRT's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. has a C grade with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NXRT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NXRT: ROE of -2.5% (sector avg: 8%), net margin of -10.6% (sector avg: 20%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NXRT's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NXRT's free cash flow?

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $23.3M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 36.7%.

How does NXRT compare to other Real Estate stocks?

Vs Real Estate sector averages: Net margin -10.6% (avg: 20%), ROE -2.5% (avg: 8%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.5).

Is NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. carrying too much debt?

NXRT has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.88x, which is above the Real Estate sector average of 1.5x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI