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MDV-PA Stock Analysis 2026 - MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. AI Rating

MDV-PA NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001645873
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MDV-PA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $46.4M
Net Margin: 2.3%
Free Cash Flow: $14.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.61x
EPS: $-0.31
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Is MDV-PA a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MODIV Industrial shows deteriorating financial health with critically weak interest coverage (0.9x), insufficient operating cash flow to service debt obligations, and negative diluted EPS despite revenue stability. The high leverage (1.61x debt/equity) combined with inadequate debt servicing capacity presents significant solvency risk for a REIT dependent on refinancing.

Why Buy MDV-PA? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Stable revenue base with minimal YoY decline (-0.8%)
  • + Strong free cash flow of $14.0M with 30.1% FCF margin demonstrates operational cash generation
  • + Reasonable operating margin of 34.1% indicating core business efficiency

MDV-PA Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x indicates operating income barely covers interest expense, creating refinancing risk
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity of 1.61x and $261.5M long-term debt against only $14.4M cash leaves minimal liquidity buffer
  • ! Negative diluted EPS of -$0.31 with 224% YoY deterioration suggests shareholder value destruction despite positive net income
  • ! Weak returns on equity (0.7%) and assets (0.2%) indicate poor capital deployment efficiency

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend - critical sustainability threshold is 1.25x minimum
  • * Debt maturity schedule and refinancing capacity given market conditions
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability relative to debt service obligations
  • * Capital expenditure requirements and free cash flow after maintenance capex

MDV-PA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$46.4M
Net Income
$1.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.31
Free Cash Flow
$14.0M
Total Assets
$476.5M
Cash Position
$14.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 30.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MDV-PA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 34.1%
Net Margin 2.3%
ROE 0.7%
ROA 0.2%
FCF Margin 30.1%

MDV-PA vs Default Sector

How MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MDV-PA 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MDV-PA Sector
ROE
MDV-PA 0.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MDV-PA Sector
Current Ratio
MDV-PA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MDV-PA Sector
Debt/Equity
MDV-PA 1.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MDV-PA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MDV-PA Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
2.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.61x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MDV-PA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.61x
Debt/Assets
57.6%
Interest Coverage
0.94x
Long-term Debt
$261.5M

MDV-PA 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MDV-PA 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $24.5M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $38.9M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $38.6M, Net Income -$49.1M, EPS $-6.14. Year 2022: Revenue $46.2M, Net Income -$435.5K, EPS $-0.20.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC.'s revenue has grown significantly by 88% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.25 reflects profitable operations.

MDV-PA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
30.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MDV-PA Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $11.7M -$145.0K $0.00
Q2 2025 $11.4M -$1.2M $0.03
Q1 2025 $11.8M $829.0K $-0.01
Q3 2024 $11.7M -$586.4K $-0.18
Q2 2024 $11.4M $217.6K $0.03
Q1 2024 $10.4M $3.7M $0.33
Q3 2021 $9.6M -$1.1M $-0.13
Q2 2021 $9.2M -$1.0M $-0.13

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MDV-PA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$15.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.4M
Returned to shareholders

MDV-PA SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. (CIK: 0001645873)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 25, 2026 8-K cik0001645873-20260325.htm View →
Mar 25, 2026 10-K none-20251231.htm View →
Mar 19, 2026 8-K cik0001645873-20260319.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773711515.xml View →
Feb 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771370437.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MDV-PA

What is the AI rating for MDV-PA?

MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. (MDV-PA) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MDV-PA's key strengths?

Claude: Stable revenue base with minimal YoY decline (-0.8%). Strong free cash flow of $14.0M with 30.1% FCF margin demonstrates operational cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in MDV-PA?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x indicates operating income barely covers interest expense, creating refinancing risk. High leverage with debt-to-equity of 1.61x and $261.5M long-term debt against only $14.4M cash leaves minimal liquidity buffer.

What is MDV-PA's revenue and growth?

MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. reported revenue of $46.4M.

Does MDV-PA pay dividends?

MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. pays dividends, with $1.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MDV-PA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. (CIK: 0001645873) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MDV-PA's EPS?

MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. has a diluted EPS of $-0.31.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MDV-PA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MDV-PA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MDV-PA: ROE of 0.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MDV-PA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MDV-PA's free cash flow?

MODIV INDUSTRIAL, INC.'s operating cash flow is $15.0M, with capital expenditures of $1.0M. FCF margin is 30.1%.

How does MDV-PA compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 0.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI