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LSTR Stock Analysis 2026 - LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC AI Rating

LSTR Nasdaq Trucking (No Local) DE CIK: 0000853816
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-27
HOLD
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LSTR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.7B
Net Margin: 2.4%
Free Cash Flow: $215.0M
Current Ratio: 1.75x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $3.31
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence

Is LSTR a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Landstar System demonstrates exceptional financial strength with zero long-term debt, fortress balance sheet, and robust free cash flow generation of $215M annually, providing significant downside protection and capital flexibility. However, the company faces material growth headwinds with flat revenues and net income (0% YoY) combined with a severe 39.9% EPS decline, signaling earnings deterioration and shareholder value erosion despite strong operational cash generation.

Why Buy LSTR? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Zero long-term debt with fortress balance sheet providing financial flexibility and downside protection
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($215M) with FCF margin of 4.5% supporting distributions and strategic optionality
  • + Strong liquidity position with $396.7M cash equivalents and 1.75x current ratio providing operational cushion
  • + Solid return metrics (ROE 14.5%, ROA 7.0%) despite growth stagnation
  • + Capital-light business model with minimal capex requirements ($9.9M on $4.7B revenue)

LSTR Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Zero revenue growth (0% YoY) indicating market stagnation, saturation, or loss of competitive position
  • ! Sharp 39.9% EPS decline despite flat net income suggests material share dilution and deteriorating per-share economics
  • ! Thin net margins (2.4%) leave minimal buffer for industry cost pressures, fuel inflation, or freight market headwinds
  • ! Zero earnings growth (0% YoY net income) with declining shareholder returns indicates business quality deterioration
  • ! Trucking industry cyclicality and structural headwinds including driver shortages, regulatory pressures, and freight pricing volatility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and freight pricing power in trucking market
  • * Net income growth trajectory and operating margin sustainability
  • * EPS trend drivers and share dilution rates affecting shareholder value
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital allocation strategy (buybacks vs. debt reduction)
  • * Operating leverage improvement and competitive market share dynamics

LSTR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.7B
Net Income
$115.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.31
Free Cash Flow
$215.0M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$396.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 4.5% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

LSTR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 3.2%
Net Margin 2.4%
ROE 14.5%
ROA 7.0%
FCF Margin 4.5%

LSTR vs Default Sector

How LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
LSTR 2.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
LSTR Sector
ROE
LSTR 14.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
LSTR Sector
Current Ratio
LSTR 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
LSTR Sector
Debt/Equity
LSTR 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
LSTR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LSTR Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
14.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
2.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LSTR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.75x
Quick Ratio
1.75x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
27.14x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

LSTR 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LSTR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.5B, Net Income $227.7M, EPS $5.72. Year 2022: Revenue $7.4B, Net Income $192.1M, EPS $4.98. Year 2023: Revenue $7.4B, Net Income $381.5M, EPS $9.98. Year 2024: Revenue $7.4B, Net Income $430.9M, EPS $11.76. Year 2025: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $264.4M, EPS $7.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC's revenue has declined by 19% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $7.36 reflects profitable operations.

LSTR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
4.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LSTR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.2B $19.4M $0.56
Q2 2025 $1.2B $41.9M $1.20
Q1 2025 $1.2B $29.8M $0.85
Q3 2024 $1.2B $50.0M $1.41
Q2 2024 $1.2B $52.6M $1.48
Q1 2024 $1.2B $47.1M $1.32
Q3 2023 $1.3B $61.7M $1.71
Q2 2023 $1.4B $66.6M $1.85

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LSTR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$224.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$179.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$9.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$124.8M
Returned to shareholders

LSTR SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC (CIK: 0000853816)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 8-K d105778d8k.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 DEF 14A d84490ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 25, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 10-K d66072d10k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LSTR

What is the AI rating for LSTR?

LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC (LSTR) has an AI rating of HOLD with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LSTR's key strengths?

Claude: Zero long-term debt with fortress balance sheet providing financial flexibility and downside protection. Exceptional free cash flow generation ($215M) with FCF margin of 4.5% supporting distributions and strategic optionality.

What are the risks of investing in LSTR?

Claude: Zero revenue growth (0% YoY) indicating market stagnation, saturation, or loss of competitive position. Sharp 39.9% EPS decline despite flat net income suggests material share dilution and deteriorating per-share economics.

What is LSTR's revenue and growth?

LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC reported revenue of $4.7B.

Does LSTR pay dividends?

LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC pays dividends, with $124.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find LSTR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC (CIK: 0000853816) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LSTR's EPS?

LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC has a diluted EPS of $3.31.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LSTR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC has a HOLD rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LSTR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LSTR: ROE of 14.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LSTR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LSTR's free cash flow?

LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC's operating cash flow is $224.9M, with capital expenditures of $9.9M. FCF margin is 4.5%.

How does LSTR compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 14.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.75 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-27 | Powered by Claude AI