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LAD Stock Analysis 2026 - LITHIA MOTORS INC AI Rating

LAD NYSE Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations OR CIK: 0001023128
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
52% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LAD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $37.6B
Net Margin: 2.2%
Free Cash Flow: $5.8M
Current Ratio: 1.17x
Debt/Equity: 1.47x
EPS: $32.32
AI Rating: HOLD with 52% confidence

Is LAD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Lithia Motors demonstrates revenue growth (+4.0% YoY) but faces fundamental headwinds: net income declined despite top-line expansion, and critically, the company generates essentially zero free cash flow ($5.8M on $37.6B revenue). Combined with elevated leverage (1.47x D/E) and a weak quick ratio (0.26x), the company has limited financial flexibility in a cyclical auto retail sector.

Why Buy LAD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive revenue growth of 4.0% YoY in competitive retail market
  • + EPS growth of 9.7% YoY demonstrates earnings accretion through capital allocation
  • + Operating cash flow of $356.7M provides adequate liquidity for operations and interest coverage of 5.8x is serviceable

LAD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Near-zero free cash flow ($5.8M FCF margin of 0.0%) severely constrains debt service capacity and strategic flexibility
  • ! Elevated leverage of 1.47x Debt/Equity with $9.7B long-term debt creates vulnerability to operational downturns or margin pressure
  • ! Margin compression evident: net income declined 0.8% YoY despite 4.0% revenue growth, indicating profitability deterioration and thin 2.2% net margins leave minimal error tolerance

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trends and working capital changes—zero FCF generation is unsustainable and must improve
  • * Gross and operating margin progression—further compression would signal competitive or demand weakness
  • * Debt-to-EBITDA ratio and debt reduction pace given leverage constraints in a cyclical industry

LAD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$37.6B
Net Income
$819.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$32.32
Free Cash Flow
$5.8M
Total Assets
$25.1B
Cash Position
$391.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.0% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

LAD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 15.2%
Operating Margin 4.2%
Net Margin 2.2%
ROE 12.4%
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin 0.0%

LAD vs Consumer Sector

How LITHIA MOTORS INC compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
LAD 2.2%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
LAD Sector
ROE
LAD 12.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
LAD Sector
Current Ratio
LAD 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
LAD Sector
Debt/Equity
LAD 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
LAD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LAD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, LITHIA MOTORS INC shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.4%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
2.2%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.47x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LAD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.17x
Quick Ratio
0.26x
Debt/Equity
1.47x
Debt/Assets
73.6%
Interest Coverage
5.79x
Long-term Debt
$9.7B

LAD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LAD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $22.8B, Net Income $271.5M, EPS $11.60. Year 2022: Revenue $28.2B, Net Income $470.3M, EPS $19.53. Year 2023: Revenue $31.0B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $36.54. Year 2024: Revenue $36.2B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $44.17. Year 2025: Revenue $37.6B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $36.29.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: LITHIA MOTORS INC's revenue has grown significantly by 65% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $36.29 reflects profitable operations.

LAD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LAD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for LITHIA MOTORS INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $9.2B $207.3M $7.73
Q2 2025 $9.2B $214.2M $7.87
Q1 2025 $8.6B $162.6M $5.89
Q3 2024 $8.3B $209.1M $7.80
Q2 2024 $8.1B $214.2M $7.87
Q1 2024 $7.0B $162.6M $5.89
Q3 2023 $7.3B $261.5M $9.46
Q2 2023 $7.2B $297.2M $10.78

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LAD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$356.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$960.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$350.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$55.3M
Returned to shareholders

LAD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for LITHIA MOTORS INC (CIK: 0001023128)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773441571.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 DEF 14A lad-20260311.htm View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772660101.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 8-K lad-20260227.htm View →
Feb 25, 2026 10-K lad-20251231.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LAD

What is the AI rating for LAD?

LITHIA MOTORS INC (LAD) has an AI rating of HOLD with 52% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LAD's key strengths?

Claude: Positive revenue growth of 4.0% YoY in competitive retail market. EPS growth of 9.7% YoY demonstrates earnings accretion through capital allocation.

What are the risks of investing in LAD?

Claude: Near-zero free cash flow ($5.8M FCF margin of 0.0%) severely constrains debt service capacity and strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage of 1.47x Debt/Equity with $9.7B long-term debt creates vulnerability to operational downturns or margin pressure.

What is LAD's revenue and growth?

LITHIA MOTORS INC reported revenue of $37.6B.

Does LAD pay dividends?

LITHIA MOTORS INC pays dividends, with $55.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find LAD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for LITHIA MOTORS INC (CIK: 0001023128) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LAD's EPS?

LITHIA MOTORS INC has a diluted EPS of $32.32.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LAD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, LITHIA MOTORS INC has a HOLD rating with 52% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LAD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LAD: ROE of 12.4% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 2.2% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LAD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives LITHIA MOTORS INC a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LAD's free cash flow?

LITHIA MOTORS INC's operating cash flow is $356.7M, with capital expenditures of $350.9M. FCF margin is 0.0%.

How does LAD compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 2.2% (avg: 8%), ROE 12.4% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.17 (avg: 1.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI