📊 HUBG Key Takeaways
Is HUBG a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
Hub Group demonstrates financial stability with strong liquidity and positive free cash flow generation, but faces material headwinds with declining revenue (-6.1% YoY) and deteriorating earnings (-35.1% EPS decline). The company's thin operating margins (4.0%) and weak return on equity (4.7%) offer limited upside without significant operational improvement.
Why Buy HUBG? Key Strengths
- Strong balance sheet with conservative debt/equity ratio of 0.15x and excellent interest coverage of 14.6x
- Positive free cash flow generation of $120.4M despite margin pressures, indicating underlying cash generation capability
- Healthy current ratio of 1.47x provides adequate liquidity cushion for operational needs
HUBG Investment Risks to Consider
- Revenue decline of 6.1% YoY indicates topline contraction and potential market share losses in competitive logistics sector
- Operating margins of 4.0% leave minimal room for error; vulnerable to cost pressures in cyclical transportation industry
- EPS down 35.1% YoY while net income remains flat suggests significant underlying operational deterioration beyond nominal factors
- Low return on equity (4.7%) and ROA (2.8%) indicate capital deployment inefficiency
- Cyclical industry exposure with economic sensitivity; vulnerable to freight market downturns
Key Metrics to Watch
- Revenue growth trend - critical to confirm if decline reverses or continues as structural headwind
- Operating margin expansion - assess cost management and pricing power recovery
- Free cash flow sustainability - ensure positive FCF persists amid revenue contraction
- Return on equity improvement - need material improvement from current 4.7% level
- Market share dynamics - track competitive positioning relative to industry peers
HUBG Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
The relatively thin 4.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.
HUBG Profitability Ratios
HUBG vs Default Sector
How Hub Group, Inc. compares to Default sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is HUBG Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, Hub Group, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
HUBG Balance Sheet & Liquidity
HUBG 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: Hub Group, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 45% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.32 reflects profitable operations.
HUBG Growth Metrics (YoY)
HUBG Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $934.5M | $23.6M | $0.39 |
| Q2 2025 | $905.6M | $25.2M | $0.42 |
| Q1 2025 | $915.2M | $26.8M | $0.44 |
| Q3 2024 | $986.9M | $23.6M | $0.39 |
| Q2 2024 | $986.5M | $29.0M | $0.47 |
| Q1 2024 | $999.5M | $27.1M | $0.44 |
| Q3 2023 | $1.0B | $30.5M | $0.97 |
| Q2 2023 | $1.0B | $46.5M | $1.44 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
HUBG Capital Allocation
HUBG SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hub Group, Inc. (CIK: 0000940942)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about HUBG
What is the AI rating for HUBG?
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) has an AI rating of HOLD with 60% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are HUBG's key strengths?
Claude: Strong balance sheet with conservative debt/equity ratio of 0.15x and excellent interest coverage of 14.6x. Positive free cash flow generation of $120.4M despite margin pressures, indicating underlying cash generation capability.
What are the risks of investing in HUBG?
Claude: Revenue decline of 6.1% YoY indicates topline contraction and potential market share losses in competitive logistics sector. Operating margins of 4.0% leave minimal room for error; vulnerable to cost pressures in cyclical transportation industry.
What is HUBG's revenue and growth?
Hub Group, Inc. reported revenue of $2.8B.
Does HUBG pay dividends?
Hub Group, Inc. pays dividends, with $22.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.
Where can I find HUBG SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Hub Group, Inc. (CIK: 0000940942) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is HUBG's EPS?
Hub Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.34.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is HUBG a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hub Group, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 60% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is HUBG stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for HUBG: ROE of 4.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy HUBG stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Hub Group, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is HUBG's free cash flow?
Hub Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $159.6M, with capital expenditures of $39.2M. FCF margin is 4.4%.
How does HUBG compare to other Default stocks?
Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.9% (avg: 12%), ROE 4.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.47 (avg: 1.8).