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BCO Stock Analysis - BRINKS CO AI Rating

BCO NYSE Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo VA CIK: 0000078890
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 BCO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $5.3B
Net Margin: 3.8%
Free Cash Flow: $62.8M
Current Ratio: 1.51x
Debt/Equity: 13.72x
EPS: $4.69
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Brinks demonstrates solid operational performance with 5% revenue growth and strong ROE of 71.9%, but faces significant leverage challenges with a 13.72x debt-to-equity ratio and weak free cash flow conversion at only 1.2% margin. The high financial leverage combined with modest FCF generation limits financial flexibility despite improving EPS through share buybacks rather than operational earnings growth.

BCO Strengths

  • + Consistent 5% revenue growth in transportation services sector
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 5.2x provides debt servicing cushion
  • + Exceptional ROE of 71.9% indicates efficient use of equity capital
  • + Adequate liquidity with 1.51x current ratio and $1.7B cash position
  • + High insider activity with 37 Form 4 filings suggests management confidence

BCO Risks

  • ! Extreme leverage at 13.72x debt-to-equity ratio creates financial distress risk
  • ! Declining net income (-5% YoY) despite revenue growth signals margin compression
  • ! Weak free cash flow of $62.8M (1.2% margin) insufficient for deleveraging
  • ! Low net margin of 3.8% provides minimal buffer for operational disruptions
  • ! EPS growth of 29.2% driven by share buybacks rather than operational earnings improvement

Key Metrics to Watch

BCO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$5.3B
Net Income
$199.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.69
Free Cash Flow
$62.8M
Total Assets
$7.3B
Cash Position
$1.7B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.2% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

BCO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 11.1%
Net Margin 3.8%
ROE 71.9%
ROA 2.7%
FCF Margin 1.2%

BCO vs Default Sector

How BRINKS CO compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
BCO 3.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
BCO Sector
ROE
BCO 71.9%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
BCO Sector
Current Ratio
BCO 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
BCO Sector
Debt/Equity
BCO 13.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
BCO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

BCO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.51x
Quick Ratio
1.51x
Debt/Equity
13.72x
Debt/Assets
94.5%
Interest Coverage
5.21x
Long-term Debt
$3.8B

BCO 5-Year Financial Trend

BCO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $29.0M, EPS $0.57. Year 2022: Revenue $4.5B, Net Income $16.0M, EPS $0.31. Year 2023: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $105.2M, EPS $2.10. Year 2024: Revenue $5.0B, Net Income $170.6M, EPS $3.57. Year 2025: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $87.7M, EPS $1.87.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: BRINKS CO's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.87 reflects profitable operations.

BCO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BCO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for BRINKS CO including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.3B $28.9M $0.65
Q2 2025 $1.3B $43.7M $1.02
Q1 2025 $1.2B $49.3M $1.09
Q3 2024 $1.2B $28.9M $0.65
Q2 2024 $1.2B $32.1M $0.68
Q1 2024 $1.2B $15.0M $0.32
Q3 2023 $1.1B $19.2M $0.40
Q2 2023 $1.1B $32.1M $0.68

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BCO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$265.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$209.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$203.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$42.3M
Returned to shareholders

BCO SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for BRINKS CO (CIK: 0000078890)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772749756.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772749750.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772749744.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772671193.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772671188.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BCO

What is the AI rating for BCO?

BRINKS CO (BCO) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BCO's key strengths?

Consistent 5% revenue growth in transportation services sector. Strong interest coverage ratio of 5.2x provides debt servicing cushion.

What are the risks of investing in BCO?

Extreme leverage at 13.72x debt-to-equity ratio creates financial distress risk. Declining net income (-5% YoY) despite revenue growth signals margin compression.

What is BCO's revenue and growth?

BRINKS CO reported revenue of $5.3B.

Does BCO pay dividends?

BRINKS CO pays dividends, with $42.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BCO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for BRINKS CO (CIK: 0000078890) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BCO's EPS?

BRINKS CO has a diluted EPS of $4.69.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI