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EXPD Stock Analysis 2026 - EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC AI Rating

EXPD NYSE Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo WA CIK: 0000746515
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG BUY
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EXPD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $11.1B
Net Margin: 7.3%
Free Cash Flow: $953.4M
Current Ratio: 1.81x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $5.95
AI Rating: STRONG BUY with 92% confidence

Is EXPD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Expeditors demonstrates exceptional financial health with outstanding profitability metrics (34.4% ROE, 16.6% ROA) and strong cash generation (953.4M FCF). The company maintains fortress-like balance sheet strength with zero debt, exceptional liquidity (1.81x current ratio), and substantial cash reserves of 1.3B, providing strategic flexibility and downside protection.

Why Buy EXPD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Outstanding returns on equity (34.4%) and assets (16.6%) indicating highly efficient capital deployment
  • + Fortress balance sheet with zero debt, 1.3B cash, and 1.81x current ratio providing financial resilience
  • + Robust cash generation with 953.4M free cash flow and 8.6% FCF margin demonstrating quality earnings
  • + Strong operating profitability at 9.5% margin with disciplined cost structure (4% gross margin typical for logistics)
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio (219.3x) with no debt burden

EXPD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Modest top-line growth of 4.4% YoY suggests limited revenue expansion in mature logistics market
  • ! Net income essentially flat (-0.2% YoY) despite revenue growth indicates potential margin compression or operating headwinds
  • ! Industry cyclicality and exposure to freight volumes subject to economic slowdowns and supply chain disruptions
  • ! Limited visibility on capital allocation strategy and shareholder return plans with substantial cash balance

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trends and gross margin sustainability amid competitive logistics pricing
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and market share gains in freight forwarding services
  • * Free cash flow conversion consistency and capital allocation decisions
  • * Operating leverage improvement as volumes increase relative to fixed cost base

EXPD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$11.1B
Net Income
$810.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$5.95
Free Cash Flow
$953.4M
Total Assets
$4.9B
Cash Position
$1.3B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

EXPD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 4.0%
Operating Margin 9.5%
Net Margin 7.3%
ROE 34.4%
ROA 16.6%
FCF Margin 8.6%

EXPD vs Default Sector

How EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
EXPD 7.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EXPD Sector
ROE
EXPD 34.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EXPD Sector
Current Ratio
EXPD 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
EXPD Sector
Debt/Equity
EXPD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
EXPD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EXPD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
34.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EXPD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.81x
Quick Ratio
1.81x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
219.28x
Long-term Debt
N/A

EXPD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EXPD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $16.5B, Net Income $590.4M, EPS $3.39. Year 2022: Revenue $17.1B, Net Income $696.1M, EPS $4.07. Year 2023: Revenue $17.1B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $8.27. Year 2024: Revenue $17.1B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $8.26. Year 2025: Revenue $11.1B, Net Income $752.9M, EPS $5.01.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC's revenue has declined by 33% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $5.01 reflects profitable operations.

EXPD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
8.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EXPD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.9B $222.3M $1.63
Q2 2025 $2.4B $175.5M $1.24
Q1 2025 $2.2B $169.2M $1.17
Q3 2024 $2.2B $171.4M $1.16
Q2 2024 $2.2B $175.5M $1.24
Q1 2024 $2.2B $169.2M $1.17
Q3 2023 $2.2B $171.4M $1.16
Q2 2023 $2.2B $196.8M $1.30

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

EXPD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.0B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$667.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$53.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$207.4M
Returned to shareholders

EXPD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC (CIK: 0000746515)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 8-K expd-20260323.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EXPD

What is the AI rating for EXPD?

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC (EXPD) has an AI rating of STRONG BUY with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EXPD's key strengths?

Claude: Outstanding returns on equity (34.4%) and assets (16.6%) indicating highly efficient capital deployment. Fortress balance sheet with zero debt, 1.3B cash, and 1.81x current ratio providing financial resilience.

What are the risks of investing in EXPD?

Claude: Modest top-line growth of 4.4% YoY suggests limited revenue expansion in mature logistics market. Net income essentially flat (-0.2% YoY) despite revenue growth indicates potential margin compression or operating headwinds.

What is EXPD's revenue and growth?

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC reported revenue of $11.1B.

Does EXPD pay dividends?

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC pays dividends, with $207.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EXPD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC (CIK: 0000746515) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EXPD's EPS?

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC has a diluted EPS of $5.95.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EXPD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC has a STRONG BUY rating with 92% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is EXPD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EXPD: ROE of 34.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.3% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy EXPD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC a combined STRONG BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EXPD's free cash flow?

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC's operating cash flow is $1.0B, with capital expenditures of $53.1M. FCF margin is 8.6%.

How does EXPD compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 34.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.81 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI