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HTO Stock Analysis 2026 - H2O AMERICA AI Rating

HTO Nasdaq Water Supply DE CIK: 0000766829
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 HTO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $800.6M
Net Margin: 12.8%
Free Cash Flow: $243.4M
Current Ratio: 0.70x
Debt/Equity: 1.23x
EPS: $2.92
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence

Is HTO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

H2O America demonstrates stable utility fundamentals with excellent free cash flow generation (30.4% FCF margin) and expanding net margins despite flat revenue. However, the company faces concerning balance sheet metrics including a current ratio of 0.70x, minimal cash reserves, and declining revenue that warrant a cautious approach pending evidence of revenue stabilization.

Why Buy HTO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $243.4M with 30.4% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion
  • + Net profitability improving 9.2% YoY despite 0.6% revenue decline indicates operational efficiency gains
  • + Strong operating margin of 22.2% typical of essential water utility business with durable demand
  • + Moderate leverage of 1.23x debt/equity is manageable for regulated utility sector

HTO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Current ratio of 0.70x indicates liquidity constraint with insufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities
  • ! Revenue declining 0.6% YoY raises concerns about business stagnation despite margin expansion
  • ! Minimal cash position of $20.7M relative to $5.1B assets and $1.9B debt creates refinancing vulnerability
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.4x provides limited cushion for operational disruptions or rate increases

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and stabilization in next quarters
  • * Current ratio improvement and cash position adequacy
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions
  • * Interest coverage ratio and debt refinancing requirements

HTO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$800.6M
Net Income
$102.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.92
Free Cash Flow
$243.4M
Total Assets
$5.1B
Cash Position
$20.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 30.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

HTO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 22.2%
Net Margin 12.8%
ROE 6.7%
ROA 2.0%
FCF Margin 30.4%

HTO vs Default Sector

How H2O AMERICA compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
HTO 12.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HTO Sector
ROE
HTO 6.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
HTO Sector
Current Ratio
HTO 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
HTO Sector
Debt/Equity
HTO 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
HTO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is HTO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, H2O AMERICA shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
12.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.23x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

HTO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.70x
Quick Ratio
0.70x
Debt/Equity
1.23x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
2.45x
Long-term Debt
$1.9B

HTO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

HTO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $559.6M, Net Income $23.4M, EPS $0.82. Year 2022: Revenue $586.9M, Net Income $61.5M, EPS $2.14. Year 2023: Revenue $678.2M, Net Income $60.5M, EPS $2.03. Year 2024: Revenue $736.3M, Net Income $73.8M, EPS $2.43. Year 2025: Revenue $805.6M, Net Income $85.0M, EPS $2.68.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: H2O AMERICA's revenue has grown significantly by 44% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.68 reflects profitable operations.

HTO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
30.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HTO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for H2O AMERICA including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $216.7M $11.7M $1.17
Q2 2025 $173.1M $11.7M $0.64
Q1 2025 $150.0M $11.7M $0.36
Q3 2024 $211.7M $11.5M $1.13
Q2 2024 $159.7M $11.5M $0.58
Q1 2024 $135.8M $11.5M $0.36
Q3 2023 $170.0M $3.7M $0.82
Q2 2023 $148.7M $3.7M $0.38

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HTO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$244.8M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$58.6M
Returned to shareholders

HTO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for H2O AMERICA (CIK: 0000766829)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 DEF 14A hto-20260403.htm View →
Mar 4, 2026 8-K tm267546d3_8k.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772588605.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772583127.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772583098.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HTO

What is the AI rating for HTO?

H2O AMERICA (HTO) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HTO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $243.4M with 30.4% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion. Net profitability improving 9.2% YoY despite 0.6% revenue decline indicates operational efficiency gains.

What are the risks of investing in HTO?

Claude: Current ratio of 0.70x indicates liquidity constraint with insufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities. Revenue declining 0.6% YoY raises concerns about business stagnation despite margin expansion.

What is HTO's revenue and growth?

H2O AMERICA reported revenue of $800.6M.

Does HTO pay dividends?

H2O AMERICA pays dividends, with $58.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HTO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for H2O AMERICA (CIK: 0000766829) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HTO's EPS?

H2O AMERICA has a diluted EPS of $2.92.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HTO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, H2O AMERICA has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HTO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HTO: ROE of 6.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 12.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HTO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives H2O AMERICA a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HTO's free cash flow?

H2O AMERICA's operating cash flow is $244.8M, with capital expenditures of $1.5M. FCF margin is 30.4%.

How does HTO compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 12.8% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.70 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI