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AWR Stock Analysis - AMERICAN STATES WATER CO AI Rating

AWR NYSE Water Supply CA CIK: 0001056903
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence

📊 AWR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $658.1M
Net Margin: 19.8%
Free Cash Flow: $-7.1M
Current Ratio: 1.32x
Debt/Equity: 0.75x
EPS: $3.37
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Investment Thesis

American States Water demonstrates solid operational profitability with 30.9% operating margins and stable net margins of 19.8%, supported by strong interest coverage of 7.8x indicating manageable debt levels. However, concerning negative free cash flow of -7.1M despite $229.7M operating cash flow signals that capital expenditures exceed operational returns, which is unsustainable long-term despite the company's regulated utility status providing revenue stability.

AWR Strengths

  • + High operating margin of 30.9% and net margin of 19.8% demonstrate efficient operations in regulated water utility sector
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 7.8x indicates solid debt service capability with moderate leverage at 0.75x debt-to-equity
  • + Substantial operating cash flow of $229.7M provides base capital for infrastructure reinvestment typical in utilities sector
  • + 12.5% ROE and 4.8% ROA reflect reasonable returns on deployed capital for regulated utility

AWR Risks

  • ! Negative free cash flow of -7.1M is concerning; CapEx of $236.8M exceeds operating cash flow, requiring debt financing or rate increases
  • ! Extremely high revenue growth of 381.3% YoY appears anomalous and requires investigation into acquisition activity or accounting changes rather than organic growth
  • ! Low cash position of only $18.8M relative to $2.7B total assets and $782.7M long-term debt limits financial flexibility for emergencies
  • ! Deteriorating capital efficiency: rising CapEx requirements without corresponding FCF growth threatens dividend sustainability and equity returns

Key Metrics to Watch

AWR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$658.1M
Net Income
$130.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.37
Free Cash Flow
$-7.1M
Total Assets
$2.7B
Cash Position
$18.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

AMERICAN STATES WATER CO presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

AWR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 30.9%
Net Margin 19.8%
ROE 12.5%
ROA 4.8%
FCF Margin -1.1%

AWR vs Default Sector

How AMERICAN STATES WATER CO compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
AWR 19.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AWR Sector
ROE
AWR 12.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
AWR Sector
Current Ratio
AWR 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
AWR Sector
Debt/Equity
AWR 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
AWR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

AWR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.32x
Quick Ratio
1.32x
Debt/Equity
0.75x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
7.82x
Long-term Debt
$782.7M

AWR 5-Year Financial Trend

AWR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $120.6M, Net Income $84.3M, EPS $2.28. Year 2022: Revenue $120.6M, Net Income $86.4M, EPS $2.33. Year 2023: Revenue $120.4M, Net Income $94.3M, EPS $2.55. Year 2024: Revenue $126.4M, Net Income $78.4M, EPS $2.11. Year 2025: Revenue $136.7M, Net Income $124.9M, EPS $3.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: AMERICAN STATES WATER CO's revenue has grown significantly by 13% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.36 reflects profitable operations.

AWR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-1.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AWR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for AMERICAN STATES WATER CO including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $161.8M $23.1M $0.95
Q2 2025 $155.3M $23.1M $0.85
Q1 2025 $135.3M $23.1M $0.62
Q3 2024 $151.7M $23.1M $0.85
Q2 2024 $155.3M $23.1M $0.85
Q1 2024 $135.3M $23.1M $0.62
Q3 2023 $135.0M $14.2M $0.69
Q2 2023 $122.6M $14.2M $0.54

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

AWR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$229.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$236.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$74.7M
Returned to shareholders

AWR SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for AMERICAN STATES WATER CO (CIK: 0001056903)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AWR

What is the AI rating for AWR?

AMERICAN STATES WATER CO (AWR) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AWR's key strengths?

High operating margin of 30.9% and net margin of 19.8% demonstrate efficient operations in regulated water utility sector. Strong interest coverage ratio of 7.8x indicates solid debt service capability with moderate leverage at 0.75x debt-to-equity.

What are the risks of investing in AWR?

Negative free cash flow of -7.1M is concerning; CapEx of $236.8M exceeds operating cash flow, requiring debt financing or rate increases. Extremely high revenue growth of 381.3% YoY appears anomalous and requires investigation into acquisition activity or accounting changes rather than organic growth.

What is AWR's revenue and growth?

AMERICAN STATES WATER CO reported revenue of $658.1M.

Does AWR pay dividends?

AMERICAN STATES WATER CO pays dividends, with $74.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AWR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for AMERICAN STATES WATER CO (CIK: 0001056903) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AWR's EPS?

AMERICAN STATES WATER CO has a diluted EPS of $3.37.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI