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Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

XOM NYSE Petroleum Refining NJ CIK: 0000034088
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
80% Confidence
NEUTRAL
SELL
78% Conf
BUY
82% Conf

📊 XOM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $85.1B
Net Margin: 4.9%
Free Cash Flow: $2.2B
Current Ratio: 1.04x
Debt/Equity: 0.13x
EPS: $1.00
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) receives a HOLD rating with 80% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $85.1B, net profit margin of 4.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.6%, Exxon Mobil Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete XOM stock analysis for 2026.

Is Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) a Good Investment?

Claude

Exxon Mobil exhibits concerning fundamental deterioration with net income declining 15.1% YoY while revenue falls 5%, indicating severe margin compression in an already thin-margin business. Returns on equity (1.6%) and assets (0.9%) are critically depressed, signaling poor capital efficiency on a massive $464B asset base. While balance sheet leverage is conservative (0.13x debt/equity), tight liquidity ratios (current 1.04x, quick 0.88x) and minimal FCF margin (2.6%) limit financial flexibility.

ChatGPT

Exxon Mobil shows strong core fundamentals with double-digit operating margins, substantial operating cash flow, and solid free cash flow even amid a modest year-over-year revenue and earnings decline. The balance sheet is conservative, with low debt-to-equity and very strong interest coverage, which supports resilience through commodity cycles. Growth quality appears disciplined rather than aggressive, with heavy but well-supported capital spending and durable profitability.

Why Buy Exxon Mobil Corp. Stock? XOM Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.13x debt/equity ratio providing financial stability
  • + Excellent interest coverage of 23.6x ensures minimal debt service risk
  • + Substantial operating cash flow generation of $8.7B supporting operational continuity
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability with 12.4% operating margin and 8.7% net margin at very large scale
  • + Excellent financial health driven by low leverage, a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, and 68.4x interest coverage
  • + Robust cash generation with $51.97B in operating cash flow and $23.61B in free cash flow after significant capital investment

XOM Stock Risks: Exxon Mobil Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Profitability declining faster than revenue (net income -15.1% vs revenue -5.0%) indicating margin compression
  • ! Severely depressed returns on capital with ROE of 1.6% and ROA of 0.9% destroying shareholder value
  • ! Tight liquidity position with current ratio 1.04x and quick ratio 0.88x below sustainable comfort level
  • ! Minimal free cash flow margin of 2.6% relative to revenue scale limits reinvestment and shareholder distribution capacity
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS all declined year over year, indicating softer near-term earnings momentum
  • ! High capital expenditure requirements reduce flexibility if operating conditions weaken further
  • ! Liquidity is adequate but not especially strong, with a 1.15x current ratio and 0.94x quick ratio

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trajectory and cost structure sustainability in volatile energy markets
  • * Free cash flow generation and trend relative to capital allocation commitments
  • * Return on equity recovery path as critical indicator of capital deployment efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow sustainability relative to capital expenditures
  • * Operating margin and net income trend through commodity cycles

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$85.1B
Net Income
$4.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.00
Free Cash Flow
$2.2B
Total Assets
$464.4B
Cash Position
$8.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.6% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

XOM Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 8.2%
Net Margin 4.9%
ROE 1.6%
ROA 0.9%
FCF Margin 2.6%

XOM vs Energy Sector: How Exxon Mobil Corp. Compares

How Exxon Mobil Corp. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
XOM 4.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
XOM Sector
ROE
XOM 1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
XOM Sector
Current Ratio
XOM 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
XOM Sector
Debt/Equity
XOM 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
XOM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Exxon Mobil Corp. Stock Overvalued? XOM Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Exxon Mobil Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.6%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
4.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Exxon Mobil Corp. Balance Sheet: XOM Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.04x
Quick Ratio
0.88x
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Debt/Assets
43.8%
Interest Coverage
23.62x
Long-term Debt
$33.1B

XOM Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

XOM 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $279.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $279.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $276.7B, Net Income $14.3B, EPS $3.36.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Exxon Mobil Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 1% decline. The most recent EPS of $8.89 reflects profitable operations.

XOM Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

XOM Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Exxon Mobil Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $83.1B $4.2B $1.00
Q3 2025 $85.3B $7.5B $1.76
Q2 2025 $81.5B $7.1B $1.64
Q1 2025 $83.1B $7.7B $1.76
Q3 2024 $90.0B $8.6B $1.92
Q2 2024 $82.9B $7.9B $1.94
Q1 2024 $83.1B $8.2B $2.06
Q3 2023 $90.8B $9.1B $2.25

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Exxon Mobil Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$8.7B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$4.9B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$6.5B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$4.3B
Returned to shareholders

XOM SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Exxon Mobil Corp. (CIK: 0000034088)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 4, 2026 8-K xom-20260428.htm View →
May 4, 2026 10-Q xom-20260331.htm View →
May 1, 2026 8-K xom-20260501.htm View →
Apr 8, 2026 DEF 14A d16317ddef14a.htm View →
Apr 8, 2026 8-K xom-20260408.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about XOM

What is the AI rating for XOM?

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are XOM's key strengths?

Claude: Conservative balance sheet with 0.13x debt/equity ratio providing financial stability. Excellent interest coverage of 23.6x ensures minimal debt service risk. ChatGPT: Strong profitability with 12.4% operating margin and 8.7% net margin at very large scale. Excellent financial health driven by low leverage, a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, and 68.4x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in XOM?

Claude: Profitability declining faster than revenue (net income -15.1% vs revenue -5.0%) indicating margin compression. Severely depressed returns on capital with ROE of 1.6% and ROA of 0.9% destroying shareholder value. ChatGPT: Revenue, net income, and diluted EPS all declined year over year, indicating softer near-term earnings momentum. High capital expenditure requirements reduce flexibility if operating conditions weaken further.

What is XOM's revenue and growth?

Exxon Mobil Corp. reported revenue of $85.1B.

Does XOM pay dividends?

Exxon Mobil Corp. pays dividends, with $4,334.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find XOM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Exxon Mobil Corp. (CIK: 0000034088) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is XOM's EPS?

Exxon Mobil Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is XOM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Exxon Mobil Corp. has a HOLD rating with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is XOM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for XOM: ROE of 1.6% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 4.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy XOM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Exxon Mobil Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is XOM's free cash flow?

Exxon Mobil Corp.'s operating cash flow is $8.7B, with capital expenditures of $6.5B. FCF margin is 2.6%.

How does XOM compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 4.9% (avg: 12%), ROE 1.6% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.04 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI