← Back to All US Stocks

MPC Stock Analysis - Marathon Petroleum Corp AI Rating

MPC NYSE Petroleum Refining DE CIK: 0001510295
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Marathon Petroleum demonstrates solid operational efficiency with a 6.2% operating margin and strong cash generation (4.8B free cash flow), but faces headwinds from declining revenue (-4.4% YoY) and elevated leverage (1.76x debt-to-equity). The company maintains adequate interest coverage (5.6x) and healthy returns on equity (23.4%), suggesting operational resilience despite cyclical energy sector pressures.

MPC Strengths

  • + Strong free cash flow generation of 4.8B with 3.6% FCF margin demonstrates cash-generative business model
  • + Exceptional ROE of 23.4% and solid ROA of 4.8% indicate efficient capital deployment
  • + Interest coverage ratio of 5.6x provides adequate debt service capacity and financial stability
  • + Operating margin of 6.2% reflects strong operational execution in refining operations

MPC Risks

  • ! Revenue decline of 4.4% YoY signals weakness in demand or refining spreads
  • ! High leverage with 1.76x debt-to-equity ratio and 30.5B long-term debt limits financial flexibility
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.74x indicates potential short-term liquidity pressure despite adequate current ratio
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure creates earnings volatility dependent on crude oil and product prices

Key Metrics to Watch

MPC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$132.7B
Net Income
$4.0B
EPS (Diluted)
$13.22
Free Cash Flow
$4.8B
Total Assets
$84.0B
Cash Position
$3.7B

MPC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 6.2%
Net Margin 3.0%
ROE 23.4%
ROA 4.8%
FCF Margin 3.6%

MPC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.26x
Quick Ratio
0.74x
Debt/Equity
1.76x
Debt/Assets
71.3%
Interest Coverage
5.57x
Long-term Debt
$30.5B

MPC 5-Year Financial Trend

MPC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $120.0B, Net Income $2.6B, EPS $3.97. Year 2022: Revenue $177.5B, Net Income -$9.8B, EPS $-15.13. Year 2023: Revenue $177.5B, Net Income $9.7B, EPS $15.24. Year 2024: Revenue $177.5B, Net Income $14.5B, EPS $28.12. Year 2025: Revenue $148.4B, Net Income $9.7B, EPS $23.63.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Marathon Petroleum Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 24% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $23.63 reflects profitable operations.

MPC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MPC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Marathon Petroleum Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $34.8B $622.0M $1.87
Q2 2025 $33.8B $1.1B $3.68
Q1 2025 $31.5B -$74.0M $-0.24
Q3 2024 $35.1B $622.0M $1.87
Q2 2024 $36.3B $1.5B $4.33
Q1 2024 $32.7B $937.0M $2.58
Q3 2023 $40.9B $3.3B $8.28
Q2 2023 $36.3B $2.2B $5.32

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MPC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$8.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.5B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.5B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.1B
Returned to shareholders

MPC SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Marathon Petroleum Corp (CIK: 0001510295)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI