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Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

WLFC Nasdaq Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies DE CIK: 0001018164
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-09-30
SELL
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 WLFC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $536.6M
Net Margin: 18.9%
Free Cash Flow: $185.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 3.44x
EPS: $13.89
AI Rating: SELL with 68% confidence
Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC) receives a SELL rating with 68% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $536.6M, net profit margin of 18.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 15.6%, Willis Lease Finance Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete WLFC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC) a Good Investment?

Claude

Willis Lease Finance exhibits strong profitability (18.9% net margin, 34.6% FCF margin) and solid cash generation, but faces material financial risk from critical structural imbalances: interest coverage of 0.9x with $2.2B debt leaves minimal margin for error, while zero revenue growth and extreme leverage (3.44x D/E) limit financial flexibility. The capital structure poses heightened distress risk if lease market conditions deteriorate.

Why Buy Willis Lease Finance Corp. Stock? WLFC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $185.9M with 34.6% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion efficiency
  • + Solid net profitability of 18.9% margin and 15.6% ROE indicates the core business is operationally sound
  • + Operating cash flow of $209.1M exceeds net income, reflecting earnings quality and working capital management

WLFC Stock Risks: Willis Lease Finance Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x indicates operating income barely covers debt service with zero margin for deterioration—unsustainable capital structure
  • ! Zero YoY revenue growth signals market stagnation or competitive pressure, limiting organic expansion and debt reduction capacity
  • ! Extreme leverage with 3.44x debt-to-equity ratio and only $12.9M cash reserves creates acute refinancing and liquidity risk in adverse scenarios

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend—must improve above 1.5x to reduce distress risk
  • * Revenue growth trajectory—any continued flat or negative growth further constrains debt service capability
  • * Debt/Equity ratio and cash position—monitor deleveraging progress and cash accumulation to build financial cushion

Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$536.6M
Net Income
$101.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$13.89
Free Cash Flow
$185.9M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$12.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 34.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

WLFC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.8%
Net Margin 18.9%
ROE 15.6%
ROA 3.0%
FCF Margin 34.6%

WLFC vs Industrial Sector: How Willis Lease Finance Corp. Compares

How Willis Lease Finance Corp. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
WLFC 18.9%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
WLFC Sector
ROE
WLFC 15.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
WLFC Sector
Current Ratio
WLFC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
WLFC Sector
Debt/Equity
WLFC 3.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
WLFC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Willis Lease Finance Corp. Stock Overvalued? WLFC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Willis Lease Finance Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
15.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
18.9%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.44x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Willis Lease Finance Corp. Balance Sheet: WLFC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
3.44x
Debt/Assets
79.1%
Interest Coverage
0.90x
Long-term Debt
$2.2B

WLFC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

WLFC 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $569.2M, Net Income $43.8M, EPS $6.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Willis Lease Finance Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $6.23 reflects profitable operations.

WLFC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
34.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

WLFC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Willis Lease Finance Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2024 $4.7M $4.4M $0.55
Q3 2022 $2.4M $1.6M $-0.14
Q2 2020 $26.5M $5.4M $0.74
Q1 2020 $20.5M $4.3M $0.56
Q3 2019 $19.4M $9.7M $1.47
Q2 2019 $22.0M $8.4M $1.26
Q1 2019 $15.4M $7.1M $1.00
Q3 2018 $19.4M $5.3M $0.80

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Willis Lease Finance Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$209.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$11.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$23.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$5.7M
Returned to shareholders

WLFC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Willis Lease Finance Corp. (CIK: 0001018164)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775222841.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 31, 2026 8-K wlfc-20260326.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about WLFC

What is the AI rating for WLFC?

Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC) has an AI rating of SELL with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are WLFC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $185.9M with 34.6% FCF margin demonstrates strong cash conversion efficiency. Solid net profitability of 18.9% margin and 15.6% ROE indicates the core business is operationally sound.

What are the risks of investing in WLFC?

Claude: Critical interest coverage ratio of 0.9x indicates operating income barely covers debt service with zero margin for deterioration—unsustainable capital structure. Zero YoY revenue growth signals market stagnation or competitive pressure, limiting organic expansion and debt reduction capacity.

What is WLFC's revenue and growth?

Willis Lease Finance Corp. reported revenue of $536.6M.

Does WLFC pay dividends?

Willis Lease Finance Corp. pays dividends, with $5.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find WLFC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Willis Lease Finance Corp. (CIK: 0001018164) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is WLFC's EPS?

Willis Lease Finance Corp. has a diluted EPS of $13.89.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is WLFC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corp. has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is WLFC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for WLFC: ROE of 15.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 18.9% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy WLFC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Willis Lease Finance Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is WLFC's free cash flow?

Willis Lease Finance Corp.'s operating cash flow is $209.1M, with capital expenditures of $23.2M. FCF margin is 34.6%.

How does WLFC compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 18.9% (avg: 10%), ROE 15.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Is Willis Lease Finance Corp. carrying too much debt?

WLFC has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.44x, which is above the Industrial sector average of 0.7x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-09-30 | Powered by Claude AI