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ASLE Stock Analysis - AerSale Corp AI Rating

ASLE Nasdaq Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies DE CIK: 0001754170
Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
75% Confidence

Investment Thesis

AerSale Corp exhibits concerning operational deterioration with negative free cash flow of -$29.1M despite flat revenue growth, indicating fundamental cash generation weakness in a low-margin business (2.6% net margin). The company's severely depressed returns on equity (2.0%) and assets (1.3%), combined with declining operating cash flow, suggest structural profitability challenges that are not offset by its relatively strong balance sheet.

ASLE Strengths

  • + Strong balance sheet with manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x and low long-term debt of $1.3M
  • + Solid current ratio of 3.71x indicating adequate short-term liquidity
  • + Gross margin of 31.5% provides reasonable cost structure in wholesale machinery sector

ASLE Risks

  • ! Significant negative free cash flow of -$29.1M with -8.7% FCF margin indicates the company is burning cash despite profitability
  • ! Deteriorating operating cash flow of -$23.0M suggests working capital issues and potential operational distress
  • ! Very low returns on equity (2.0%) and assets (1.3%) demonstrate poor capital efficiency and value destruction
  • ! Stagnant revenue growth (0.0% YoY) combined with minimal net income growth limits future earnings visibility
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.88x below 1.0x threshold indicates potential liquidity stress when excluding inventory

Key Metrics to Watch

ASLE Financial Metrics

Revenue
$335.3M
Net Income
$8.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.18
Free Cash Flow
$-29.1M
Total Assets
$640.5M
Cash Position
$4.4M

ASLE Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 31.5%
Operating Margin 4.7%
Net Margin 2.6%
ROE 2.0%
ROA 1.3%
FCF Margin -8.7%

ASLE Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.71x
Quick Ratio
0.88x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
33.7%
Interest Coverage
2.05x
Long-term Debt
$1.3M

ASLE 5-Year Financial Trend

ASLE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $340.4M, Net Income $15.5M, EPS $-516.98. Year 2022: Revenue $408.5M, Net Income $8.1M, EPS $7.39. Year 2023: Revenue $408.5M, Net Income $36.1M, EPS $0.76. Year 2024: Revenue $408.5M, Net Income $43.9M, EPS $0.83. Year 2025: Revenue $345.1M, Net Income -$5.6M, EPS $-0.15.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: AerSale Corp's revenue has shown modest growth of 1% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.15 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

ASLE Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-8.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ASLE Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for AerSale Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $71.2M -$120.0K $0.00
Q2 2025 $77.1M $2.6M $0.05
Q1 2025 $65.8M -$5.3M $-0.10
Q3 2024 $82.7M $5.0K $0.00
Q2 2024 $69.3M $5.0K $0.05
Q1 2024 $78.3M $5.0K $0.12
Q3 2023 $51.0M $5.0K $-0.07
Q2 2023 $69.3M $5.0K $-0.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ASLE Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$23.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$6.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ASLE SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for AerSale Corp (CIK: 0001754170)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI