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RXO, Inc. (RXO) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

RXO NYSE Transportation Services DE CIK: 0001929561
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
72% Confidence
N/A
C
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 RXO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.4B
Net Margin: -2.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-24.0M
Current Ratio: 1.27x
Debt/Equity: 0.28x
EPS: $-0.21
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
RXO, Inc. (RXO) receives a C fundamental grade with 72% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.4B, net profit margin of -2.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of -2.4%, RXO, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete RXO stock analysis for 2026.

Is RXO, Inc. (RXO) a Good Investment?

Claude

RXO demonstrates strong revenue growth of 26.2% YoY, but this growth masks deteriorating fundamentals: the company is unprofitable across all metrics with operating and free cash flow deeply negative (-$24M FCF), while maintaining critically low cash reserves of only $21M against $430M in debt. The inability to convert strong topline growth into profitability, combined with cash burn and tight liquidity (1.27x current ratio), indicates operational challenges that outweigh growth prospects.

RXO, Inc. Key Strengths (RXO)

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 26.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and scale expansion
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x provides some financial flexibility
  • + EPS improving 72.8% YoY (though still negative) suggests marginal profitability improvement

RXO Stock Risks: RXO, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Deeply negative free cash flow of -$24M with only $21M cash on hand creates imminent liquidity pressure
  • ! Operating income and net income both negative despite strong revenue growth, indicating severe operational inefficiency
  • ! Current ratio of 1.27x provides minimal buffer; company is burning cash faster than generating it
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$7M) indicates core business is not self-sustaining

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Path to operating profitability and breakeven cash flow generation
  • * Cash position and runway given current burn rate
  • * Operating margin improvement and cost structure management

RXO, Inc. (RXO) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.4B
Net Income
$-36.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.21
Free Cash Flow
$-24.0M
Total Assets
$3.3B
Cash Position
$21.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

RXO, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

RXO Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -2.0%
Net Margin -2.5%
ROE -2.4%
ROA -1.1%
FCF Margin -1.7%

RXO vs Transportation Sector: How RXO, Inc. Compares

How RXO, Inc. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
RXO -2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
RXO Sector
ROE
RXO -2.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
RXO Sector
Current Ratio
RXO 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
RXO Sector
Debt/Equity
RXO 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
RXO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is RXO, Inc. Stock Overvalued? RXO Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, RXO, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-2.4%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
-2.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

RXO, Inc. Balance Sheet: RXO Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.27x
Quick Ratio
1.27x
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$430.0M

RXO Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

RXO 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $43.0M, EPS $0.37. Year 2023: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $150.0M, EPS $1.30. Year 2024: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income $92.0M, EPS $0.79. Year 2025: Revenue $5.7B, Net Income $4.0M, EPS $0.03.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: RXO, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 20% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.03 reflects profitable operations.

RXO Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-1.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RXO Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for RXO, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.4B -$31.0M $-0.18
Q3 2025 $1.0B -$14.0M $-0.08
Q2 2025 $930.0M -$7.0M $-0.05
Q1 2025 $913.0M -$15.0M $-0.13
Q3 2024 $976.0M -$1.0M $-0.01
Q2 2024 $930.0M $3.0M $0.03
Q1 2024 $913.0M N/A $0.00
Q3 2023 $976.0M -$1.0M $-0.01

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

RXO, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$7.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$17.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

RXO SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for RXO, Inc. (CIK: 0001929561)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260781743_4-wilkerson.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/es260780822_4-morris.xml View →
May 13, 2026 8-K rxo-20260512.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q rxo-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K rxo-20260507.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RXO

What is the AI rating for RXO?

RXO, Inc. (RXO) has an AI grade of C with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RXO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 26.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and scale expansion. Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x provides some financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in RXO?

Claude: Deeply negative free cash flow of -$24M with only $21M cash on hand creates imminent liquidity pressure. Operating income and net income both negative despite strong revenue growth, indicating severe operational inefficiency.

What is RXO's revenue and growth?

RXO, Inc. reported revenue of $1.4B.

Does RXO pay dividends?

RXO, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find RXO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for RXO, Inc. (CIK: 0001929561) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RXO's EPS?

RXO, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.21.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is RXO's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, RXO, Inc. has a C grade with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is RXO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RXO: ROE of -2.4% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of -2.5% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is RXO's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives RXO, Inc. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RXO's free cash flow?

RXO, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-7.0M, with capital expenditures of $17.0M. FCF margin is -1.7%.

How does RXO compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin -2.5% (avg: 10%), ROE -2.4% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.27 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI