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GATX Stock Analysis 2026 - GATX CORP AI Rating

GATX NYSE Transportation Services NY CIK: 0000040211
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 GATX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.7B
Net Margin: 19.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.0B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 4.55x
EPS: $9.12
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is GATX a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

GATX demonstrates solid profitability with 19.2% net margins and consistent revenue growth (+9.8% YoY), but faces significant capital intensity with negative free cash flow of -$1.0B and a highly leveraged balance sheet (4.55x debt/equity). The company's ability to service substantial debt and fund capital expenditures while maintaining shareholder value requires careful monitoring.

Why Buy GATX? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net profit margin of 19.2% indicating efficient operations in transportation services
  • + Consistent revenue growth of 9.8% YoY with EPS growth of 17.2% YoY
  • + Adequate cash reserves of $743M to support near-term obligations
  • + High insider activity with 30 Form 4 filings suggesting management confidence

GATX Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe negative free cash flow of -$1.0B with FCF margin of -58.4%, indicating capital expenditures ($1.7B) far exceed operating cash flow ($648.1M)
  • ! Highly leveraged capital structure with debt-to-equity of 4.55x and long-term debt of $12.5B against only $2.8B equity
  • ! ROA of 1.9% is concerningly low for an $18B asset base, suggesting poor asset utilization efficiency
  • ! Capital intensity and negative FCF creates reliance on external financing or debt markets to fund operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend relative to capital expenditure requirements
  • * Debt service capacity and refinancing needs given 4.55x leverage
  • * Asset return improvement and utilization efficiency metrics
  • * Quarterly free cash flow progression to determine if negative FCF is sustainable or temporary

GATX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.7B
Net Income
$333.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$9.12
Free Cash Flow
$-1.0B
Total Assets
$18.0B
Cash Position
$743.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GATX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 19.2%
ROE 12.1%
ROA 1.9%
FCF Margin -58.4%

GATX vs Default Sector

How GATX CORP compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
GATX 19.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GATX Sector
ROE
GATX 12.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GATX Sector
Current Ratio
GATX 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GATX Sector
Debt/Equity
GATX 4.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GATX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GATX Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, GATX CORP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.1%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
19.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
4.55x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GATX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
4.55x
Debt/Assets
79.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$12.5B

GATX 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GATX 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $211.3M, EPS $5.52. Year 2021: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $211.2M, EPS $5.81. Year 2023: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $143.1M, EPS $3.98. Year 2024: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $155.9M, EPS $4.35. Year 2025: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $259.2M, EPS $7.12.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GATX CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 44% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.12 reflects profitable operations.

GATX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-58.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GATX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GATX CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $405.4M $82.2M $2.25
Q2 2025 $386.7M $44.4M $1.21
Q1 2025 $379.9M $74.3M $2.03
Q3 2024 $360.1M $52.5M $1.44
Q2 2024 $343.2M $44.4M $1.21
Q1 2024 $338.9M $74.3M $2.03
Q3 2023 $321.0M $29.1M $0.81
Q2 2023 $312.7M $2.6M $0.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GATX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$648.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$65.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.7B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$89.8M
Returned to shareholders

GATX SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GATX CORP (CIK: 0000040211)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 8-K d120598d8k.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 DEF 14A gatx-20260424xdef14a.htm View →
Feb 25, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Feb 25, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Feb 25, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GATX

What is the AI rating for GATX?

GATX CORP (GATX) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GATX's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net profit margin of 19.2% indicating efficient operations in transportation services. Consistent revenue growth of 9.8% YoY with EPS growth of 17.2% YoY.

What are the risks of investing in GATX?

Claude: Severe negative free cash flow of -$1.0B with FCF margin of -58.4%, indicating capital expenditures ($1.7B) far exceed operating cash flow ($648.1M). Highly leveraged capital structure with debt-to-equity of 4.55x and long-term debt of $12.5B against only $2.8B equity.

What is GATX's revenue and growth?

GATX CORP reported revenue of $1.7B.

Does GATX pay dividends?

GATX CORP pays dividends, with $89.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GATX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GATX CORP (CIK: 0000040211) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GATX's EPS?

GATX CORP has a diluted EPS of $9.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GATX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, GATX CORP has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GATX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GATX: ROE of 12.1% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 19.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GATX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GATX CORP a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GATX's free cash flow?

GATX CORP's operating cash flow is $648.1M, with capital expenditures of $1.7B. FCF margin is -58.4%.

How does GATX compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 19.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 12.1% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI