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PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

PRG NYSE Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC GA CIK: 0001808834
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 14, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
60% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 PRG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.4B
Net Margin: 6.1%
Free Cash Flow: $324.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.80x
EPS: $3.59
AI Rating: HOLD with 60% confidence
PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) receives a HOLD rating with 60% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.4B, net profit margin of 6.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 19.7%, PROG Holdings, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete PRG stock analysis for 2026.

Is PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) a Good Investment?

Claude

PROG generates robust free cash flow of $325M (13.5% FCF margin) supported by a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage, but faces significant operational headwinds evidenced by 25.6% net income decline and near-zero revenue growth (0.4%) despite stable demand in equipment rental. The company requires demonstrated margin recovery and revenue acceleration to justify investment.

Why Buy PROG Holdings, Inc. Stock? PRG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $325M annually with 13.5% FCF margin demonstrates highly efficient unit economics
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.80x debt/equity ratio and 5.5x interest coverage provides financial flexibility
  • + Strong capital efficiency with ROE of 19.7% and ROA of 9.1% despite current operational challenges

PRG Stock Risks: PROG Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe earnings deterioration with net income down 25.6% and diluted EPS down 20.8% YoY signals margin compression or operational issues
  • ! Stagnant revenue growth at 0.4% indicates market saturation, competitive pressures, or demand weakness in core rental business
  • ! Abnormally low capex of $10M raises concerns about equipment fleet maintenance and renewal capability relative to asset base

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate and market share trends in equipment rental sector
  • * Operating margin stability and cost structure management
  • * Capital expenditure levels and relationship to depreciation/fleet replacement cycles

PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.4B
Net Income
$146.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.59
Free Cash Flow
$324.9M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$308.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

PRG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 8.6%
Net Margin 6.1%
ROE 19.7%
ROA 9.1%
FCF Margin 13.5%

PRG vs Industrial Sector: How PROG Holdings, Inc. Compares

How PROG Holdings, Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
PRG 6.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
PRG Sector
ROE
PRG 19.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
PRG Sector
Current Ratio
PRG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
PRG Sector
Debt/Equity
PRG 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
PRG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is PROG Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? PRG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, PROG Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
19.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
6.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.80x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

PROG Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: PRG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.80x
Debt/Assets
53.7%
Interest Coverage
5.53x
Long-term Debt
$594.9M

PRG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

PRG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income $31.5M, EPS $0.47. Year 2022: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income -$61.5M, EPS $-0.90. Year 2023: Revenue $2.7B, Net Income $243.6M, EPS $3.67. Year 2024: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $98.7M, EPS $1.90. Year 2025: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $138.8M, EPS $2.98.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: PROG Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 10% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $2.98 reflects profitable operations.

PRG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
13.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

PRG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for PROG Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $595.1M $22.0M $0.82
Q2 2025 $592.2M $22.0M $0.77
Q1 2025 $641.9M $22.0M $0.49
Q3 2024 $582.9M $22.0M $0.76
Q2 2024 $592.2M $22.0M $0.77
Q1 2024 $641.9M $22.0M $0.49
Q3 2023 $582.9M $16.0M $0.32
Q2 2023 $592.8M $19.5M $0.37

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

PROG Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$335.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$51.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$10.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$20.8M
Returned to shareholders

PRG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for PROG Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001808834)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 26, 2026 DEF 14A prg-20260326.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K prg-20260310.htm View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773106247.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773106199.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773106158.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about PRG

What is the AI rating for PRG?

PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) has an AI rating of HOLD with 60% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are PRG's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $325M annually with 13.5% FCF margin demonstrates highly efficient unit economics. Conservative leverage with 0.80x debt/equity ratio and 5.5x interest coverage provides financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in PRG?

Claude: Severe earnings deterioration with net income down 25.6% and diluted EPS down 20.8% YoY signals margin compression or operational issues. Stagnant revenue growth at 0.4% indicates market saturation, competitive pressures, or demand weakness in core rental business.

What is PRG's revenue and growth?

PROG Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $2.4B.

Does PRG pay dividends?

PROG Holdings, Inc. pays dividends, with $20.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find PRG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for PROG Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001808834) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is PRG's EPS?

PROG Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $3.59.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is PRG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, PROG Holdings, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 60% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is PRG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for PRG: ROE of 19.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 6.1% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy PRG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives PROG Holdings, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is PRG's free cash flow?

PROG Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $335.0M, with capital expenditures of $10.0M. FCF margin is 13.5%.

How does PRG compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 6.1% (avg: 10%), ROE 19.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 14, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI