← Back to All US Stocks

CTOS Stock Analysis - Custom Truck One Source, Inc. AI Rating

CTOS NYSE Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC DE CIK: 0001709682
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence

📊 CTOS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.9B
Net Margin: -1.6%
Free Cash Flow: $310.1M
Current Ratio: 1.33x
Debt/Equity: 2.03x
EPS: $-0.14
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Investment Thesis

Custom Truck One Source demonstrates strong revenue growth (+34.4% YoY) and impressive operating cash flow generation ($310.1M), but is severely hampered by net losses (-$31.1M), negative profitability margins (-1.6% net margin), and deteriorating returns on equity (-3.8%). The high leverage ratio (2.03x debt/equity) combined with weak liquidity metrics and inability to convert operating success into net profitability presents substantial operational and financial risks.

CTOS Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 34.4% YoY demonstrating market demand and business expansion
  • + Substantial operating cash flow of $310.1M with healthy 16.0% FCF margin indicating asset-intensive model generates cash
  • + Moderate interest coverage ratio of 2.8x suggesting ability to service debt obligations currently

CTOS Risks

  • ! Significant net losses of -$31.1M with negative net margin of -1.6% indicating operational profitability challenges despite gross margin of 21.2%
  • ! High leverage with 2.03x debt/equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $6.3M cash equivalents creating refinancing and liquidity risks
  • ! Deteriorating return metrics with ROE of -3.8% and ROA of -0.9% showing poor capital efficiency and value destruction for shareholders
  • ! Weak quick ratio of 0.26x indicating potential working capital strain beyond operating cash flow reliance

Key Metrics to Watch

CTOS Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.9B
Net Income
$-31.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.14
Free Cash Flow
$310.1M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$6.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

CTOS Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 21.2%
Operating Margin 6.4%
Net Margin -1.6%
ROE -3.8%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin 16.0%

CTOS vs Default Sector

How Custom Truck One Source, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
CTOS -1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CTOS Sector
ROE
CTOS -3.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CTOS Sector
Current Ratio
CTOS 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CTOS Sector
Debt/Equity
CTOS 2.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CTOS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CTOS Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.33x
Quick Ratio
0.26x
Debt/Equity
2.03x
Debt/Assets
0.4%
Interest Coverage
2.78x
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

CTOS 5-Year Financial Trend

CTOS 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $788.5M, Net Income -$11.0M, EPS $-0.82. Year 2022: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$21.3M, EPS $-0.43. Year 2023: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income -$181.5M, EPS $-0.75. Year 2024: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $38.9M, EPS $0.16. Year 2025: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $50.7M, EPS $0.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 83% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.21 reflects profitable operations.

CTOS Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CTOS Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $337.5M -$5.8M $-0.03
Q2 2025 $320.6M -$14.3M $-0.10
Q1 2025 $303.5M -$14.3M $-0.06
Q3 2024 $305.0M $9.2M $0.04
Q2 2024 $315.7M $11.6M $0.05
Q1 2024 $303.5M $13.8M $0.06
Q3 2023 $242.3M -$2.4M $-0.01
Q2 2023 $245.0M -$3.3M $0.04

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CTOS Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$310.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$32.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CTOS SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CIK: 0001709682)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 10-K ctos-20251231.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K ctos-20260310.htm View →
Dec 23, 2025 8-K ctos-20251219.htm View →
Oct 27, 2025 10-Q ctos-20250930.htm View →
Oct 27, 2025 8-K ctos-20251027.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CTOS

What is the AI rating for CTOS?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CTOS's key strengths?

Strong revenue growth of 34.4% YoY demonstrating market demand and business expansion. Substantial operating cash flow of $310.1M with healthy 16.0% FCF margin indicating asset-intensive model generates cash.

What are the risks of investing in CTOS?

Significant net losses of -$31.1M with negative net margin of -1.6% indicating operational profitability challenges despite gross margin of 21.2%. High leverage with 2.03x debt/equity ratio and $1.6B long-term debt against only $6.3M cash equivalents creating refinancing and liquidity risks.

What is CTOS's revenue and growth?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. reported revenue of $1.9B.

Does CTOS pay dividends?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CTOS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CIK: 0001709682) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CTOS's EPS?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI