📊 ORGNW Key Takeaways
Is Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGNW) a Good Investment?
Origin Materials faces fundamental operational distress with -249.7M net loss on only 18.9M revenue, coupled with a 39.5% YoY revenue decline. Despite adequate liquidity and minimal leverage, the company's severe negative free cash flow (-63.0M) and deteriorating profitability indicate an unsustainable business trajectory that will deplete capital reserves within 2-3 years at current burn rates.
Fundamentals show severe operating losses with collapsing revenue and extremely negative margins, ROE, and ROA, indicating an uneconomic model at current scale. While liquidity and leverage are presently manageable, the sizable cash burn and negative free cash flow versus cash on hand imply a short runway and high likelihood of external financing.
Origin Materials, Inc. Key Strengths (ORGNW)
- Strong liquidity position with 2.83x current ratio and 32.9M cash reserves providing near-term runway
- Minimal leverage with 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio and only 5.1M long-term debt limiting financial distress risk
- Positive stockholders equity of 104.2M and substantial asset base of 157.7M provide potential recovery cushion
- Strong liquidity (current ratio ~2.8x, quick ~2.8x)
- Low leverage with minimal long-term debt (D/E ~0.05x)
- Positive equity base relative to liabilities
ORGNW Stock Risks: Origin Materials, Inc. Investment Risks
- Catastrophic operating losses of -259.1M on minimal revenue of 18.9M indicate fundamental business model failure
- Negative free cash flow of -63.0M combined with -32.8M operating cash burn will deplete cash reserves within 24 months without revenue recovery
- Revenue contraction of 39.5% YoY coupled with significant capex spending of 30.2M suggests investments are not generating returns
- Revenue down 39.5% YoY and very small scale
- Extremely negative operating/net margins; gross margin not established
- Heavy cash burn and negative FCF versus cash balance, implying financing/dilution risk
Key Metrics to Watch
- Quarterly revenue trend and revenue growth stabilization
- Operating cash flow trajectory and path to cash flow breakeven
- Cash balance depletion rate relative to burn and capex spending
- Operating cash flow (burn rate)
- Gross margin
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGNW) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios
💡 AI Analyst Insight
Strong liquidity with a 2.83x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.
ORGNW Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis
ORGNW vs Materials Sector: How Origin Materials, Inc. Compares
How Origin Materials, Inc. compares to Materials sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is Origin Materials, Inc. Stock Overvalued? ORGNW Valuation Analysis 2026
Based on fundamental analysis, Origin Materials, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
Origin Materials, Inc. Balance Sheet: ORGNW Debt, Cash & Liquidity
ORGNW Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend
5-Year Trend Summary: Origin Materials, Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 9% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-17.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
ORGNW Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance
ORGNW Quarterly Earnings & Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $477.0K | -$17.7M | $-3.28 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7M | -$12.7M | $-0.11 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8M | -$12.7M | $-0.09 |
| Q1 2025 | $5.4M | -$13.9M | $-0.10 |
| Q3 2024 | $7.1M | -$6.5M | $0.22 |
| Q2 2024 | $6.9M | $3.3M | $0.02 |
| Q1 2024 | $1.7M | $9.8M | $0.07 |
| Q3 2023 | N/A | $8.3M | $0.06 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
Origin Materials, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation
ORGNW SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Origin Materials, Inc. (CIK: 0001802457)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about ORGNW
What is the AI rating for ORGNW?
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGNW) has a Combined AI Grade of D from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (D) with 85% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are ORGNW's key strengths?
Claude: Strong liquidity position with 2.83x current ratio and 32.9M cash reserves providing near-term runway. Minimal leverage with 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio and only 5.1M long-term debt limiting financial distress risk. ChatGPT: Strong liquidity (current ratio ~2.8x, quick ~2.8x). Low leverage with minimal long-term debt (D/E ~0.05x).
What are the risks of investing in ORGNW?
Claude: Catastrophic operating losses of -259.1M on minimal revenue of 18.9M indicate fundamental business model failure. Negative free cash flow of -63.0M combined with -32.8M operating cash burn will deplete cash reserves within 24 months without revenue recovery. ChatGPT: Revenue down 39.5% YoY and very small scale. Extremely negative operating/net margins; gross margin not established.
What is ORGNW's revenue and growth?
Origin Materials, Inc. reported revenue of $18.9M.
Does ORGNW pay dividends?
Origin Materials, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find ORGNW SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Origin Materials, Inc. (CIK: 0001802457) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is ORGNW's EPS?
Origin Materials, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-50.55.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
What is ORGNW's fundamental grade?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Origin Materials, Inc. has a D grade with 85% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.
Is ORGNW stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for ORGNW: ROE of -239.6% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -1,319.6% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
What is ORGNW's AI grade for 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Origin Materials, Inc. a combined D grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is ORGNW's free cash flow?
Origin Materials, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-32.8M, with capital expenditures of $30.2M. FCF margin is -332.9%.
How does ORGNW compare to other Materials stocks?
Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -1,319.6% (avg: 10%), ROE -239.6% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.83 (avg: 1.6).