📊 GPRE Key Takeaways
Is Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) a Good Investment?
Despite explosive 1006.8% YoY revenue growth, Green Plains exhibits severe fundamental deterioration: negative operating cash flow of -39.5M alongside positive net income suggests poor earnings quality, diluted EPS declined 39.5% YoY indicating severe margin compression or share dilution, and abysmal ROE of 4.2% reveals value destruction. The divergence between accounting profits and cash generation is unsustainable.
Liquidity is solid and leverage is moderate, and the business generated positive operating and free cash flow despite reporting losses. However, profitability remains negative with thin gross margin and very weak interest coverage, suggesting growth quality and earnings durability are not yet proven. Await clear margin expansion and coverage improvement before a more constructive view.
Why Buy Green Plains Inc. Stock? GPRE Key Strengths
- Exceptional revenue growth of 1006.8% YoY demonstrates significant business expansion
- Positive net income of 32.9M with 7.4% net margin shows current profitability
- Conservative leverage at 0.50x debt-to-equity ratio with strong 5.8x interest coverage
- Healthy liquidity (1.79x current, 1.70x quick)
- Moderate leverage with meaningful equity base (0.49x D/E)
- Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow
GPRE Stock Risks: Green Plains Inc. Investment Risks
- Critical negative operating cash flow of -39.5M despite positive net income indicates severe earnings quality deterioration and working capital stress
- Diluted EPS declined 39.5% YoY while revenue surged 1006%, suggesting extreme margin compression or massive share dilution eroding shareholder value
- Anemic returns with 4.2% ROE and 2.1% ROA demonstrate poor capital efficiency and value destruction from large asset base
- Sustained operating and net losses with negative margins and ROE
- Very weak interest coverage (-8.6x) heightens financing risk
- Revenue growth quality questionable given 6.5% gross margin
Key Metrics to Watch
- Operating cash flow trend and working capital components to verify sustainability of reported earnings
- Diluted share count changes and EPS trajectory to quantify shareholder dilution
- Cash depletion rate relative to negative free cash flow of -45.9M and adequacy of 95.7M cash position
- Operating margin (turn and sustain > 0%)
- Interest coverage (improve toward and above 1x)
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios
💡 AI Analyst Insight
Green Plains Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.
GPRE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis
GPRE vs Materials Sector: How Green Plains Inc. Compares
How Green Plains Inc. compares to Materials sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is Green Plains Inc. Stock Overvalued? GPRE Valuation Analysis 2026
Based on fundamental analysis, Green Plains Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
Green Plains Inc. Balance Sheet: GPRE Debt, Cash & Liquidity
GPRE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend
5-Year Trend Summary: Green Plains Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 119% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.59 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
GPRE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance
GPRE Quarterly Earnings & Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $35.8M | $32.9M | $0.42 |
| Q3 2025 | $39.1M | $11.9M | $0.17 |
| Q2 2025 | $41.1M | -$24.4M | $-0.38 |
| Q1 2025 | $35.8M | -$51.4M | $-0.81 |
| Q3 2024 | $32.9M | $22.3M | $0.35 |
| Q2 2024 | $31.3M | -$24.4M | $-0.38 |
| Q1 2024 | $41.6M | -$51.4M | $-0.81 |
| Q3 2023 | $13.8M | $22.3M | $0.35 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
Green Plains Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation
GPRE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Green Plains Inc. (CIK: 0001309402)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about GPRE
What is the AI rating for GPRE?
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are GPRE's key strengths?
Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 1006.8% YoY demonstrates significant business expansion. Positive net income of 32.9M with 7.4% net margin shows current profitability. ChatGPT: Healthy liquidity (1.79x current, 1.70x quick). Moderate leverage with meaningful equity base (0.49x D/E).
What are the risks of investing in GPRE?
Claude: Critical negative operating cash flow of -39.5M despite positive net income indicates severe earnings quality deterioration and working capital stress. Diluted EPS declined 39.5% YoY while revenue surged 1006%, suggesting extreme margin compression or massive share dilution eroding shareholder value. ChatGPT: Sustained operating and net losses with negative margins and ROE. Very weak interest coverage (-8.6x) heightens financing risk.
What is GPRE's revenue and growth?
Green Plains Inc. reported revenue of $445.8M.
Does GPRE pay dividends?
Green Plains Inc. pays dividends, with $0.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.
Where can I find GPRE SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Green Plains Inc. (CIK: 0001309402) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is GPRE's EPS?
Green Plains Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.42.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is GPRE a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Green Plains Inc. has a SELL rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is GPRE stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for GPRE: ROE of 4.2% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 7.4% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy GPRE stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Green Plains Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is GPRE's free cash flow?
Green Plains Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-39.5M, with capital expenditures of $6.4M. FCF margin is -10.3%.
How does GPRE compare to other Materials stocks?
Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 7.4% (avg: 10%), ROE 4.2% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.71 (avg: 1.6).