📊 GEVO Key Takeaways
Is GEVO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
Gevo exhibits severe operational dysfunction with persistent negative profitability despite $160.6M in revenue, indicating fundamental business model challenges in its specialty chemicals operations. The company is burning cash at an unsustainable rate (-$43.5M free cash flow) while simultaneously deploying significant capital expenditures, raising serious concerns about path to profitability and capital efficiency.
Why Buy GEVO? Key Strengths
- Adequate liquidity position with $81.2M cash and 1.82x current ratio providing near-term runway
- Conservative debt structure with 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial distress risk
- Moderate absolute revenue base at $160.6M providing some revenue scale despite profitability challenges
GEVO Investment Risks to Consider
- Severe cash burn of -$43.5M annually with negative operating cash flow unsustainable without external financing
- Persistent negative gross margin (-6.5%) indicates fundamental product pricing or cost structure problems at core operations
- Massive negative interest coverage (-37.3x) from operating losses creates vulnerability to rising rates and refinancing risk on $164.8M long-term debt
Key Metrics to Watch
- Path to positive gross margin and timeline for operating profitability
- Monthly/quarterly cash burn rate and remaining months of runway at current burn
- Capital expenditure completion and expected revenue contribution from new capacity investments
GEVO Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
Gevo, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.
GEVO Profitability Ratios
GEVO vs Industrial Sector
How Gevo, Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is GEVO Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, Gevo, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
GEVO Balance Sheet & Liquidity
GEVO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: Gevo, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 13,566% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.34 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
GEVO Growth Metrics (YoY)
GEVO Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $2.0M | -$8.0M | $-0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3M | $2.1M | $0.01 |
| Q1 2025 | $4.0M | -$18.9M | $-0.08 |
| Q3 2024 | $2.0M | -$15.7M | $-0.07 |
| Q2 2024 | $4.2M | -$14.4M | $-0.06 |
| Q1 2024 | $4.0M | -$17.6M | $-0.07 |
| Q3 2023 | $309.0K | -$15.7M | $-0.07 |
| Q2 2023 | $89.0K | -$13.2M | $-0.06 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
GEVO Capital Allocation
GEVO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Gevo, Inc. (CIK: 0001392380)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about GEVO
What is the AI rating for GEVO?
Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are GEVO's key strengths?
Claude: Adequate liquidity position with $81.2M cash and 1.82x current ratio providing near-term runway. Conservative debt structure with 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial distress risk.
What are the risks of investing in GEVO?
Claude: Severe cash burn of -$43.5M annually with negative operating cash flow unsustainable without external financing. Persistent negative gross margin (-6.5%) indicates fundamental product pricing or cost structure problems at core operations.
What is GEVO's revenue and growth?
Gevo, Inc. reported revenue of $160.6M.
Does GEVO pay dividends?
Gevo, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find GEVO SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Gevo, Inc. (CIK: 0001392380) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is GEVO's EPS?
Gevo, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is GEVO a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Gevo, Inc. has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is GEVO stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for GEVO: ROE of -7.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -21.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy GEVO stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Gevo, Inc. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is GEVO's free cash flow?
Gevo, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-13.4M, with capital expenditures of $30.1M. FCF margin is -27.1%.
How does GEVO compare to other Industrial stocks?
Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin -21.1% (avg: 10%), ROE -7.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.82 (avg: 1.8).