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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NGVC NYSE Retail-Grocery Stores DE CIK: 0001547459
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
72% Conf
B
68% Conf

📊 NGVC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $673.0M
Net Margin: 3.7%
Free Cash Flow: $13.9M
Current Ratio: 1.05x
Debt/Equity: 0.01x
EPS: $1.07
AI Grade: B with 72% confidence
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) receives a B fundamental grade with 70% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $673.0M, net profit margin of 3.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 10.7%, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete NGVC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) a Good Investment?

Claude

NGVC demonstrates financial stability with a fortress balance sheet (0.01x D/E) and positive free cash flow, but faces operational headwinds as revenue growth of 7.2% fails to translate to bottom-line expansion (net income flat YoY). Thin operating margins of 4.9% expose the company to competitive pricing pressure in the fragmented natural grocery sector.

ChatGPT

NGVC delivers steady top-line growth and positive free cash flow supported by a conservative balance sheet and strong interest coverage. Flat net income and low ROE suggest limited operating leverage and ongoing margin pressure in a competitive, low‑margin category. Execution depends on sustaining comps while protecting gross margin and controlling SG&A.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Key Strengths (NGVC)

Claude
  • + Minimal leverage with 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio and minimal long-term debt of $1.5M
  • + Consistent free cash flow generation of $13.9M despite capital expenditure needs
  • + Healthy gross margin of 29.9% with 7.2% YoY revenue growth demonstrating market demand
ChatGPT
  • + Conservative balance sheet with minimal debt and strong interest coverage
  • + Consistent free cash flow generation with disciplined capex
  • + Solid revenue growth with a resilient gross margin profile

NGVC Stock Risks: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income completely flat YoY at $24.8M despite 7.2% revenue growth signals margin compression or expense control issues
  • ! Operating margin of only 4.9% is vulnerable to competitive pricing pressure in commoditized grocery retail
  • ! Low cash position of $20.7M relative to $673M revenue and $29.9M capex creates limited financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • ! Thin margins and flat net income indicate cost pressure
  • ! Tight liquidity (current/quick ~1.07x) and working capital sensitivity
  • ! Intense competition in natural/organic grocery and potential lease cost headwinds

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend and gross margin sustainability
  • * Free cash flow conversion rate and working capital management
  • * Comparable store sales growth and customer traffic patterns
  • * Cash balance and capital allocation strategy
ChatGPT
  • * Comparable-store sales growth (traffic vs. ticket)
  • * Operating margin

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$673.0M
Net Income
$24.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.07
Free Cash Flow
$13.9M
Total Assets
$684.7M
Cash Position
$20.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.1% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

NGVC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 29.9%
Operating Margin 4.9%
Net Margin 3.7%
ROE 10.7%
ROA 3.6%
FCF Margin 2.1%

NGVC vs Consumer Sector: How Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Compares

How Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
NGVC 3.7%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
NGVC Sector
ROE
NGVC 10.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
NGVC Sector
Current Ratio
NGVC 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
NGVC Sector
Debt/Equity
NGVC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
NGVC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Stock Overvalued? NGVC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
10.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
3.7%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Balance Sheet: NGVC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.05x
Quick Ratio
1.05x
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Debt/Assets
66.3%
Interest Coverage
24.35x
Long-term Debt
$1.5M

NGVC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NGVC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $9.4M, EPS $0.42. Year 2022: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $20.0M, EPS $0.89. Year 2023: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $20.6M, EPS $0.91. Year 2024: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $21.4M, EPS $0.94. Year 2025: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $23.2M, EPS $1.02.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 26% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.02 reflects profitable operations.

NGVC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NGVC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $335.8M $9.9M $0.56
Q1 2026 $330.2M $9.9M $0.43
Q3 2025 $309.1M $7.8M $0.40
Q2 2025 $308.1M $7.8M $0.35
Q1 2025 $301.8M $7.8M $0.34
Q3 2024 $281.8M $4.4M $0.31
Q2 2024 $283.2M $5.9M $0.26
Q3 2023 $266.3M $3.9M $0.17

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$43.8M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$29.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$6.9M
Returned to shareholders

NGVC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (CIK: 0001547459)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 8-K ngvc20260505_8k.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q ngvc20260331_10q.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K ngvc20260306_8k.htm View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NGVC

What is the AI rating for NGVC?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NGVC's key strengths?

Claude: Minimal leverage with 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio and minimal long-term debt of $1.5M. Consistent free cash flow generation of $13.9M despite capital expenditure needs. ChatGPT: Conservative balance sheet with minimal debt and strong interest coverage. Consistent free cash flow generation with disciplined capex.

What are the risks of investing in NGVC?

Claude: Net income completely flat YoY at $24.8M despite 7.2% revenue growth signals margin compression or expense control issues. Operating margin of only 4.9% is vulnerable to competitive pricing pressure in commoditized grocery retail. ChatGPT: Thin margins and flat net income indicate cost pressure. Tight liquidity (current/quick ~1.07x) and working capital sensitivity.

What is NGVC's revenue and growth?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. reported revenue of $673.0M.

Does NGVC pay dividends?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. pays dividends, with $6.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NGVC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (CIK: 0001547459) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NGVC's EPS?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NGVC's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. has a B grade with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NGVC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NGVC: ROE of 10.7% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 3.7% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NGVC's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NGVC's free cash flow?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $43.8M, with capital expenditures of $29.9M. FCF margin is 2.1%.

How does NGVC compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 3.7% (avg: 8%), ROE 10.7% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.05 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI