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LOPE Stock Analysis 2026 - Grand Canyon Education, Inc. AI Rating

LOPE Nasdaq Services-Educational Services DE CIK: 0001434588
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LOPE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.1B
Net Margin: 19.5%
Free Cash Flow: $238.6M
Current Ratio: 3.65x
Debt/Equity: 0.14x
EPS: $7.71
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is LOPE a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Grand Canyon Education exhibits exceptional fundamental strength with outstanding profitability margins (24% operating, 19.5% net), exceptional returns on equity (28.9%), and fortress-like financial health with minimal debt (0.14x D/E) and strong cash generation ($238.6M FCF). However, the stall in net income growth despite 7.1% revenue growth indicates margin compression that warrants monitoring before increasing conviction.

Why Buy LOPE? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 24% and net margin of 19.5% demonstrating operational excellence
  • + Outstanding capital efficiency with ROE of 28.9% and ROA of 21.8%
  • + Fortress balance sheet with conservative leverage (0.14x D/E), strong liquidity (3.65x current ratio), and $111.8M cash
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $238.6M (21.6% FCF margin) with low capital intensity
  • + Solid top-line growth of 7.1% YoY demonstrating market demand

LOPE Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Profitability stalling with net income flat and EPS declining 0.3% YoY despite revenue growth signaling margin compression
  • ! Educational services sector exposure to regulatory, policy, and demographic headwinds
  • ! Inability to convert revenue growth into earnings growth indicates operational or cost pressures requiring investigation

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income growth trajectory and operating margin stability
  • * Cost of revenue and operating expense ratios to identify source of margin pressure
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions

LOPE Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.1B
Net Income
$216.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$7.71
Free Cash Flow
$238.6M
Total Assets
$992.3M
Cash Position
$111.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 21.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 3.65x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

LOPE Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 24.0%
Net Margin 19.5%
ROE 28.9%
ROA 21.8%
FCF Margin 21.6%

LOPE vs Default Sector

How Grand Canyon Education, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
LOPE 19.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
LOPE Sector
ROE
LOPE 28.9%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
LOPE Sector
Current Ratio
LOPE 3.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
LOPE Sector
Debt/Equity
LOPE 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
LOPE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LOPE Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
28.9%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
19.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LOPE Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.65x
Quick Ratio
3.65x
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Debt/Assets
24.7%
Interest Coverage
132,955.00x
Long-term Debt
$107.8M

LOPE 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LOPE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $896.6M, Net Income $259.2M, EPS $5.37. Year 2022: Revenue $911.3M, Net Income $257.2M, EPS $5.45. Year 2023: Revenue $960.9M, Net Income $260.3M, EPS $5.92. Year 2024: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $184.7M, EPS $5.73. Year 2025: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $205.0M, EPS $6.80.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 23% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $6.80 reflects profitable operations.

LOPE Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
21.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LOPE Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $238.3M $16.3M $0.58
Q2 2025 $227.5M $34.9M $1.19
Q1 2025 $274.7M $68.0M $2.29
Q3 2024 $221.9M $35.7M $1.19
Q2 2024 $210.6M $29.0M $0.96
Q1 2024 $250.1M $59.6M $1.94
Q3 2023 $208.7M $30.0M $0.96
Q2 2023 $199.8M $25.6M $0.80

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LOPE Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$273.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$264.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$34.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

LOPE SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (CIK: 0001434588)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03032026_040301.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03032026_040301.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03032026_040309.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03032026_040301.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03032026_040310.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LOPE

What is the AI rating for LOPE?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LOPE's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 24% and net margin of 19.5% demonstrating operational excellence. Outstanding capital efficiency with ROE of 28.9% and ROA of 21.8%.

What are the risks of investing in LOPE?

Claude: Profitability stalling with net income flat and EPS declining 0.3% YoY despite revenue growth signaling margin compression. Educational services sector exposure to regulatory, policy, and demographic headwinds.

What is LOPE's revenue and growth?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. reported revenue of $1.1B.

Does LOPE pay dividends?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find LOPE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (CIK: 0001434588) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LOPE's EPS?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $7.71.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LOPE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is LOPE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LOPE: ROE of 28.9% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 19.5% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy LOPE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Grand Canyon Education, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LOPE's free cash flow?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $273.5M, with capital expenditures of $34.8M. FCF margin is 21.6%.

How does LOPE compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 19.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 28.9% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.65 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI