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KW Stock Analysis 2026 - Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. AI Rating

KW NYSE Real Estate DE CIK: 0001408100
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
88% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 KW Key Takeaways

Revenue: $501.0M
Net Margin: -7.7%
Free Cash Flow: $11.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 2.87x
EPS: $-0.28
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 88% confidence

Is KW a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Kennedy-Wilson faces severe financial distress with negative earnings despite positive operations, likely driven by real estate portfolio losses. The company cannot service its $4.4B debt burden with an interest coverage ratio of 0.6x, creating existential refinancing risk. Declining revenue, negative returns on equity/assets, and minimal cash flow generation provide no cushion for a highly leveraged capital structure.

Why Buy KW? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive operating income of $37.4M demonstrates core operations can generate cash
  • + Substantial asset base of $6.6B provides collateral for debt restructuring negotiations
  • + Free cash flow of $11.4M available despite profitability challenges

KW Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage of 0.6x indicates company cannot cover debt service from operations, creating default risk
  • ! Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.87x with $4.4B long-term debt creates refinancing vulnerability
  • ! Net loss of -$38.8M and negative returns on equity/assets show severe value destruction
  • ! Revenue declining 5.7% YoY indicates contracting business base amid challenging real estate environment
  • ! Minimal cash generation relative to debt burden provides no financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio - must exceed 1.25x minimum for financial stability
  • * Operating cash flow trend - needs substantial improvement to service debt
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio trajectory - target below 2.0x
  • * Revenue stabilization and return to profitability
  • * Real estate portfolio valuations and impairment charges

KW Financial Metrics

Revenue
$501.0M
Net Income
$-38.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.28
Free Cash Flow
$11.4M
Total Assets
$6.6B
Cash Position
$184.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.3% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

KW Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 7.5%
Net Margin -7.7%
ROE -2.5%
ROA -0.6%
FCF Margin 2.3%

KW vs Default Sector

How Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
KW -7.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
KW Sector
ROE
KW -2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
KW Sector
Current Ratio
KW 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
KW Sector
Debt/Equity
KW 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
KW Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is KW Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-2.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-7.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.87x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

KW Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
2.87x
Debt/Assets
76.2%
Interest Coverage
0.58x
Long-term Debt
$4.4B

KW 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

KW 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $568.8M, Net Income $321.1M, EPS $1.58. Year 2022: Revenue $540.0M, Net Income $107.8M, EPS $0.66. Year 2023: Revenue $562.6M, Net Income $336.4M, EPS $2.24. Year 2024: Revenue $562.6M, Net Income $101.9M, EPS $0.47. Year 2025: Revenue $562.6M, Net Income -$281.4M, EPS $-2.46.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 1% decline. The most recent EPS of $-2.46 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

KW Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

KW Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $116.4M -$10.2M $-0.15
Q2 2025 $132.0M $5.6M $-0.05
Q1 2025 $128.3M -$29.6M $0.19
Q3 2024 $127.5M -$45.5M $-0.56
Q2 2024 $132.0M -$10.6M $-0.01
Q1 2024 $132.2M -$28.7M $0.19
Q3 2023 $139.6M $23.6M $0.12
Q2 2023 $136.1M -$900.0K $-0.01

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

KW Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$11.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$9.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$68.0M
Returned to shareholders

KW SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001408100)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 31, 2026 8-K ef20069208_8k.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 8-K ny20065855x2_8k.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 8-K kw-20260302.htm View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772234773.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772234767.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about KW

What is the AI rating for KW?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 88% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are KW's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating income of $37.4M demonstrates core operations can generate cash. Substantial asset base of $6.6B provides collateral for debt restructuring negotiations.

What are the risks of investing in KW?

Claude: Interest coverage of 0.6x indicates company cannot cover debt service from operations, creating default risk. Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.87x with $4.4B long-term debt creates refinancing vulnerability.

What is KW's revenue and growth?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $501.0M.

Does KW pay dividends?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. pays dividends, with $68.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find KW SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001408100) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is KW's EPS?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is KW a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. has a STRONG SELL rating with 88% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is KW stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for KW: ROE of -2.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -7.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy KW stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is KW's free cash flow?

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $11.4M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 2.3%.

How does KW compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -7.7% (avg: 12%), ROE -2.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI