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Knife River Corp (KNF) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

KNF NYSE Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) DE CIK: 0001955520
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
77% Confidence
NEUTRAL
STRONG SELL
88% Conf
HOLD
66% Conf

📊 KNF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $410.1M
Net Margin: -19.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-135.9M
Current Ratio: 2.67x
Debt/Equity: 0.92x
EPS: $-1.40
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 88% confidence
Knife River Corp (KNF) receives a SELL rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $410.1M, net profit margin of -19.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of -5.1%, Knife River Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete KNF stock analysis for 2026.

Is Knife River Corp (KNF) a Good Investment?

Claude

Knife River Corp is in financial distress with negative gross margins (-0.7%), deeply negative free cash flow (-135.9M), and critically low cash reserves (13.3M) relative to 1.4B in long-term debt. Despite 8.5% revenue growth, the company cannot convert sales into profitability or positive cash generation, indicating fundamental operational challenges in its nonmetallic minerals business that make debt service unsustainable.

ChatGPT

Knife River shows solid top-line growth with respectable operating profitability, supported by strong liquidity and manageable leverage. However, the sharp YoY EPS decline and negative free cash flow from elevated capex signal near-term execution and cash conversion risks; confirmation of margin resilience and FCF improvement would justify a more constructive view.

Why Buy Knife River Corp Stock? KNF Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of 8.5% YoY demonstrates continued market demand for products
  • + Current ratio of 2.67x suggests near-term liquidity is not immediately critical
  • + Stockholders' equity of 1.6B provides some residual balance sheet cushion
ChatGPT
  • + Healthy liquidity (2.54x current, 1.39x quick)
  • + Strong interest coverage (20.5x) with moderate leverage (0.71x D/E)
  • + Consistent revenue growth and solid 9.1% operating margin

KNF Stock Risks: Knife River Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative gross margin of -0.7% indicates core business operations are unprofitable before overhead costs
  • ! Free cash flow of -135.9M with only 13.3M cash on hand creates unsustainable cash burn trajectory
  • ! Operating cash flow is negative at -58.5M, meaning company cannot generate cash from normal business operations
  • ! Long-term debt of 1.4B with negative interest coverage ratio (-6.2x) creates debt service risk
  • ! Capital expenditure of 77.3M amid operating losses suggests misaligned capital allocation strategy
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative free cash flow driven by high capex
  • ! Earnings pressure evidenced by -22.3% YoY EPS
  • ! Cyclical construction demand and input cost volatility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trajectory - must return to positive territory for long-term viability
  • * Operating cash flow - urgently needs to turn positive to sustain operations
  • * Cash balance and cash burn rate - current 13.3M reserve depletes rapidly at current burn rate
  • * Debt refinancing timeline and covenant compliance with negative earnings
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow margin
  • * Operating margin trajectory

Knife River Corp (KNF) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$410.1M
Net Income
$-79.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.40
Free Cash Flow
$-135.9M
Total Assets
$3.8B
Cash Position
$13.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.67x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

KNF Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin -0.7%
Operating Margin -21.0%
Net Margin -19.3%
ROE -5.1%
ROA -2.1%
FCF Margin -33.1%

KNF vs Materials Sector: How Knife River Corp Compares

How Knife River Corp compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
KNF -19.3%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
KNF Sector
ROE
KNF -5.1%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
KNF Sector
Current Ratio
KNF 2.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
KNF Sector
Debt/Equity
KNF 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
KNF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Knife River Corp Stock Overvalued? KNF Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Knife River Corp shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-5.1%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-19.3%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.92x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Knife River Corp Balance Sheet: KNF Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.67x
Quick Ratio
1.31x
Debt/Equity
0.92x
Debt/Assets
59.2%
Interest Coverage
-6.17x
Long-term Debt
$1.4B

KNF Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

KNF 5-year financial data: Year 2023: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $129.8M, EPS $2.29.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Knife River Corp's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $3.23 reflects profitable operations.

KNF Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-33.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

KNF Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Knife River Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $353.5M -$68.7M $-1.21
Q3 2025 $1.1B -$47.6M $2.20
Q2 2025 $806.9M -$18.1M $-0.32
Q1 2025 $329.6M -$47.6M $-0.84
Q3 2024 $1.1B -$41.3M $2.58
Q2 2024 $785.2M $15.5M $0.27
Q1 2024 $307.9M -$41.3M $-0.73
Q3 2023 $975.4M $38.6M $1.74

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Knife River Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$58.6M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$77.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

KNF SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Knife River Corp (CIK: 0001955520)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 5, 2026 10-Q knf-20260331.htm View →
May 5, 2026 8-K knf-20260505.htm View →
Apr 6, 2026 DEF 14A krc-20260406.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about KNF

What is the AI rating for KNF?

Knife River Corp (KNF) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are KNF's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of 8.5% YoY demonstrates continued market demand for products. Current ratio of 2.67x suggests near-term liquidity is not immediately critical. ChatGPT: Healthy liquidity (2.54x current, 1.39x quick). Strong interest coverage (20.5x) with moderate leverage (0.71x D/E).

What are the risks of investing in KNF?

Claude: Negative gross margin of -0.7% indicates core business operations are unprofitable before overhead costs. Free cash flow of -135.9M with only 13.3M cash on hand creates unsustainable cash burn trajectory. ChatGPT: Negative free cash flow driven by high capex. Earnings pressure evidenced by -22.3% YoY EPS.

What is KNF's revenue and growth?

Knife River Corp reported revenue of $410.1M.

Does KNF pay dividends?

Knife River Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find KNF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Knife River Corp (CIK: 0001955520) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is KNF's EPS?

Knife River Corp has a diluted EPS of $-1.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is KNF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Knife River Corp has a SELL rating with 77% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is KNF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for KNF: ROE of -5.1% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -19.3% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy KNF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Knife River Corp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is KNF's free cash flow?

Knife River Corp's operating cash flow is $-58.6M, with capital expenditures of $77.3M. FCF margin is -33.1%.

How does KNF compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -19.3% (avg: 10%), ROE -5.1% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.67 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI