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MDU Stock Analysis 2026 - MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC AI Rating

MDU NYSE Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) CIK: 0000067716
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MDU Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.9B
Net Margin: 10.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-297.0M
Current Ratio: 0.84x
Debt/Equity: 0.97x
EPS: $0.93
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence

Is MDU a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MDU Resources exhibits significant operational challenges despite modest revenue growth, with deteriorating profitability (net income down 32.3% YoY) and severely negative free cash flow of -$297M indicating the company is consuming capital faster than it generates. The combination of weak liquidity metrics (current ratio of 0.84x), high leverage (0.97x debt-to-equity), and capital expenditures exceeding operating cash flow raises concerns about financial sustainability and ability to service $2.7B in long-term debt.

Why Buy MDU? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio of 10.1x indicates current ability to service debt obligations
  • + Solid operating cash flow of $473.4M demonstrates core business can generate cash from operations
  • + Modest revenue growth of 0.7% YoY shows business maintains some stability despite headwinds

MDU Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$297M signals company is burning cash and relying on external financing or asset sales
  • ! Current ratio of 0.84x indicates potential liquidity stress and difficulty meeting short-term obligations
  • ! Net income decline of 32.3% YoY combined with rising capital expenditures ($770.4M) suggests profitability deterioration and unsustainable capital intensity
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97x limits financial flexibility during operational challenges
  • ! Low returns on equity (6.9%) and assets (2.5%) indicate inefficient capital deployment

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trends and ability to achieve FCF positive operations
  • * Capital expenditure justification and expected return on increased capex investments
  • * Debt refinancing conditions and interest rate environment impact on leverage sustainability

MDU Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.9B
Net Income
$190.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.93
Free Cash Flow
$-297.0M
Total Assets
$7.6B
Cash Position
$28.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MDU Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 15.5%
Net Margin 10.2%
ROE 6.9%
ROA 2.5%
FCF Margin -15.8%

MDU vs Default Sector

How MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MDU 10.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MDU Sector
ROE
MDU 6.9%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MDU Sector
Current Ratio
MDU 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MDU Sector
Debt/Equity
MDU 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MDU Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MDU Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.9%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
10.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.97x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MDU Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.84x
Quick Ratio
0.78x
Debt/Equity
0.97x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
10.12x
Long-term Debt
$2.7B

MDU 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MDU 5-year financial data: Year 2023: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income $378.1M, EPS $1.87. Year 2024: Revenue $1.8B, Net Income $367.5M, EPS $1.81. Year 2025: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $414.7M, EPS $2.03.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC's revenue has declined by 60% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $2.03 reflects profitable operations.

MDU Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-15.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MDU Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $290.7M $13.8M $0.09
Q2 2025 $343.1M $13.8M $0.07
Q1 2025 $588.2M $82.0M $0.40
Q3 2024 $991.3M $38.4M $0.32
Q2 2024 $1.0B $38.4M $0.30
Q1 2024 $1.2B $38.4M $0.19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MDU Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$473.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$770.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$108.2M
Returned to shareholders

MDU SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (CIK: 0000067716)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 1, 2026 DEF 14A mdu-20260331.htm View →
Feb 20, 2026 10-K mdu-20251231.htm View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MDU

What is the AI rating for MDU?

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MDU's key strengths?

Claude: Strong interest coverage ratio of 10.1x indicates current ability to service debt obligations. Solid operating cash flow of $473.4M demonstrates core business can generate cash from operations.

What are the risks of investing in MDU?

Claude: Negative free cash flow of -$297M signals company is burning cash and relying on external financing or asset sales. Current ratio of 0.84x indicates potential liquidity stress and difficulty meeting short-term obligations.

What is MDU's revenue and growth?

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC reported revenue of $1.9B.

Does MDU pay dividends?

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC pays dividends, with $108.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MDU SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (CIK: 0000067716) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MDU's EPS?

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC has a diluted EPS of $0.93.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MDU a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MDU stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MDU: ROE of 6.9% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 10.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MDU stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MDU's free cash flow?

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC's operating cash flow is $473.4M, with capital expenditures of $770.4M. FCF margin is -15.8%.

How does MDU compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 10.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.9% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.84 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI