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HZO Stock Analysis 2026 - MARINEMAX INC AI Rating

HZO NYSE Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores DE CIK: 0001057060
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
82% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 HZO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $505.2M
Net Margin: -1.6%
Free Cash Flow: $8.3M
Current Ratio: 1.19x
Debt/Equity: 0.37x
EPS: $-0.36
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 82% confidence

Is HZO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MarineMax faces severe financial distress with an interest coverage ratio of 0.3x indicating the company cannot cover debt service from operations, combined with negative profitability (-1.6% net margin), declining revenue (-5.0% YoY), and deteriorating returns (negative ROE/ROA). While positive free cash flow and moderate leverage provide temporary breathing room, the company's trajectory is fundamentally unsustainable without significant operational turnaround.

Why Buy HZO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Respectable gross margin of 31.8% demonstrates underlying business economics are viable
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $8.3M provides short-term liquidity buffer
  • + Moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37x and $164.6M cash position offer refinancing flexibility

HZO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage of 0.3x - operating income cannot cover interest expense, indicating solvency stress and default risk
  • ! Unprofitable operations with negative net margin (-1.6%) and negative net income (-$7.9M) unsustainable over time
  • ! Revenue contraction of 5.0% YoY combined with margin compression (1.0% operating margin) suggests persistent business headwinds
  • ! Severely weak quick ratio of 0.29x indicates illiquidity risk when excluding inventory from current assets
  • ! Negative returns on equity (-0.8%) and assets (-0.3%) demonstrate value destruction

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio - must improve above 1.5x to ensure debt sustainability
  • * Operating margin - critical to achieve positive territory and improve to 3%+ for stability
  • * Revenue stabilization and growth return - current -5% trend is unsustainable
  • * Quick ratio and cash position - monitor liquidity adequacy for operational needs

HZO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$505.2M
Net Income
$-7.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.36
Free Cash Flow
$8.3M
Total Assets
$2.4B
Cash Position
$164.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.7% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

HZO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 31.8%
Operating Margin 1.0%
Net Margin -1.6%
ROE -0.8%
ROA -0.3%
FCF Margin 1.7%

HZO vs Consumer Sector

How MARINEMAX INC compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
HZO -1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
HZO Sector
ROE
HZO -0.8%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
HZO Sector
Current Ratio
HZO 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
HZO Sector
Debt/Equity
HZO 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
HZO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is HZO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MARINEMAX INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-0.8%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
-1.6%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.37x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

HZO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.19x
Quick Ratio
0.29x
Debt/Equity
0.37x
Debt/Assets
61.1%
Interest Coverage
0.31x
Long-term Debt
$347.5M

HZO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

HZO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $36.0M, EPS $1.57. Year 2022: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $74.6M, EPS $3.37. Year 2023: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $155.0M, EPS $6.78. Year 2024: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $198.0M, EPS $8.84. Year 2025: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $109.3M, EPS $4.87.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MARINEMAX INC's revenue has grown significantly by 18% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.87 reflects profitable operations.

HZO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HZO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MARINEMAX INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $468.5M -$7.9M $-0.36
Q3 2025 $657.2M -$30.8M $1.37
Q2 2025 $582.9M $1.6M $0.07
Q1 2025 $468.5M $930.0K $0.04
Q3 2024 $721.8M $31.6M $1.37
Q2 2024 $570.3M $1.6M $0.07
Q1 2024 $507.9M $930.0K $0.04
Q3 2023 $688.5M $44.4M $1.98

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HZO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$16.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$27.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$8.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

HZO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MARINEMAX INC (CIK: 0001057060)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 4, 2026 8-K hzo-20260304.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 8-K hzo-20260303.htm View →
Jan 29, 2026 10-Q hzo-20251231.htm View →
Jan 29, 2026 8-K hzo-20260129.htm View →
Jan 21, 2026 DEF 14A hzo-20260121.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HZO

What is the AI rating for HZO?

MARINEMAX INC (HZO) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 82% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HZO's key strengths?

Claude: Respectable gross margin of 31.8% demonstrates underlying business economics are viable. Positive free cash flow generation of $8.3M provides short-term liquidity buffer.

What are the risks of investing in HZO?

Claude: Critical interest coverage of 0.3x - operating income cannot cover interest expense, indicating solvency stress and default risk. Unprofitable operations with negative net margin (-1.6%) and negative net income (-$7.9M) unsustainable over time.

What is HZO's revenue and growth?

MARINEMAX INC reported revenue of $505.2M.

Does HZO pay dividends?

MARINEMAX INC does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find HZO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MARINEMAX INC (CIK: 0001057060) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HZO's EPS?

MARINEMAX INC has a diluted EPS of $-0.36.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HZO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MARINEMAX INC has a STRONG SELL rating with 82% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HZO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HZO: ROE of -0.8% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of -1.6% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HZO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MARINEMAX INC a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HZO's free cash flow?

MARINEMAX INC's operating cash flow is $16.9M, with capital expenditures of $8.5M. FCF margin is 1.7%.

How does HZO compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin -1.6% (avg: 8%), ROE -0.8% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.19 (avg: 1.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI