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TopBuild Corp (BLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

BLD NYSE Construction - Special Trade Contractors DE CIK: 0001633931
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
74% Confidence
NEUTRAL
SELL
72% Conf
BUY
76% Conf

📊 BLD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.4B
Net Margin: 7.2%
Free Cash Flow: $146.7M
Current Ratio: 2.00x
Debt/Equity: 1.18x
EPS: $3.73
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
TopBuild Corp (BLD) receives a HOLD rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.4B, net profit margin of 7.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.4%, TopBuild Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete BLD stock analysis for 2026.

Is TopBuild Corp (BLD) a Good Investment?

Claude

TopBuild exhibits fundamental deterioration with near-zero revenue and net income growth, severely impaired capital returns (4.4% ROE, 1.6% ROA), and diluted EPS despite flat earnings. While the company generates strong free cash flow and maintains adequate liquidity, it is not deploying capital efficiently or generating adequate shareholder returns relative to its leverage profile.

ChatGPT

TopBuild shows strong underlying fundamentals with high margins for its industry, robust free cash flow generation, and excellent interest coverage despite a meaningfully leveraged balance sheet. Growth has moderated, with revenue up only modestly and net income flat, but the company still demonstrates solid operating discipline and financial resilience.

Why Buy TopBuild Corp Stock? BLD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation ($146.7M annually, 10.1% FCF margin)
  • + Healthy liquidity position (2.00x current ratio, 1.41x quick ratio) and solid interest coverage (9.3x)
  • + Asset-light operational model with minimal CapEx requirements ($14.0M or 1% of revenue)
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability profile with 29.0% gross margin, 14.6% operating margin, and 9.6% net margin
  • + High-quality cash generation, with $696.89M of free cash flow and a 12.9% FCF margin
  • + Healthy liquidity and debt service capacity, supported by a 1.94x current ratio and 42.1x interest coverage

BLD Stock Risks: TopBuild Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Alarmingly low capital returns (ROE 4.4%, ROA 1.6%) indicate severe capital inefficiency and value destruction
  • ! Stalled growth trajectory (1.5% revenue growth, 0% net income growth YoY) with declining EPS (-9.9% YoY) suggesting shareholder dilution
  • ! Elevated leverage (1.18x Debt/Equity ratio) with $2.8B long-term debt relative to $2.4B equity in low-growth environment
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is slowing, with only 1.5% YoY growth in the latest period
  • ! Net income was flat and diluted EPS fell 9.9% YoY, suggesting weaker per-share earnings momentum
  • ! Leverage is still notable, with $2.85B of long-term debt and debt/equity of 1.23x

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Return on Equity trend and revenue growth acceleration indicators
  • * Debt/Equity ratio trajectory and refinancing risk with elevated leverage
  • * Operating margin stability and gross margin pressure in competitive construction sector
ChatGPT
  • * Organic revenue growth and operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow conversion and leverage reduction

TopBuild Corp (BLD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.4B
Net Income
$104.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.73
Free Cash Flow
$146.7M
Total Assets
$6.7B
Cash Position
$268.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

TopBuild Corp presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

BLD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 27.7%
Operating Margin 12.1%
Net Margin 7.2%
ROE 4.4%
ROA 1.6%
FCF Margin 10.1%

BLD vs Industrial Sector: How TopBuild Corp Compares

How TopBuild Corp compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
BLD 7.2%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
BLD Sector
ROE
BLD 4.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
BLD Sector
Current Ratio
BLD 2.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
BLD Sector
Debt/Equity
BLD 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
BLD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is TopBuild Corp Stock Overvalued? BLD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, TopBuild Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.2%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.18x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

TopBuild Corp Balance Sheet: BLD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.00x
Quick Ratio
1.41x
Debt/Equity
1.18x
Debt/Assets
64.2%
Interest Coverage
9.31x
Long-term Debt
$2.8B

BLD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

BLD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.5B, Net Income $191.0M, EPS $5.56. Year 2022: Revenue $5.0B, Net Income $247.0M, EPS $7.42. Year 2023: Revenue $5.2B, Net Income $324.0M, EPS $9.78. Year 2024: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $556.0M, EPS $17.14. Year 2025: Revenue $5.4B, Net Income $614.3M, EPS $19.33.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: TopBuild Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 55% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $19.33 reflects profitable operations.

BLD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BLD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for TopBuild Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.2B $104.8M $3.73
Q3 2025 $1.4B $123.4M $5.04
Q2 2025 $1.3B $123.4M $4.78
Q1 2025 $1.2B $123.4M $4.23
Q3 2024 $1.3B $135.9M $5.27
Q2 2024 $1.3B $135.9M $4.78
Q1 2024 $1.3B $135.9M $4.28
Q3 2023 $1.3B $114.7M $4.76

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

TopBuild Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$160.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$434.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$14.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

BLD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for TopBuild Corp (CIK: 0001633931)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 5, 2026 10-Q bld-20260331x10q.htm View →
May 5, 2026 8-K bld-20260505x8k.htm View →
Apr 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04292026_120417.xml View →
Apr 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04292026_120418.xml View →
Apr 28, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04292026_120443.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BLD

What is the AI rating for BLD?

TopBuild Corp (BLD) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BLD's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation ($146.7M annually, 10.1% FCF margin). Healthy liquidity position (2.00x current ratio, 1.41x quick ratio) and solid interest coverage (9.3x). ChatGPT: Strong profitability profile with 29.0% gross margin, 14.6% operating margin, and 9.6% net margin. High-quality cash generation, with $696.89M of free cash flow and a 12.9% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in BLD?

Claude: Alarmingly low capital returns (ROE 4.4%, ROA 1.6%) indicate severe capital inefficiency and value destruction. Stalled growth trajectory (1.5% revenue growth, 0% net income growth YoY) with declining EPS (-9.9% YoY) suggesting shareholder dilution. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is slowing, with only 1.5% YoY growth in the latest period. Net income was flat and diluted EPS fell 9.9% YoY, suggesting weaker per-share earnings momentum.

What is BLD's revenue and growth?

TopBuild Corp reported revenue of $1.4B.

Does BLD pay dividends?

TopBuild Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find BLD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for TopBuild Corp (CIK: 0001633931) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BLD's EPS?

TopBuild Corp has a diluted EPS of $3.73.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is BLD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, TopBuild Corp has a HOLD rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is BLD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for BLD: ROE of 4.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.2% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy BLD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives TopBuild Corp a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is BLD's free cash flow?

TopBuild Corp's operating cash flow is $160.7M, with capital expenditures of $14.0M. FCF margin is 10.1%.

How does BLD compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 7.2% (avg: 10%), ROE 4.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.00 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI