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WM Stock Analysis - WASTE MANAGEMENT INC AI Rating

WM NYSE Refuse Systems DE CIK: 0000823768
Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
BUY
78% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Waste Management demonstrates solid operational profitability with 17.1% operating margins and strong free cash flow generation of $2.8B, supporting its capital-intensive business model. The 14.2% revenue growth outpaces typical waste industry trends, indicating market share gains or pricing power, though the company carries significant leverage that warrants monitoring.

WM Strengths

  • + Strong operational efficiency with 17.1% operating margin and 10.7% net margin
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $2.8B (11.2% FCF margin) enabling dividends and debt reduction
  • + Excellent returns on equity (27.1%) and interest coverage (8.6x) indicating profitable capital deployment
  • + Significant revenue growth of 14.2% YoY suggesting pricing power or volume expansion in essential services

WM Risks

  • ! High financial leverage with 2.22x debt-to-equity ratio and $22.2B long-term debt limiting financial flexibility
  • ! Weak liquidity position with 0.89x current ratio indicating potential near-term refinancing needs
  • ! Capital intensity requiring $3.2B annual capex to maintain competitive operations and service debt
  • ! Net income essentially flat YoY despite revenue growth suggesting margin compression or rising costs

Key Metrics to Watch

WM Financial Metrics

Revenue
$25.2B
Net Income
$2.7B
EPS (Diluted)
$6.70
Free Cash Flow
$2.8B
Total Assets
$45.8B
Cash Position
$201.0M

WM Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 17.1%
Net Margin 10.7%
ROE 27.1%
ROA 5.9%
FCF Margin 11.2%

WM Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.89x
Quick Ratio
0.89x
Debt/Equity
2.22x
Debt/Assets
78.2%
Interest Coverage
8.62x
Long-term Debt
$22.2B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI