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Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

VVV NYSE Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal CIK: 0001674910
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 18, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 VVV Key Takeaways

Revenue: $461.8M
Net Margin: -7.1%
Free Cash Flow: $7.4M
Current Ratio: 0.70x
Debt/Equity: 5.31x
EPS: $-0.26
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Valvoline Inc. (VVV) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $461.8M, net profit margin of -7.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -10.7%, Valvoline Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete VVV stock analysis for 2026.

Is Valvoline Inc. (VVV) a Good Investment?

Claude

Valvoline faces severe financial distress despite modest revenue growth, with a critical liquidity crisis (0.70x current ratio), negative profitability (-7.1% net margin), and extreme leverage (5.31x debt/equity) that threatens its solvency. The company converts minimal operating cash flow ($64.8M) into negligible free cash flow ($7.4M) while servicing $1.6B in debt, leaving little margin for operational disruptions or debt service failures.

Why Buy Valvoline Inc. Stock? VVV Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growing 5.6% year-over-year shows market demand
  • + Gross margin of 37.4% indicates reasonable product pricing power within the petroleum products sector
  • + Operating cash flow positive at $64.8M provides some debt servicing capacity

VVV Stock Risks: Valvoline Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.70x and quick ratio of 0.57x signals inability to cover short-term obligations
  • ! Extreme leverage at 5.31x debt/equity with $1.6B long-term debt against only $307.6M equity creates high default risk
  • ! Negative net income of -$32.8M and net margin of -7.1% indicate operational distress despite revenue growth, with capital expenditures consuming 89% of operating cash flow

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Current ratio trend - any further deterioration indicates insolvency risk
  • * Operating income and net profitability - must return to positive to justify debt burden
  • * Free cash flow generation and debt service coverage ratios - critical for survival

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$461.8M
Net Income
$-32.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.26
Free Cash Flow
$7.4M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$69.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.6% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

VVV Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 37.4%
Operating Margin 4.0%
Net Margin -7.1%
ROE -10.7%
ROA -1.0%
FCF Margin 1.6%

VVV vs Energy Sector: How Valvoline Inc. Compares

How Valvoline Inc. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
VVV -7.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
VVV Sector
ROE
VVV -10.7%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
VVV Sector
Current Ratio
VVV 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
VVV Sector
Debt/Equity
VVV 5.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
VVV Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Valvoline Inc. Stock Overvalued? VVV Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Valvoline Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-10.7%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-7.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
5.31x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Valvoline Inc. Balance Sheet: VVV Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.70x
Quick Ratio
0.57x
Debt/Equity
5.31x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

VVV Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

VVV 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $166.0M, EPS $0.84. Year 2021: Revenue $3.0B, Net Income $208.0M, EPS $1.10. Year 2023: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $420.3M, EPS $2.29. Year 2024: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $424.3M, EPS $2.35. Year 2025: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $8.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Valvoline Inc.'s revenue has declined by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $8.73 reflects profitable operations.

VVV Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

VVV Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Valvoline Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $414.3M -$32.8M $-0.26
Q3 2025 $421.4M $31.9M $0.35
Q2 2025 $388.7M $31.9M $0.29
Q1 2025 $373.4M $31.9M $0.24
Q3 2024 $376.2M $31.9M $0.35
Q2 2024 $344.5M $31.9M $0.32
Q1 2024 $332.8M $31.9M $0.24
Q3 2023 $317.4M $61.6M $0.38

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Valvoline Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$64.8M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$57.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

VVV SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Valvoline Inc. (CIK: 0001674910)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775234059.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775160268.xml View →
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774038020.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 8-K vvv-20260306.htm View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772831090.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about VVV

What is the AI rating for VVV?

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are VVV's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growing 5.6% year-over-year shows market demand. Gross margin of 37.4% indicates reasonable product pricing power within the petroleum products sector.

What are the risks of investing in VVV?

Claude: Critical liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.70x and quick ratio of 0.57x signals inability to cover short-term obligations. Extreme leverage at 5.31x debt/equity with $1.6B long-term debt against only $307.6M equity creates high default risk.

What is VVV's revenue and growth?

Valvoline Inc. reported revenue of $461.8M.

Does VVV pay dividends?

Valvoline Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find VVV SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Valvoline Inc. (CIK: 0001674910) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is VVV's EPS?

Valvoline Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.26.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is VVV a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Valvoline Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is VVV stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for VVV: ROE of -10.7% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -7.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy VVV stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Valvoline Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is VVV's free cash flow?

Valvoline Inc.'s operating cash flow is $64.8M, with capital expenditures of $57.4M. FCF margin is 1.6%.

How does VVV compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -7.1% (avg: 12%), ROE -10.7% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.70 (avg: 1.3).

Is Valvoline Inc. carrying too much debt?

VVV has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.31x, which is above the Energy sector average of 0.6x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI