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Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

STLD Nasdaq Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) IN CIK: 0001022671
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 16, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
70% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 STLD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $18.2B
Net Margin: 6.5%
Free Cash Flow: $501.5M
Current Ratio: 3.06x
Debt/Equity: 0.47x
EPS: $7.99
AI Rating: HOLD with 70% confidence
Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $18.2B, net profit margin of 6.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 13.2%, Steel Dynamics Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete STLD stock analysis for 2026.

Is Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) a Good Investment?

Claude

Steel Dynamics maintains a fortress balance sheet with exceptional liquidity and debt management, but earnings growth has stalled despite 3.6% revenue growth, with net income flat and EPS declining 18.8%. The low free cash flow margin (2.8%) and lack of operating leverage suggest structural challenges in the cyclical steel industry.

Why Buy Steel Dynamics Inc. Stock? STLD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Fortress balance sheet with 0.47x Debt/Equity and 3.06x current ratio providing substantial financial flexibility
  • + Exceptional interest coverage of 123.2x indicates very safe debt position with minimal refinancing risk
  • + Strong operating cash flow of $1.4B demonstrates underlying business fundamentals despite profitability headwinds

STLD Stock Risks: Steel Dynamics Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Earnings declining despite revenue growth - EPS down 18.8% YoY signaling margin compression and lack of operating leverage
  • ! Critically low free cash flow margin of 2.8% limits financial flexibility, dividend capacity, and growth investment ability
  • ! Cyclical steel industry exposure with compressed gross margins (13.2%) vulnerable to demand destruction and commodity price weakness

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trend and pricing power - watch for further compression indicating demand/competitive pressure
  • * Free cash flow conversion rate and absolute FCF generation - must improve to justify capital intensity
  • * Net income growth relative to revenue - must return to positive earnings growth for investment thesis validation

Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$18.2B
Net Income
$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$7.99
Free Cash Flow
$501.5M
Total Assets
$16.4B
Cash Position
$769.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.8% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 3.06x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

STLD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 13.2%
Operating Margin 8.1%
Net Margin 6.5%
ROE 13.2%
ROA 7.2%
FCF Margin 2.8%

STLD vs Materials Sector: How Steel Dynamics Inc. Compares

How Steel Dynamics Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
STLD 6.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
STLD Sector
ROE
STLD 13.2%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
STLD Sector
Current Ratio
STLD 3.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
STLD Sector
Debt/Equity
STLD 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
STLD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Steel Dynamics Inc. Stock Overvalued? STLD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Steel Dynamics Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
13.2%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
6.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.47x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Steel Dynamics Inc. Balance Sheet: STLD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.06x
Quick Ratio
1.29x
Debt/Equity
0.47x
Debt/Assets
45.6%
Interest Coverage
123.22x
Long-term Debt
$4.2B

STLD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

STLD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $18.4B, Net Income N/A, EPS $3.04. Year 2022: Revenue $21.5B, Net Income N/A, EPS $2.59. Year 2023: Revenue $22.3B, Net Income $3.2B, EPS $15.56. Year 2024: Revenue $22.3B, Net Income $3.9B, EPS $20.92. Year 2025: Revenue $18.8B, Net Income $2.5B, EPS $14.64.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Steel Dynamics Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 2% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $14.64 reflects profitable operations.

STLD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

STLD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Steel Dynamics Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $4.3B $317.8M $2.05
Q2 2025 $4.6B $298.7M $2.01
Q1 2025 $4.4B $217.2M $1.44
Q3 2024 $4.3B $317.8M $2.05
Q2 2024 $4.6B $428.0M $2.72
Q1 2024 $4.7B $584.0M $3.67
Q1 2023 $4.7B N/A $3.70
Q3 2022 $5.1B N/A $4.85

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Steel Dynamics Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.4B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$900.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$948.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$291.2M
Returned to shareholders

STLD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Steel Dynamics Inc. (CIK: 0001022671)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about STLD

What is the AI rating for STLD?

Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) has an AI rating of HOLD with 70% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are STLD's key strengths?

Claude: Fortress balance sheet with 0.47x Debt/Equity and 3.06x current ratio providing substantial financial flexibility. Exceptional interest coverage of 123.2x indicates very safe debt position with minimal refinancing risk.

What are the risks of investing in STLD?

Claude: Earnings declining despite revenue growth - EPS down 18.8% YoY signaling margin compression and lack of operating leverage. Critically low free cash flow margin of 2.8% limits financial flexibility, dividend capacity, and growth investment ability.

What is STLD's revenue and growth?

Steel Dynamics Inc. reported revenue of $18.2B.

Does STLD pay dividends?

Steel Dynamics Inc. pays dividends, with $291.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find STLD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Steel Dynamics Inc. (CIK: 0001022671) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is STLD's EPS?

Steel Dynamics Inc. has a diluted EPS of $7.99.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is STLD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Steel Dynamics Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is STLD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for STLD: ROE of 13.2% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 6.5% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy STLD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Steel Dynamics Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is STLD's free cash flow?

Steel Dynamics Inc.'s operating cash flow is $1.4B, with capital expenditures of $948.0M. FCF margin is 2.8%.

How does STLD compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 6.5% (avg: 10%), ROE 13.2% (avg: 14%), current ratio 3.06 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 16, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI