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Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

SMG NYSE Agricultural Chemicals OH CIK: 0000825542
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-28
Combined AI Rating
STRONG SELL
92% Confidence
N/A
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SMG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.8B
Net Margin: 6.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-189.0M
Current Ratio: 1.27x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $1.93
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.8B, net profit margin of 6.3%, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete SMG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) a Good Investment?

Claude

Scotts Miracle-Gro faces severe financial distress with negative stockholders equity of -$286.5M, negative operating cash flow of -$150.4M, and minimal cash reserves of $6.2M against $2.1B in debt. The company is technically insolvent and unsustainably burning cash despite reasonable operating margins, creating acute refinancing and liquidity risk.

Why Buy Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Stock? SMG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Gross margin of 38.5% indicates underlying product profitability
  • + Operating margin of 20.9% shows cost control in core operations
  • + Interest coverage ratio of 6.5x suggests current debt service capability

SMG Stock Risks: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$286.5M indicates technical insolvency with liabilities exceeding assets
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$150.4M demonstrates the company cannot fund operations from internal sources
  • ! Critical liquidity crisis: only $6.2M cash against $2.1B long-term debt and total liabilities of $3.7B
  • ! Revenue declining 3.9% YoY while burning cash unsustainably
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.73x signals potential inability to meet short-term obligations
  • ! Free cash flow of -$189.0M creates severe refinancing risk and limits financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - must turn positive for viability
  • * Cash balance trajectory - at critical levels
  • * Debt refinancing ability - with negative equity, refinancing risk is acute
  • * Revenue stabilization - need to reverse declining sales trend

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.8B
Net Income
$113.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.93
Free Cash Flow
$-189.0M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$6.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

SMG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 38.5%
Operating Margin 20.9%
Net Margin 6.3%
ROE N/A
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin -10.4%

SMG vs Materials Sector: How Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Compares

How Scotts Miracle-Gro Co compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
SMG 6.3%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
SMG Sector
ROE
SMG 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
SMG Sector
Current Ratio
SMG 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
SMG Sector
Debt/Equity
SMG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
SMG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Stock Overvalued? SMG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
6.3%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Balance Sheet: SMG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.27x
Quick Ratio
0.73x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
108.4%
Interest Coverage
6.50x
Long-term Debt
$2.1B

SMG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SMG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $460.7M, EPS $8.18. Year 2022: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $387.4M, EPS $6.81. Year 2023: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $512.5M, EPS $8.96. Year 2024: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income -$437.5M, EPS $-7.88. Year 2025: Revenue $3.6B, Net Income -$380.1M, EPS $-6.79.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's revenue has declined by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-6.79 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

SMG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-10.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SMG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $1.4B $113.6M $1.93
Q1 2026 $354.4M -$69.5M $-1.21
Q3 2025 $1.2B N/A $2.28
Q2 2025 $1.4B N/A $1.34
Q1 2025 $410.4M N/A $-1.21
Q3 2024 $1.1B N/A $0.77
Q2 2024 $1.5B N/A $0.80
Q1 2024 $410.4M N/A $-1.17

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$150.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$11.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$38.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$77.8M
Returned to shareholders

SMG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (CIK: 0000825542)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 10-Q smg-20260328.htm View →
Apr 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777475789.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777475784.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777475779.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777475775.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SMG

What is the AI rating for SMG?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SMG's key strengths?

Claude: Gross margin of 38.5% indicates underlying product profitability. Operating margin of 20.9% shows cost control in core operations.

What are the risks of investing in SMG?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -$286.5M indicates technical insolvency with liabilities exceeding assets. Negative operating cash flow of -$150.4M demonstrates the company cannot fund operations from internal sources.

What is SMG's revenue and growth?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co reported revenue of $1.8B.

Does SMG pay dividends?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co pays dividends, with $77.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find SMG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (CIK: 0000825542) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SMG's EPS?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has a diluted EPS of $1.93.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is SMG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is SMG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SMG: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 6.3% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy SMG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Scotts Miracle-Gro Co a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SMG's free cash flow?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's operating cash flow is $-150.4M, with capital expenditures of $38.6M. FCF margin is -10.4%.

How does SMG compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 6.3% (avg: 10%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.27 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-28 | Powered by Claude AI