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Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

SMG NYSE Agricultural Chemicals OH CIK: 0000825542
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 16, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-27
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SMG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $354.4M
Net Margin: -35.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-390.4M
Current Ratio: 1.35x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $-2.16
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) receives a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $354.4M, net profit margin of -35.3%, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete SMG stock analysis for 2026.

Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) a Good Investment?

Claude

SMG exhibits severe financial distress with negative stockholders' equity of -$500.6M, indicating technical insolvency. The company is burning -$370M in operating cash flow against only $8.3M cash on hand, creating an acute liquidity crisis. With massive debt ($2.3B) and negative interest coverage (-0.8x), the company cannot service obligations from operations and faces imminent refinancing or restructuring pressures.

Why Buy Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Stock? SMG Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Reasonable gross margin of 25% demonstrates underlying product/pricing power in agricultural chemicals
  • + Asset base of $3.0B provides collateral and restructuring optionality
  • + Established brand presence in lawn care and agricultural sectors

SMG Stock Risks: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$500.6M indicates technical insolvency and book value destruction
  • ! Catastrophic negative operating cash flow of -$370.4M with only $8.3M cash creates weeks of runway
  • ! Unable to service debt: negative interest coverage (-0.8x) and negative operating income (-$21.8M)
  • ! Deteriorating profitability with -$125.0M net loss and -35.3% net margin
  • ! Weak liquidity: quick ratio of 0.44x indicates heavy inventory dependence and potential forced liquidation risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and path to positive territory
  • * Debt refinancing status and covenant compliance
  • * Gross margin stability amid operational restructuring
  • * Cash balance and liquidity runway weeks
  • * Strategic asset sales or debt restructuring announcements

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$354.4M
Net Income
$-125.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.16
Free Cash Flow
$-390.4M
Total Assets
$3.0B
Cash Position
$8.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

SMG Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 25.0%
Operating Margin -6.2%
Net Margin -35.3%
ROE N/A
ROA -4.1%
FCF Margin -110.2%

SMG vs Materials Sector: How Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Compares

How Scotts Miracle-Gro Co compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
SMG -35.3%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
SMG Sector
ROE
SMG 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
SMG Sector
Current Ratio
SMG 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
SMG Sector
Debt/Equity
SMG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
SMG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Stock Overvalued? SMG Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-35.3%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Balance Sheet: SMG Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.35x
Quick Ratio
0.44x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
116.5%
Interest Coverage
-0.80x
Long-term Debt
$2.3B

SMG Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SMG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $460.7M, EPS $8.18. Year 2022: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $387.4M, EPS $6.81. Year 2023: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $512.5M, EPS $8.96. Year 2024: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income -$437.5M, EPS $-7.88. Year 2025: Revenue $3.6B, Net Income -$380.1M, EPS $-6.79.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's revenue has declined by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-6.79 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

SMG Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-110.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SMG Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $354.4M -$69.5M $-1.21
Q3 2025 $1.2B N/A $2.28
Q2 2025 $1.4B N/A $1.34
Q1 2025 $410.4M N/A $-1.21
Q3 2024 $1.1B N/A $0.77
Q2 2024 $1.5B N/A $0.80
Q1 2024 $410.4M N/A $-1.17
Q3 2023 $1.1B N/A $0.77

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$370.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$8.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$20.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$38.3M
Returned to shareholders

SMG SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (CIK: 0000825542)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 9, 2026 8-K smg-20260409.htm View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775238966.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775238629.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775069291.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774652386.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SMG

What is the AI rating for SMG?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SMG's key strengths?

Claude: Reasonable gross margin of 25% demonstrates underlying product/pricing power in agricultural chemicals. Asset base of $3.0B provides collateral and restructuring optionality.

What are the risks of investing in SMG?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -$500.6M indicates technical insolvency and book value destruction. Catastrophic negative operating cash flow of -$370.4M with only $8.3M cash creates weeks of runway.

What is SMG's revenue and growth?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co reported revenue of $354.4M.

Does SMG pay dividends?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co pays dividends, with $38.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find SMG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (CIK: 0000825542) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SMG's EPS?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has a diluted EPS of $-2.16.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is SMG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is SMG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SMG: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -35.3% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy SMG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Scotts Miracle-Gro Co a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SMG's free cash flow?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's operating cash flow is $-370.4M, with capital expenditures of $20.0M. FCF margin is -110.2%.

How does SMG compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -35.3% (avg: 10%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.35 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 16, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-27 | Powered by Claude AI