← Back to All US Stocks

SJM Stock Analysis - J M SMUCKER Co AI Rating

SJM NYSE Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies OH CIK: 0000091419
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31
AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence

Investment Thesis

J.M. Smucker faces significant profitability headwinds with operating and net losses despite 6.7% revenue growth, indicating margin compression and operational challenges. While free cash flow generation remains positive at $672.3M, deteriorating liquidity metrics (current ratio 0.84x, quick ratio 0.35x) combined with high leverage (1.31x debt-to-equity) and negative interest coverage raise concerns about financial flexibility. The company must demonstrate a clear path to profitability restoration and deleveraging.

SJM Strengths

  • + Revenue growth of 6.7% YoY demonstrates top-line demand resilience in consumer staples sector
  • + Strong free cash flow generation at $672.3M ($52M monthly burn on $6.8B revenue) provides liquidity despite profitability challenges
  • + Gross margin of 32% remains respectable, indicating pricing power and underlying product economics are intact

SJM Risks

  • ! Operating margin of -1.2% and net margin of -7.8% indicate severe profitability deterioration and operational inefficiency
  • ! Liquidity crisis emerging: current ratio of 0.84x and quick ratio of 0.35x suggest insufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities
  • ! High leverage with 1.31x debt-to-equity and negative interest coverage (-1.2x) limits financial flexibility and refinancing options
  • ! Sharply negative returns (ROE -10.1%, ROA -3.2%) and $526.8M net loss represent capital destruction for shareholders

Key Metrics to Watch

SJM Financial Metrics

Revenue
$6.8B
Net Income
$-526.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-4.94
Free Cash Flow
$672.3M
Total Assets
$16.3B
Cash Position
$52.8M

SJM Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 32.0%
Operating Margin -1.2%
Net Margin -7.8%
ROE -10.1%
ROA -3.2%
FCF Margin 9.9%

SJM Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.84x
Quick Ratio
0.35x
Debt/Equity
1.31x
Debt/Assets
67.8%
Interest Coverage
-1.16x
Long-term Debt
$6.8B

SJM 5-Year Financial Trend

SJM 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.0B, Net Income $514.4M, EPS $4.52. Year 2022: Revenue $8.0B, Net Income $779.5M, EPS $6.84. Year 2023: Revenue $8.5B, Net Income $876.3M, EPS $7.79. Year 2024: Revenue $8.5B, Net Income $631.7M, EPS $5.83. Year 2025: Revenue $8.7B, Net Income -$91.3M, EPS $-0.86.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: J M SMUCKER Co's revenue has shown modest growth of 9% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.86 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

SJM Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
9.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SJM Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for J M SMUCKER Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $2.2B -$24.5M $-4.72
Q2 2026 $2.3B -$24.5M $-0.23
Q1 2026 $2.1B -$43.9M $-0.41
Q3 2025 $2.2B -$24.5M $1.13
Q2 2025 $1.9B -$24.5M $-0.23
Q1 2025 $1.8B $183.6M $1.74
Q3 2024 $2.2B $109.8M $1.13
Q2 2024 $1.9B $109.8M $1.79

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

SJM Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$894.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$5.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$222.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$347.9M
Returned to shareholders

SJM SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for J M SMUCKER Co (CIK: 0000091419)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31 | Powered by Claude AI