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Shopify Inc.. (SHOP) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

SHOP Nasdaq Services-Prepackaged Software Z4 CIK: 0001594805
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 15, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SHOP Key Takeaways

Revenue: $11.6B
Net Margin: 10.7%
Free Cash Flow: $2.0B
Current Ratio: 5.96x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.94
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
Shopify Inc.. (SHOP) receives a HOLD rating with 68% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $11.6B, net profit margin of 10.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 9.1%, Shopify Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete SHOP stock analysis for 2026.

Is Shopify Inc.. (SHOP) a Good Investment?

Claude

Shopify demonstrates strong revenue growth (+30.1% YoY) and exceptional free cash flow generation ($2.0B, 17.4% margin) with a fortress balance sheet and no debt, but the 39% decline in net income despite growing sales signals operational headwinds or aggressive expense investments that require clarification. The disconnect between strong top-line growth and deteriorating earnings, combined with modest capital returns (ROE 9.1%, ROA 8.1%), warrants caution until profitability trajectory is understood.

Why Buy Shopify Inc.. Stock? SHOP Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($2.0B) with minimal capex needs, indicating asset-light, scalable business model
  • + Strong revenue growth of 30.1% YoY demonstrates sustained market demand and business expansion
  • + Fortress balance sheet with zero long-term debt, $1.5B cash position, and exceptional liquidity ratios (5.96x current, 5.94x quick)

SHOP Stock Risks: Shopify Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Significant net income contraction (-39% YoY) and EPS decline (-39.4% YoY) despite robust revenue growth indicates operational margin compression or increased expenses
  • ! Modest return on capital (ROE 9.1%, ROA 8.1%) suggests inefficient capital deployment relative to the equity base
  • ! Earnings decline trajectory is unexplained in available data; potential indicators include rising operating costs, competitive pressures, or investments not yet generating returns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - critical to understand if earnings decline is operational or strategic
  • * Year-over-year expense growth relative to revenue growth
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and conversion of cash flow to net income

Shopify Inc.. (SHOP) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$11.6B
Net Income
$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$0.94
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
Total Assets
$15.2B
Cash Position
$1.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 5.96x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

SHOP Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 48.1%
Operating Margin 12.7%
Net Margin 10.7%
ROE 9.1%
ROA 8.1%
FCF Margin 17.4%

SHOP vs Technology Sector: How Shopify Inc.. Compares

How Shopify Inc.. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
SHOP 10.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
SHOP Sector
ROE
SHOP 9.1%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
SHOP Sector
Current Ratio
SHOP 6.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
SHOP Sector
Debt/Equity
SHOP 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
SHOP Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Shopify Inc.. Stock Overvalued? SHOP Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Shopify Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.1%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
10.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Shopify Inc.. Balance Sheet: SHOP Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
5.96x
Quick Ratio
5.94x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

SHOP Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SHOP 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income -$3.5B, EPS $-2.73. Year 2025: Revenue $11.6B, Net Income $132.0M, EPS $0.10.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Shopify Inc..'s revenue has grown significantly by 30% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.10 reflects profitable operations.

SHOP Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
17.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SHOP Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Shopify Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.2B $264.0M $0.20
Q2 2025 $2.0B -$102.0M $-0.08
Q1 2025 $1.9B -$273.0M $-0.21

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Shopify Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.0B
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$26.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

SHOP SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Shopify Inc.. (CIK: 0001594805)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 11, 2026 10-K shop-20251231.htm View →
Feb 11, 2026 8-K shop-20260211.htm View →
Jan 30, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Dec 2, 2025 8-K shop-20251202.htm View →
Nov 14, 2025 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SHOP

What is the AI rating for SHOP?

Shopify Inc.. (SHOP) has an AI rating of HOLD with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SHOP's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation ($2.0B) with minimal capex needs, indicating asset-light, scalable business model. Strong revenue growth of 30.1% YoY demonstrates sustained market demand and business expansion.

What are the risks of investing in SHOP?

Claude: Significant net income contraction (-39% YoY) and EPS decline (-39.4% YoY) despite robust revenue growth indicates operational margin compression or increased expenses. Modest return on capital (ROE 9.1%, ROA 8.1%) suggests inefficient capital deployment relative to the equity base.

What is SHOP's revenue and growth?

Shopify Inc.. reported revenue of $11.6B.

Does SHOP pay dividends?

Shopify Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find SHOP SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Shopify Inc.. (CIK: 0001594805) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SHOP's EPS?

Shopify Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $0.94.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is SHOP a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Shopify Inc.. has a HOLD rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is SHOP stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SHOP: ROE of 9.1% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 10.7% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy SHOP stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Shopify Inc.. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SHOP's free cash flow?

Shopify Inc..'s operating cash flow is $2.0B, with capital expenditures of $26.0M. FCF margin is 17.4%.

How does SHOP compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 10.7% (avg: 18%), ROE 9.1% (avg: 22%), current ratio 5.96 (avg: 2.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 15, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI