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Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

POST NYSE Grain Mill Products MO CIK: 0001530950
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
58% Confidence
N/A
B
58% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 POST Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.2B
Net Margin: 4.2%
Free Cash Flow: $270.3M
Current Ratio: 1.85x
Debt/Equity: 2.39x
EPS: $3.28
AI Grade: B with 58% confidence
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) receives a B fundamental grade with 58% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $4.2B, net profit margin of 4.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.6%, Post Holdings, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete POST stock analysis for 2026.

Is Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a Good Investment?

Claude

Post Holdings generates solid free cash flow ($270.3M) and maintains adequate liquidity, but faces significant headwinds from elevated leverage (2.39x debt/equity) and deteriorating profitability. Flat net income despite 3% revenue growth and declining EPS (-2.3%) signal margin compression in a capital-intensive, low-return business model.

Post Holdings, Inc. Key Strengths (POST)

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation at $270.3M supports debt service and operations
  • + Healthy current ratio of 1.85x provides adequate short-term liquidity cushion
  • + Operating cash flow of $478M demonstrates ability to fund capital expenditure and debt obligations
  • + Presence in defensive grain/food sector with modest but stable revenue growth

POST Stock Risks: Post Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Elevated leverage with 2.39x debt/equity and thin interest coverage of only 2.2x creates significant refinancing and cyclical downturn risk
  • ! Net income flat year-over-year despite 3% revenue growth indicates margin compression and operational efficiency concerns
  • ! Extremely low returns on capital (5.6% ROE, 1.4% ROA) suggest inefficient capital deployment and limited value creation
  • ! Diluted EPS declining 2.3% despite share activity indicates fundamental earnings pressure from operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend - 2.2x is dangerously thin
  • * Operating margin trajectory - must stabilize above 10.7% to justify leverage
  • * Debt/Equity ratio path - target reduction needed to mitigate refinancing risk
  • * Operating cash flow consistency - critical to debt service capability
  • * Return on equity improvement - 5.6% is unacceptable for mature operations

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$4.2B
Net Income
$178.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.28
Free Cash Flow
$270.3M
Total Assets
$13.0B
Cash Position
$269.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Post Holdings, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

POST Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 29.8%
Operating Margin 10.7%
Net Margin 4.2%
ROE 5.6%
ROA 1.4%
FCF Margin 6.4%

POST vs Market Sector: How Post Holdings, Inc. Compares

How Post Holdings, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
POST 4.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
POST Sector
ROE
POST 5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
POST Sector
Current Ratio
POST 1.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
POST Sector
Debt/Equity
POST 2.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
POST Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? POST Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Post Holdings, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.39x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Post Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: POST Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.85x
Quick Ratio
1.03x
Debt/Equity
2.39x
Debt/Assets
75.3%
Interest Coverage
2.15x
Long-term Debt
$7.6B

POST Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

POST 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income $467.3M, EPS $6.16. Year 2021: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $124.7M, EPS $1.66. Year 2022: Revenue $5.9B, Net Income $800.0K, EPS $0.01. Year 2023: Revenue $7.0B, Net Income $166.7M, EPS $2.38. Year 2024: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $756.6M, EPS $12.09.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Post Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 30% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $12.09 reflects profitable operations.

POST Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
6.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

POST Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Post Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $2.0B $62.6M $1.03
Q1 2026 $2.0B $96.8M $1.71
Q3 2025 $1.9B $99.8M $1.53
Q2 2025 $2.0B $62.6M $1.03
Q1 2025 $2.0B $88.1M $1.35
Q3 2024 $1.9B $89.6M $1.38
Q2 2024 $1.6B $54.1M $0.92
Q1 2024 $1.6B $88.1M $1.35

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Post Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$478.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$711.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$207.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

POST SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Post Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001530950)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778792607.xml View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q post-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K post-20260505.htm View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777929147.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777929079.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about POST

What is the AI rating for POST?

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) has an AI grade of B with 58% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are POST's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation at $270.3M supports debt service and operations. Healthy current ratio of 1.85x provides adequate short-term liquidity cushion.

What are the risks of investing in POST?

Claude: Elevated leverage with 2.39x debt/equity and thin interest coverage of only 2.2x creates significant refinancing and cyclical downturn risk. Net income flat year-over-year despite 3% revenue growth indicates margin compression and operational efficiency concerns.

What is POST's revenue and growth?

Post Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $4.2B.

Does POST pay dividends?

Post Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find POST SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Post Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001530950) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is POST's EPS?

Post Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $3.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is POST's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Post Holdings, Inc. has a B grade with 58% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is POST stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for POST: ROE of 5.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is POST's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Post Holdings, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is POST's free cash flow?

Post Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $478.0M, with capital expenditures of $207.7M. FCF margin is 6.4%.

How does POST compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 4.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.85 (avg: 1.8).

Is Post Holdings, Inc. carrying too much debt?

POST has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.39x, which is above the Market sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.85 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI