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Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

POST NYSE Grain Mill Products MO CIK: 0001530950
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 14, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
76% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 POST Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.2B
Net Margin: 4.5%
Free Cash Flow: $119.3M
Current Ratio: 1.90x
Debt/Equity: 2.16x
EPS: $1.71
AI Rating: HOLD with 76% confidence
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) receives a HOLD rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.2B, net profit margin of 4.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.8%, Post Holdings, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete POST stock analysis for 2026.

Is Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a Good Investment?

Claude

Post Holdings operates a mature, cash-generative grain products business with stable operations but concerning structural headwinds. Stagnant revenue growth (+3% YoY), flat earnings, and extremely low returns on equity (2.8%) and assets (0.7%) are constrained by heavy financial leverage (2.16x Debt/Equity) and weak interest coverage (2.3x), creating limited upside potential.

Why Buy Post Holdings, Inc. Stock? POST Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive and stable operating cash flow of $235.7M with 5.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business quality
  • + Reasonable operational efficiency with 11.0% operating margin in commodity-exposed sector
  • + Adequate short-term liquidity with 1.90x current ratio and $279.3M cash balance
  • + Established market position in essential consumer staples (grain mill products)

POST Stock Risks: Post Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage (2.16x Debt/Equity, $7.5B long-term debt) with thin interest coverage of only 2.3x creates vulnerability to rate increases
  • ! Stagnant growth trajectory: revenue +3% YoY, net income flat, diluted EPS declining -2.3% YoY signals mature business with minimal expansion
  • ! Structurally poor capital efficiency: ROE of 2.8% and ROA of 0.7% on $13B asset base indicate value destruction relative to debt burden
  • ! Commodity business exposure limits pricing power with thin 4.5% net margin; quick ratio of 1.02x shows tight working capital

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend (currently 2.3x) - deterioration signals refinancing stress
  • * Revenue growth acceleration (currently stalled at +3%) and operating margin sustainability
  • * Free cash flow to debt ratio and deleveraging progress on $7.5B long-term debt burden
  • * Return on equity trajectory - currently unsustainable 2.8% needs material improvement

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.2B
Net Income
$96.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.71
Free Cash Flow
$119.3M
Total Assets
$13.0B
Cash Position
$279.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Post Holdings, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

POST Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 29.4%
Operating Margin 11.0%
Net Margin 4.5%
ROE 2.8%
ROA 0.7%
FCF Margin 5.5%

POST vs Market Sector: How Post Holdings, Inc. Compares

How Post Holdings, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
POST 4.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
POST Sector
ROE
POST 2.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
POST Sector
Current Ratio
POST 1.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
POST Sector
Debt/Equity
POST 2.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
POST Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? POST Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Post Holdings, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
2.16x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Post Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: POST Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.90x
Quick Ratio
1.02x
Debt/Equity
2.16x
Debt/Assets
73.3%
Interest Coverage
2.31x
Long-term Debt
$7.5B

POST Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

POST 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income $467.3M, EPS $6.16. Year 2021: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $124.7M, EPS $1.66. Year 2022: Revenue $5.9B, Net Income $800.0K, EPS $0.01. Year 2023: Revenue $7.0B, Net Income $166.7M, EPS $2.38. Year 2024: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $756.6M, EPS $12.09.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Post Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 30% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $12.09 reflects profitable operations.

POST Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

POST Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Post Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.0B $96.8M $1.71
Q3 2025 $1.9B $99.8M $1.53
Q2 2025 $2.0B $62.6M $1.03
Q1 2025 $2.0B $88.1M $1.35
Q3 2024 $1.9B $89.6M $1.38
Q2 2024 $1.6B $54.1M $0.92
Q1 2024 $1.6B $88.1M $1.35
Q3 2023 $1.5B $89.6M $1.38

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Post Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$235.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$376.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$116.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

POST SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Post Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001530950)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775509442.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162828.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162688.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162605.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775162491.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about POST

What is the AI rating for POST?

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) has an AI rating of HOLD with 76% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are POST's key strengths?

Claude: Positive and stable operating cash flow of $235.7M with 5.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business quality. Reasonable operational efficiency with 11.0% operating margin in commodity-exposed sector.

What are the risks of investing in POST?

Claude: High financial leverage (2.16x Debt/Equity, $7.5B long-term debt) with thin interest coverage of only 2.3x creates vulnerability to rate increases. Stagnant growth trajectory: revenue +3% YoY, net income flat, diluted EPS declining -2.3% YoY signals mature business with minimal expansion.

What is POST's revenue and growth?

Post Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $2.2B.

Does POST pay dividends?

Post Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find POST SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Post Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001530950) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is POST's EPS?

Post Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.71.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is POST a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Post Holdings, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is POST stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for POST: ROE of 2.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy POST stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Post Holdings, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is POST's free cash flow?

Post Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $235.7M, with capital expenditures of $116.4M. FCF margin is 5.5%.

How does POST compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 4.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 2.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.90 (avg: 1.8).

Is Post Holdings, Inc. carrying too much debt?

POST has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16x, which is above the Market sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.90 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 14, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI