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INGR Stock Analysis 2026 - Ingredion Inc AI Rating

INGR NYSE Grain Mill Products DE CIK: 0001046257
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 INGR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $7.2B
Net Margin: 10.1%
Free Cash Flow: $511.0M
Current Ratio: 2.66x
Debt/Equity: 0.41x
EPS: $11.18
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is INGR a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Ingredion demonstrates solid fundamental financial health with strong profitability metrics (10.1% net margin, 17.1% ROE) and excellent liquidity (2.66x current ratio). However, revenue contraction of 2.8% YoY is concerning and suggests market headwinds in the grain mill products sector, offset only partially by EPS growth driven by share buybacks rather than operational expansion.

Why Buy INGR? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong profitability with double-digit net and operating margins (10.1% and 14.1% respectively)
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.66x current ratio and $1.0B in cash providing financial flexibility
  • + Healthy free cash flow generation of $511M with 7.1% FCF margin supporting capital investments and shareholder returns
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.41x debt-to-equity ratio indicating sustainable capital structure
  • + Strong ROE of 17.1% and ROA of 9.2% demonstrating efficient asset utilization

INGR Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 2.8% YoY indicates loss of market share or reduced demand in core grain mill products market
  • ! EPS growth of 15.1% driven by lower share count rather than earnings growth (net income flat YoY) signals reliance on financial engineering
  • ! Significant insider activity with 52 Form 4 filings in 90 days warrants investigation of motivation and timing
  • ! Capital expenditure of $433M annually suggests ongoing need for reinvestment to maintain competitiveness in commodity-oriented sector

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory - critical to assess if 2.8% decline is temporary or structural market shift
  • * Gross margin trends - monitor if 25.3% margin is sustainable amid commodity input price volatility
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - ensure $511M FCF can be maintained while funding capital needs and debt service

INGR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$7.2B
Net Income
$729.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$11.18
Free Cash Flow
$511.0M
Total Assets
$7.9B
Cash Position
$1.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.66x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

INGR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 25.3%
Operating Margin 14.1%
Net Margin 10.1%
ROE 17.1%
ROA 9.2%
FCF Margin 7.1%

INGR vs Default Sector

How Ingredion Inc compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
INGR 10.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
INGR Sector
ROE
INGR 17.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
INGR Sector
Current Ratio
INGR 2.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
INGR Sector
Debt/Equity
INGR 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
INGR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is INGR Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Ingredion Inc has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
17.1%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
10.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.41x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

INGR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.66x
Quick Ratio
1.73x
Debt/Equity
0.41x
Debt/Assets
44.7%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.7B

INGR 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

INGR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.9B, Net Income $413.0M, EPS $6.13. Year 2022: Revenue $7.9B, Net Income $348.0M, EPS $5.15. Year 2023: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $117.0M, EPS $1.73. Year 2024: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $492.0M, EPS $7.34. Year 2025: Revenue $8.2B, Net Income $643.0M, EPS $9.60.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ingredion Inc's revenue has grown significantly by 18% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $9.60 reflects profitable operations.

INGR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

INGR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Ingredion Inc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.8B $171.0M $2.61
Q2 2025 $1.8B $148.0M $2.22
Q1 2025 $1.8B $197.0M $3.00
Q3 2024 $1.9B $158.0M $2.36
Q2 2024 $1.9B $148.0M $2.22
Q1 2024 $1.9B $191.0M $2.85
Q3 2023 $2.0B $106.0M $1.59
Q2 2023 $2.0B $142.0M $2.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

INGR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$944.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$123.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$433.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$211.0M
Returned to shareholders

INGR SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ingredion Inc (CIK: 0001046257)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 25, 2026 8-K ingr-20260318.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K ingr-20260318.htm View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about INGR

What is the AI rating for INGR?

Ingredion Inc (INGR) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are INGR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong profitability with double-digit net and operating margins (10.1% and 14.1% respectively). Excellent liquidity position with 2.66x current ratio and $1.0B in cash providing financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in INGR?

Claude: Revenue declining 2.8% YoY indicates loss of market share or reduced demand in core grain mill products market. EPS growth of 15.1% driven by lower share count rather than earnings growth (net income flat YoY) signals reliance on financial engineering.

What is INGR's revenue and growth?

Ingredion Inc reported revenue of $7.2B.

Does INGR pay dividends?

Ingredion Inc pays dividends, with $211.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find INGR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ingredion Inc (CIK: 0001046257) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is INGR's EPS?

Ingredion Inc has a diluted EPS of $11.18.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is INGR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Ingredion Inc has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is INGR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for INGR: ROE of 17.1% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 10.1% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy INGR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ingredion Inc a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is INGR's free cash flow?

Ingredion Inc's operating cash flow is $944.0M, with capital expenditures of $433.0M. FCF margin is 7.1%.

How does INGR compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 10.1% (avg: 12%), ROE 17.1% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.66 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI