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Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (OLPX) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

OLPX Nasdaq Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations DE CIK: 0001868726
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 16, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
68% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
C
70% Conf
C
66% Conf

📊 OLPX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $99.4M
Net Margin: -5.3%
Free Cash Flow: $7.4M
Current Ratio: 6.27x
Debt/Equity: 0.40x
EPS: $-0.01
AI Grade: C with 70% confidence
Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (OLPX) receives a C fundamental grade with 68% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $99.4M, net profit margin of -5.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of -0.6%, Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete OLPX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (OLPX) a Good Investment?

Claude

Olaplex exhibits a structurally strong business model with exceptional 72% gross margins, but is trapped in profitability deterioration (net income down 147% YoY) with near-zero revenue growth. While solid balance sheet metrics (6.27x current ratio, $326M cash) provide a liquidity cushion, the company's inability to maintain profitability at current volumes and negative operating income cannot be masked by balance sheet strength alone.

ChatGPT

Despite strong gross margins, ample liquidity, and positive free cash flow, Olaplex’s profitability has deteriorated to near break-even operating income and a net loss on flat revenue. Interest coverage at 0.2x signals elevated financial risk if operating results don’t rebound, leaving little cushion. A turnaround in demand and cost discipline is needed before fundamentals warrant a more constructive stance.

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Key Strengths (OLPX)

Claude
  • + Exceptional gross margin of 72.1% demonstrates strong brand pricing power and production efficiency typical of premium cosmetics
  • + Fortress balance sheet with $326.2M cash, 0.40x debt/equity ratio, and 6.27x current ratio provides significant financial flexibility
  • + Positive free cash flow of $7.4M with minimal capital intensity ($146K CapEx) despite operating losses indicates business generates cash despite unprofitability
ChatGPT
  • + High 69% gross margin indicating strong unit economics
  • + Very strong liquidity (4.6x current, 4.0x quick) and sizeable cash balance
  • + Consistent positive free cash flow with minimal capex

OLPX Stock Risks: Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue growth of only 0.1% YoY indicates market saturation or demand challenges with no organic growth trajectory
  • ! Operating margin of -5.1% and declining profitability (-147.4% YoY net income decline) shows cost structure misaligned with current revenue levels
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio of -0.7x means operating income insufficient to cover debt service, unsustainable without balance sheet depletion
  • ! Cash position likely to decline if operating losses persist without significant operational restructuring or revenue acceleration
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative net income and razor-thin 1.6% operating margin
  • ! Extremely weak interest coverage (0.2x) heightens solvency risk if trends persist
  • ! Stagnant revenue (+0.1% YoY) suggests demand/brand headwinds and margin pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue growth rate - must return to positive trajectory to validate demand recovery
  • * Path to operating profitability - requires either 20%+ revenue growth or 25%+ cost reduction
  • * Cash burn rate and debt reduction capacity - critical to monitor given negative operating income
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin
  • * Interest coverage

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (OLPX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$99.4M
Net Income
$-5.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.01
Free Cash Flow
$7.4M
Total Assets
$1.5B
Cash Position
$326.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 6.27x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

OLPX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 72.1%
Operating Margin -5.1%
Net Margin -5.3%
ROE -0.6%
ROA -0.4%
FCF Margin 7.4%

OLPX vs Consumer Sector: How Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Compares

How Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
OLPX -5.3%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
OLPX Sector
ROE
OLPX -0.6%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
OLPX Sector
Current Ratio
OLPX 6.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
OLPX Sector
Debt/Equity
OLPX 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
OLPX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? OLPX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-0.6%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
-5.3%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.40x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Balance Sheet: OLPX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
6.27x
Quick Ratio
5.34x
Debt/Equity
0.40x
Debt/Assets
39.9%
Interest Coverage
-0.72x
Long-term Debt
$352.5M

OLPX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

OLPX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $598.4M, Net Income -$24.5M, EPS $-0.04. Year 2022: Revenue $704.3M, Net Income $39.3M, EPS $0.06. Year 2023: Revenue $704.3M, Net Income $220.8M, EPS $0.32. Year 2024: Revenue $704.3M, Net Income $244.1M, EPS $0.35. Year 2025: Revenue $458.3M, Net Income $61.6M, EPS $0.09.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Olaplex Holdings, Inc..'s revenue has declined by 23% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $0.09 reflects profitable operations.

OLPX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

OLPX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $97.0M $465.0K $0.00
Q3 2025 $114.6M $465.0K $0.01
Q2 2025 $103.9M $465.0K $0.01
Q1 2025 $97.0M $465.0K $0.00
Q3 2024 $119.1M $5.8M $0.02
Q2 2024 $103.9M $5.8M $0.01
Q1 2024 $98.9M $7.7M $0.01
Q3 2023 $123.6M $6.2M $0.03

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$7.5M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$146.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

OLPX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (CIK: 0001868726)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779912529.xml View →
May 11, 2026 10-Q olpx-20260331.htm View →
May 11, 2026 8-K olpx-20260511.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 10-K/A d132542d10ka.htm View →
Apr 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776283465.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about OLPX

What is the AI rating for OLPX?

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (OLPX) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (C) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are OLPX's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional gross margin of 72.1% demonstrates strong brand pricing power and production efficiency typical of premium cosmetics. Fortress balance sheet with $326.2M cash, 0.40x debt/equity ratio, and 6.27x current ratio provides significant financial flexibility. ChatGPT: High 69% gross margin indicating strong unit economics. Very strong liquidity (4.6x current, 4.0x quick) and sizeable cash balance.

What are the risks of investing in OLPX?

Claude: Revenue growth of only 0.1% YoY indicates market saturation or demand challenges with no organic growth trajectory. Operating margin of -5.1% and declining profitability (-147.4% YoY net income decline) shows cost structure misaligned with current revenue levels. ChatGPT: Negative net income and razor-thin 1.6% operating margin. Extremely weak interest coverage (0.2x) heightens solvency risk if trends persist.

What is OLPX's revenue and growth?

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. reported revenue of $99.4M.

Does OLPX pay dividends?

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find OLPX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. (CIK: 0001868726) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is OLPX's EPS?

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-0.01.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is OLPX's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. has a C grade with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is OLPX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for OLPX: ROE of -0.6% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of -5.3% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is OLPX's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Olaplex Holdings, Inc.. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is OLPX's free cash flow?

Olaplex Holdings, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $7.5M, with capital expenditures of $146.0K. FCF margin is 7.4%.

How does OLPX compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin -5.3% (avg: 8%), ROE -0.6% (avg: 18%), current ratio 6.27 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 16, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI