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Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

OBK NYSE State Commercial Banks LA CIK: 0001516912
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
65% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
65% Conf
B
65% Conf

📊 OBK Key Takeaways

Revenue: $131.3M
Net Margin: 21.1%
Free Cash Flow: $47.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.89
AI Grade: B with 65% confidence
Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) receives a B fundamental grade with 65% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $131.3M, net profit margin of 21.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.2%, Origin Bancorp, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete OBK stock analysis for 2026.

Is Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) a Good Investment?

Claude

Origin Bancorp demonstrates strong top-line growth of 62.5% YoY and robust free cash flow generation of $47.9M with a 36.5% FCF margin, supported by a fortress balance sheet with $666.2M in cash and zero leverage. However, the critical divergence between revenue growth and declining net income (-1.7% YoY) combined with severely depressed returns on equity (2.2%) and assets (0.3%) signals significant operational headwinds, margin compression, or unresolved integration challenges that offset the positive revenue momentum.

ChatGPT

Revenue growth is strong, but earnings are essentially flat with modest margins and below-peer returns (ROE/ROA), suggesting pressure from funding costs and spread compression. Solid capitalization and healthy free cash flow provide resilience, but profitability needs to improve before a more constructive view.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. Key Strengths (OBK)

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 62.5% YoY indicating strong market expansion or acquisition activity
  • + Robust free cash flow generation with $47.9M operating cash flow and 36.5% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion quality
  • + Fortress balance sheet with $666.2M cash, zero debt-to-equity ratio, and $1.3B stockholders equity providing significant financial flexibility
  • + Solid operating margin of 26.9% and net margin of 21.1% showing core profitability capability
ChatGPT
  • + Robust top-line growth (+62.5% YoY)
  • + Strong capital base (equity ~13% of assets) and liquidity
  • + Positive free cash flow with double-digit net margin

OBK Stock Risks: Origin Bancorp, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Earnings decline of 1.7% YoY despite 62.5% revenue growth indicates severe operating leverage failure and potential margin compression requiring urgent attention
  • ! Extremely low return on equity (2.2%) and return on assets (0.3%) indicate poor capital deployment efficiency and substandard profitability returns relative to banking peers
  • ! Weak interest coverage ratio of 0.5x suggests potential stress in covering interest obligations from operating income
  • ! 23 insider Form 4 filings within 90 days may signal portfolio rebalancing rather than confidence, requiring closer scrutiny
ChatGPT
  • ! Low ROE/ROA and thin interest coverage indicate earnings pressure
  • ! Potential net interest margin compression from higher deposit costs
  • ! Credit quality deterioration could increase provisions and weigh on earnings

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and margin expansion - critical to determine if current decline is cyclical or structural
  • * Return on equity progression - current 2.2% is unsustainable and must show recovery trajectory
  • * Operating expense ratio - investigate whether cost growth is outpacing revenue growth persistently
  • * Interest coverage ratio sustainability - clarify whether 0.5x reflects measurement anomaly or genuine debt service stress
ChatGPT
  • * Net interest margin (NIM)
  • * Credit quality (nonperforming assets/provision for losses)

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$131.3M
Net Income
$27.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.89
Free Cash Flow
$47.9M
Total Assets
$10.2B
Cash Position
$666.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 36.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

OBK Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 26.9%
Net Margin 21.1%
ROE 2.2%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 36.5%

OBK vs Finance Sector: How Origin Bancorp, Inc. Compares

How Origin Bancorp, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
OBK 21.1%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
OBK Sector
ROE
OBK 2.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
OBK Sector
Current Ratio
OBK 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
OBK Sector
Debt/Equity
OBK 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
OBK Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Origin Bancorp, Inc. Stock Overvalued? OBK Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Origin Bancorp, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
21.1%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. Balance Sheet: OBK Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
87.6%
Interest Coverage
0.54x
Long-term Debt
N/A

OBK Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

OBK 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Origin Bancorp, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.71 reflects profitable operations.

OBK Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
36.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Origin Bancorp, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$52.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$6.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$5.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$4.7M
Returned to shareholders

OBK SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Origin Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001516912)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779479051.xml View →
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779479021.xml View →
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779478990.xml View →
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779478949.xml View →
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779478892.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about OBK

What is the AI rating for OBK?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 65% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are OBK's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 62.5% YoY indicating strong market expansion or acquisition activity. Robust free cash flow generation with $47.9M operating cash flow and 36.5% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion quality. ChatGPT: Robust top-line growth (+62.5% YoY). Strong capital base (equity ~13% of assets) and liquidity.

What are the risks of investing in OBK?

Claude: Earnings decline of 1.7% YoY despite 62.5% revenue growth indicates severe operating leverage failure and potential margin compression requiring urgent attention. Extremely low return on equity (2.2%) and return on assets (0.3%) indicate poor capital deployment efficiency and substandard profitability returns relative to banking peers. ChatGPT: Low ROE/ROA and thin interest coverage indicate earnings pressure. Potential net interest margin compression from higher deposit costs.

What is OBK's revenue and growth?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. reported revenue of $131.3M.

Does OBK pay dividends?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. pays dividends, with $4.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find OBK SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Origin Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001516912) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is OBK's EPS?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.89.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is OBK's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. has a B grade with 65% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is OBK stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for OBK: ROE of 2.2% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 21.1% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is OBK's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Origin Bancorp, Inc. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is OBK's free cash flow?

Origin Bancorp, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $52.9M, with capital expenditures of $5.0M. FCF margin is 36.5%.

How does OBK compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 21.1% (avg: 25%), ROE 2.2% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI