← Back to All US Stocks

NREF-PA Stock Analysis 2026 - NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. AI Rating

NREF-PA NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001786248
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 3, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NREF-PA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $47.2M
Net Margin: 160.4%
Free Cash Flow: $22.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.99x
EPS: $2.85
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is NREF-PA a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

NREF demonstrates strong revenue growth (+67.7% YoY) and exceptional net margin (160.4%), but this is offset by concerning leverage (1.99x debt-to-equity) and declining net income (-38.5% YoY) despite higher revenues, suggesting earnings quality deterioration. The company maintains reasonable liquidity with $31.1M cash and positive free cash flow, but elevated debt levels relative to modest equity base warrant cautious positioning.

Why Buy NREF-PA? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 67.7% year-over-year indicating business expansion
  • + Excellent free cash flow margin of 48.6% and positive operating cash flow of $22.9M
  • + Solid ROE of 19.5% demonstrates efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Reasonable cash position of $31.1M provides operational flexibility

NREF-PA Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99x creates significant refinancing and default risk
  • ! Net income declined 38.5% despite 67.7% revenue growth, indicating profitability deterioration and potential underlying operational challenges
  • ! Stockholders' equity of only $388.0M against $5.3B total assets represents thin equity cushion vulnerable to asset value declines
  • ! Significant insider activity (10 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential insider concerns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly trends in net income and operating cash flow to assess profitability recovery
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio progression and refinancing activity
  • * Asset quality and potential impairments given real estate investment trust exposure
  • * Pattern and context of insider trading activity

NREF-PA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$47.2M
Net Income
$75.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.85
Free Cash Flow
$22.9M
Total Assets
$5.3B
Cash Position
$31.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 48.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NREF-PA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 160.4%
ROE 19.5%
ROA 1.4%
FCF Margin 48.6%

NREF-PA vs Default Sector

How NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
NREF-PA 160.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NREF-PA Sector
ROE
NREF-PA 19.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NREF-PA Sector
Current Ratio
NREF-PA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NREF-PA Sector
Debt/Equity
NREF-PA 2.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NREF-PA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NREF-PA Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
19.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
160.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.99x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NREF-PA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.99x
Debt/Assets
84.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$771.2M

NREF-PA 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NREF-PA 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.60 reflects profitable operations.

NREF-PA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
48.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NREF-PA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$22.9M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$35.3M
Returned to shareholders

NREF-PA SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (CIK: 0001786248)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 31, 2026 10-K nref-20251231.htm View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NREF-PA

What is the AI rating for NREF-PA?

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF-PA) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NREF-PA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 67.7% year-over-year indicating business expansion. Excellent free cash flow margin of 48.6% and positive operating cash flow of $22.9M.

What are the risks of investing in NREF-PA?

Claude: High financial leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99x creates significant refinancing and default risk. Net income declined 38.5% despite 67.7% revenue growth, indicating profitability deterioration and potential underlying operational challenges.

What is NREF-PA's revenue and growth?

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. reported revenue of $47.2M.

Does NREF-PA pay dividends?

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. pays dividends, with $35.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NREF-PA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (CIK: 0001786248) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NREF-PA's EPS?

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $2.85.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NREF-PA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NREF-PA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NREF-PA: ROE of 19.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 160.4% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy NREF-PA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NREF-PA's free cash flow?

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $22.9M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 48.6%.

How does NREF-PA compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 160.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 19.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 3, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI