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NCNO Stock Analysis 2026 - nCino, Inc. AI Rating

NCNO Nasdaq Services-Prepackaged Software DE CIK: 0001902733
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-31
SELL
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NCNO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $594.8M
Net Margin: 0.9%
Free Cash Flow: $82.6M
Current Ratio: 1.00x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.05
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Is NCNO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

nCino demonstrates strong cash generation ($82.6M FCF) and healthy gross margins (60.6%), but is fundamentally unprofitable with net income declining 46.6% YoY despite 10% revenue growth. The massive gap between 60.6% gross margin and 0.6% operating margin indicates severe operating expense control issues, while minimal profitability (0.9% net margin) and tight liquidity (1.0x current ratio) leave no margin for error.

Why Buy NCNO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $82.6M (13.9% FCF margin) indicating cash-generative business model
  • + Healthy gross profit margin of 60.6% demonstrates underlying product quality and pricing power typical of software
  • + No debt burden with $88.4M cash on hand provides financial flexibility and reduces bankruptcy risk

NCNO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net income collapsed 46.6% YoY despite 10% revenue growth, signaling severe negative operating leverage and expense control failure
  • ! Massive profitability gap: 60.6% gross margin but only 0.6% operating margin indicates bloated operating expenses consuming virtually all gross profit
  • ! Abysmal capital efficiency with ROE of 0.5% and ROA of 0.3% demonstrate shareholder value destruction
  • ! Tight liquidity at 1.0x current ratio with only $5.2M net income leaves minimal cushion for operational disruptions
  • ! Unexplained $76.4M annual disconnect between free cash flow and net income raises sustainability and accounting quality concerns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trajectory and operating expense ratio as percentage of revenue
  • * Net income trend - critical indicator of whether profitability decline is temporary or structural
  • * Free cash flow to net income ratio - monitor if gap persists or narrows

NCNO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$594.8M
Net Income
$5.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.05
Free Cash Flow
$82.6M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$88.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NCNO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 60.6%
Operating Margin 0.6%
Net Margin 0.9%
ROE 0.5%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 13.9%

NCNO vs Technology Sector

How nCino, Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
NCNO 0.9%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
NCNO Sector
ROE
NCNO 0.5%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
NCNO Sector
Current Ratio
NCNO 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
NCNO Sector
Debt/Equity
NCNO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
NCNO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NCNO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, nCino, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.5%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
0.9%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NCNO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.00x
Quick Ratio
1.00x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
35.2%
Interest Coverage
2.52x
Long-term Debt
N/A

NCNO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NCNO 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $273.9M, Net Income -$27.6M, EPS $-0.35. Year 2023: Revenue $408.3M, Net Income -$40.5M, EPS $-0.46. Year 2024: Revenue $476.5M, Net Income -$49.4M, EPS $-0.51. Year 2025: Revenue $540.7M, Net Income -$102.7M, EPS $-0.93. Year 2026: Revenue $594.8M, Net Income -$42.3M, EPS $-0.38.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: nCino, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 117% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.38 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

NCNO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
13.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NCNO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for nCino, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $138.8M -$3.2M $-0.03
Q2 2026 $132.4M -$9.7M $-0.08
Q1 2026 $128.1M -$3.0M $-0.03
Q3 2025 $121.9M -$5.3M $-0.05
Q2 2025 $117.2M -$11.0M $-0.10
Q1 2025 $113.7M -$3.0M $-0.03
Q3 2024 $105.3M -$16.4M $-0.15
Q2 2024 $99.6M -$15.9M $-0.14

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NCNO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$90.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$125.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$7.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

NCNO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for nCino, Inc. (CIK: 0001902733)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775680314.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775252642.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775252595.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775252556.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775252497.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NCNO

What is the AI rating for NCNO?

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NCNO's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation of $82.6M (13.9% FCF margin) indicating cash-generative business model. Healthy gross profit margin of 60.6% demonstrates underlying product quality and pricing power typical of software.

What are the risks of investing in NCNO?

Claude: Net income collapsed 46.6% YoY despite 10% revenue growth, signaling severe negative operating leverage and expense control failure. Massive profitability gap: 60.6% gross margin but only 0.6% operating margin indicates bloated operating expenses consuming virtually all gross profit.

What is NCNO's revenue and growth?

nCino, Inc. reported revenue of $594.8M.

Does NCNO pay dividends?

nCino, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find NCNO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for nCino, Inc. (CIK: 0001902733) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NCNO's EPS?

nCino, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.05.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NCNO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, nCino, Inc. has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NCNO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NCNO: ROE of 0.5% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 0.9% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NCNO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives nCino, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NCNO's free cash flow?

nCino, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $90.1M, with capital expenditures of $7.5M. FCF margin is 13.9%.

How does NCNO compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 0.9% (avg: 18%), ROE 0.5% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.00 (avg: 2.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31 | Powered by Claude AI