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Mastec Inc. (MTZ) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MTZ NYSE Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction FL CIK: 0000015615
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
68% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
72% Conf
HOLD
64% Conf

📊 MTZ Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.8B
Net Margin: 1.6%
Free Cash Flow: $2.1M
Current Ratio: 1.32x
Debt/Equity: 0.72x
EPS: $0.77
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Mastec Inc. (MTZ) receives a SELL rating with 68% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $3.8B, net profit margin of 1.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.8%, Mastec Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Industrial sector. Below is our complete MTZ stock analysis for 2026.

Is Mastec Inc. (MTZ) a Good Investment?

Claude

MTZ demonstrates concerning operational fundamentals despite strong 16% revenue growth. Net income remained flat YoY while net margin deteriorated to 1.6%, and critically, free cash flow generation is negligible at $2.1M—only 0.1% of $3.8B revenue. With thin operating margins of 3.7% and ROE of just 1.8%, the capital-intensive business model is generating insufficient returns.

ChatGPT

MasTec shows strong revenue growth with solid liquidity, moderate leverage, and healthy interest coverage, while generating positive free cash flow. However, profitability is thin and net income is flat year over year, so a clear, sustained improvement in operating margin and cash conversion is needed before a more constructive view.

Why Buy Mastec Inc. Stock? MTZ Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 16.2% YoY reflects solid market demand and contract wins
  • + Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.72x provides some financial flexibility
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $98.9M supports ongoing operations
ChatGPT
  • + Double-digit revenue growth (+16.2% YoY)
  • + Healthy interest coverage (10.6x) with moderate leverage (0.67x D/E)
  • + Positive free cash flow with operating cash flow > net income

MTZ Stock Risks: Mastec Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical FCF crisis: only $2.1M free cash flow on $3.8B revenue (0.1% margin) leaves no margin for error or shareholder returns
  • ! Deteriorating profitability: net income flat YoY despite 16% revenue growth indicates rising costs or operational inefficiency
  • ! Extremely thin margins across all levels (gross 8.3%, operating 3.7%, net 1.6%) and poor capital efficiency (ROE 1.8%, ROA 0.6%) suggest structural business challenges
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.9x is tight, leaving limited cushion for adverse market conditions or rate increases
ChatGPT
  • ! Very thin margins (2.2% gross, 2.8% net) heighten execution risk
  • ! Working capital swings can pressure cash flow in project-based businesses
  • ! Earnings not rising with revenue suggests mix/margin pressure

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend and sustainability—must improve significantly to justify investment
  • * Net income growth rate relative to revenue growth—should decouple from flat trajectory
  • * Operating margin expansion—critical to profitability model given revenue scale
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin
  • * Free cash flow margin

Mastec Inc. (MTZ) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$3.8B
Net Income
$60.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.77
Free Cash Flow
$2.1M
Total Assets
$10.4B
Cash Position
$273.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.1% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

MTZ Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 8.3%
Operating Margin 3.7%
Net Margin 1.6%
ROE 1.8%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin 0.1%

MTZ vs Industrial Sector: How Mastec Inc. Compares

How Mastec Inc. compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
MTZ 1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MTZ Sector
ROE
MTZ 1.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MTZ Sector
Current Ratio
MTZ 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MTZ Sector
Debt/Equity
MTZ 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MTZ Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Mastec Inc. Stock Overvalued? MTZ Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Mastec Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
1.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.72x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Mastec Inc. Balance Sheet: MTZ Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.32x
Quick Ratio
1.28x
Debt/Equity
0.72x
Debt/Assets
67.2%
Interest Coverage
2.91x
Long-term Debt
$2.4B

MTZ Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MTZ 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $8.0B, Net Income $392.3M, EPS $5.17. Year 2022: Revenue $9.8B, Net Income $322.8M, EPS $4.38. Year 2023: Revenue $12.0B, Net Income $328.8M, EPS $4.45. Year 2024: Revenue $12.3B, Net Income $33.4M, EPS $0.42. Year 2025: Revenue $14.3B, Net Income -$49.9M, EPS $-0.64.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Mastec Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 80% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.64 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MTZ Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MTZ Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Mastec Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.8B $9.9M $0.13
Q3 2025 $3.3B $88.0M $1.12
Q2 2025 $3.0B -$7.2M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $2.7B $9.9M $0.13
Q3 2024 $3.3B $14.3M $0.18
Q2 2024 $2.9B -$7.2M $-0.09
Q1 2024 $2.6B -$41.2M $-0.53
Q3 2023 $2.5B $14.3M $0.18

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Mastec Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$98.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$96.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MTZ SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Mastec Inc. (CIK: 0000015615)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778100075.xml View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K mtz-20260430.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 10-Q mtz-20260331.htm View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776457163.xml View →
Apr 9, 2026 DEF 14A ny20064175x771_def14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MTZ

What is the AI rating for MTZ?

Mastec Inc. (MTZ) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MTZ's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 16.2% YoY reflects solid market demand and contract wins. Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity of 0.72x provides some financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Double-digit revenue growth (+16.2% YoY). Healthy interest coverage (10.6x) with moderate leverage (0.67x D/E).

What are the risks of investing in MTZ?

Claude: Critical FCF crisis: only $2.1M free cash flow on $3.8B revenue (0.1% margin) leaves no margin for error or shareholder returns. Deteriorating profitability: net income flat YoY despite 16% revenue growth indicates rising costs or operational inefficiency. ChatGPT: Very thin margins (2.2% gross, 2.8% net) heighten execution risk. Working capital swings can pressure cash flow in project-based businesses.

What is MTZ's revenue and growth?

Mastec Inc. reported revenue of $3.8B.

Does MTZ pay dividends?

Mastec Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MTZ SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Mastec Inc. (CIK: 0000015615) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MTZ's EPS?

Mastec Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.77.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MTZ a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Mastec Inc. has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MTZ stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MTZ: ROE of 1.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 1.6% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MTZ stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Mastec Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MTZ's free cash flow?

Mastec Inc.'s operating cash flow is $98.9M, with capital expenditures of $96.8M. FCF margin is 0.1%.

How does MTZ compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin 1.6% (avg: 10%), ROE 1.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.32 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI